Monday, January 31, 2005

Bush's Speech "Sent Shivers Up My Spine"

I am well aware that President Bush's second inaugural address is nearly two weeks old, but I just stumbled upon this column by political counselor Dick Morris, offering ridiculous syrupy, sycophantic praise for Bush's Jan. 20 speech.

Seriously, Morris' column has to be read to be believed. (At first, I thought he was being sarcastic.) As you read these excerpts, keep reminding yourself that numerous candidates have actually paid this man hundreds of thousands of dollars for his advice:

President Bush’s second inaugural address was, in my opinion, not only the greatest since JFK’s but the best single speech I have heard in the past 40 years. And since that tally includes some I have written, it is heartfelt praise indeed! It was great not only for its words, phrases and sounds but for its policy as well.

... The quotes just roll off the tongue and lodge in the mind, probably forever.

The only thing rolling off Morris' tongue is Bush's bum.
When the president spoke of Americans “by birth or by choice,” it sent shivers up my spine. What a wonderful way to see immigration and immigrants!

.... the president refused to look the other way where there is tyranny ...

Whether you believe Bush is staring down every tyrannical ruler around the globe or not, it's clear that he has been willing to look the other way when the crime is genocide (look under "D" for Darfur).
... Hail to Bush for the willingness to embrace and articulate eloquence. And hail to Mark Gerson for helping him to get there. It only makes me wish I could write that well.

It only makes me wish The Hill would stop reserving a section of newsprint for your insipid thoughts, Mr. Morris.

Instead, just send them in a perfumed letter to the White House.

Republican Playbook

Kos got his hands on the Republican's 104 page "Saving Social Security" playbook detailing their campaign to privatize Social Security.

You can get the PDF here.

And make sure you stay on message
“Personalization” not “privatization”: Personalization suggests increased personal ownership and control. Privatization connotes the total corporate takeover of Social Security; this is inaccurate and thoroughly turns off listeners, who are very concerned about corporate wrongdoing.
Thanks to "Political Line" for the heads up.

A Timetable for Withdrawal

Appearing today on NPR's "Morning Edition," Senator Russ Feingold (D-Wisc.) made a very good point about Iraq and the debate over U.S. troop withdrawals.

Feingold said that it's odd that the White House supported setting a firm timetable for ending the Provisional Authority's reign and for holding the Iraqi elections, but, when the issue concerns U.S. troop withdrawals, suddenly a timetable is a terrible thing.

We know the insurgents want our troops out, and they continue to launch attacks toward this end. How is setting a date or timetable for withdrawal going to affect that? To my way of thinking, it won't. The insurgents are probably throwing everything at our troops that they can. What more could they do?

In fact, one could argue that setting a withdrawal timetable might actually reduce the insurgents' attacks since a timetable weakens the recruitment pitch that al-Zarqawi and others can make.

Early On, the Signs of Doom Were There

I guess this makes me a glutton for punishment. But this past Sunday's "Meet the Press" reminded me of the appearance that Kerry made last April. I found this exchange between Tim Russert and the candidate from that April '04 appearance -- an exchange that should have foreshadowed Kerry's vulnerability to the "he's on both sides of the issue" charge:
MR. RUSSERT: Let me ask you a question that may not be popular in Michigan. Are you still for raising the gasoline miles per gallon to 35 by the year 2013 for all cars and trucks?

SEN. KERRY: Well, that's a goal. It's a worthy goal. And America ought to try to set the goal. But I've said to people in the industry, I've talked to UAW workers, I've talked to Carl Levin. I'm not wedded to one way that we're going to do that. There are plenty of ways to do that ....

MR. RUSSERT: That was your legislation. You stand by that.

SEN. KERRY: Well, we did that. We tried to do that that year, but both John McCain and I said at the time -- you can go back and look at the quote -- we said we're not fixed in stone as to the number or how we do this. We're ready to negotiate. The problem is nobody wanted to negotiate ...
Until you'd read this morning's posts on Kerry, you'd probably succeeded in exiling the memory of his campaign to the far reaches of your brain.

Sorry for disturbing the healing process and your search for closure.

Kerry Remains a Passionless Equivocator

Watching John Kerry this Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press" with Tim Russert reminded me of why the American people, including many Democrats, never really warmed to him. Just as he had during the campaign, Kerry gave some explanations that were rambling, confusing and equivocating.

This is one example from Sunday:
MR. RUSSERT: Specifically, do you agree with Senator Kennedy that 12,000 American troops should leave (Iraq) at once?

SEN. KERRY: No.

MR. RUSSERT: Do you believe there should be a specific timetable of withdrawal of American troops?

SEN. KERRY: No.

MR. RUSSERT: What would you do?

SEN. KERRY: I understand exactly what Senator Kennedy is saying, and I agree with Senator Kennedy's perceptions of the problem and of how you deal with it.
First, he said he disagrees with Kennedy's troop withdrawal position. Seconds later, he seemed to be saying he agrees with Kennedy's view of "how you deal with it"? Kerry's explanation ended with this bit of Washingtonese:
SEN. KERRY: ... There are a lot of conservatives, neo-cons and others in Washington debating now sort of what the modality of withdrawal ought to be.
Last year, voters from Dayton to Oshkosh were frequently overheard discussing the right "modality of withdrawal" in Iraq.

Later on, the interview helped reinforce just how plastic and inauthentic John Kerry is:
MR. RUSSERT: Let me show you a photograph from Inauguration Day. Here is George W. Bush giving his second inaugural address. And there watching is John Kerry ... What was going through your mind at that moment on that morning?

SEN. KERRY: Respect for the process, not feeling sorry for myself at all. I mean, look, I think we waged a great campaign ...
Respect for the process. Is there anyone living on this planet who actually believes that was the thought going through Kerry's mind right then?

There was a way to answer Russert's question more honestly without sounding like sour grapes, but Kerry seems cursed with the language of a political android.

Principles vs Politics

From the Washington Times
Supporters of President Bush's judicial nominees have hired the same media firm used by Swift Boat Veterans for Truth for their efforts to defend the next nominee for any upcoming Supreme Court vacancy.

[edit]

CRC made a splash in the summer promoting the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, the group that questioned the legitimacy of Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry's war medals, his claims about his Vietnam War service, and his anti-war stance upon returning to the United States.

The group has been hired into the judicial battle by the Federalist Society, the influential conservative judicial organization from which many of Mr. Bush's nominees have been picked.
From the Federalist Society's FAQ page
Q. Does the Federalist Society take positions on legal or policy issues or engage in other forms of political advocacy?

A. No. The Society is about ideas. We do not lobby for legislation, take policy positions, or sponsor or endorse nominees and candidates for public service. While overall the Society believes in limited government, its members are diverse and often hold conflicting views on a broad range of issues such as tort reform, privacy rights, and criminal justice.
To me, hiring a PR firm sounds like something you would do only if you intended to push for legislation, take a policy position, or perhaps sponsor or endorse a nominee or candidate for public service.

But since the Federalist Society is above that sort of thing, I must be mistaken.

From Engineer to Infantryman

Under the headline "Who's Dying in This War," Truthout.org tells the story of Patrick Ryan McCaffrey, a 34-year-old father of two and a national guardsman from Tracy, Calif. The article uses McCaffrey's death to make larger observations of the nature of the U.S. force in Iraq -- 40% of which is now composed of reservists or National Guardsmen:
Exactly one month after the terrorist attacks on New York and Washington, McCaffrey joined a National Guard unit with a mission statement that emphasizes its engineering support role to "provide mobility, counter-mobility and survivability support to a combat arms brigade" as well as "providing manpower and engineering expertise" during stateside crises.

... like many of the other 50,000-plus National Guard soldiers now serving alongside about 20,000 Army Reserve troops in Iraq, McCaffrey didn't foresee that he would one day find himself in deadly combat on the other side of the world.

... In the half century before Iraq, the engineers had been deployed on missions ranging from forest fires to the 1965 Watts riots. Their duties included temporary assignments to search for weapons in state prisons, (and) remove snow from blocked mountain passes ...

McCaffrey told friends when he enlisted that he expected to be assigned to homeland security duties, such as guarding the Golden Gate Bridge or Shasta Dam.

... But as the U.S. campaign in Iraq bogged down in the summer of 2003, the Pentagon turned to its legions of "citizen soldiers," ... and ordered them to relieve exhausted regular Army units in Iraq and Afghanistan.

... It wasn't until later, when the Guard and reserve troops began dying and getting injured in Iraq, that presidential candidate John Kerry and others began describing their overseas service as a "backdoor draft."

... Despite McCaffrey's expectations as a National Guard engineer, his marching orders were quite different. Once the U.S. moved into Iraq, he was converted into an infantryman and sent into combat ... As the Pentagon scrambled to adjust to long-term military occupation, similarly abrupt job reclassifications became widespread. After years of developing caste pride as engineers, their transformation into foot soldiers was unsettling.

"It's like telling the Lakers that they are not going to play basketball but are now going to be Ping-Pong champs," says retired Army Col. David H. Hackworth, a critic of the current National Guard policy.

It also meant that some of the soldiers got less training than the regular Army infantry they were replacing. Army infantrymen receive 14 weeks of training in their specialty. A National Guard engineer normally undergoes eight weeks of basic infantry training and six weeks in engineering school ...

... In a celebrated incident on Dec. 8 in Kuwait, Tennessee National Guard Spc. Thomas Wilson surprised Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld ... asking why Guard units were being sent into Iraq with inadequate armor on their vehicles.

... "I call it the 'question heard 'round the world,' " says military historian Col. Mike Doubler, a Tennessee native who served 14 years in the Army and nine years in the Guard. "There is a growing perception among guardsmen and reservists that there are two armies in Iraq."

Daily Darfur

Sudan has seen the report from the United Nations investigation into Darfur and claims that it does not describe the violence as "genocide." Other who have seen the report say the same thing: it was not genocide but rather crimes against humanity with an ethnic dimension, whatever that means.
The report documents violations of international human rights law, incidents of war crimes by militias and the rebels fighting them, and names individuals who may have acted with a "genocidal intention." But there was not sufficient evidence to indicate that Khartoum had a state policy intended to exterminate a particular racial or ethnic group, said diplomats familiar with the report.
The report, which is to be released to the Security Council on Tuesday, also recommends referring the cases to the International Criminal Court.

Sudanese officials are denying AU reports that the air force bombed villages in North Darfur last week, killing at least 100 people.

The government and the rebels have reportedly agreed to re-open peace talks.

The Washington Post's Sebastian Mallaby has a great article on Eric Reeves.

I Hope I'm Wrong

About the Iraqi election, I mean. Sort of like this guy.

Nothing that happened yesterday changes my pessimistic mind very much. It was undeniably inspiring to see the jubilation of many voters. Things went about as well as could have been expected (i.e., voting in Shia areas was high, which might not have happened, while the Kurds predictably turned out and the Sunnis predictably did not).

But the problems foreseen before the election are still there. There are many of these, the most obvious of which revolve around the likely Shia domination of the elected assembly, the degree of influence that Sistani and other clerics will have in drafting the constitution, the Shia-Sunni conflict, the Shia-Kurd conflict (Sistani would like to take away the Kurds' veto), and of course the ongoing violence and the Iraqi government's (and army's) complete inability to survive without American and British occupiers. Juan Cole gives a much better run down than I ever could, but there is one quote I'd like to mention. It came from a professor at Teheran University. She said that the Iranian government was pretty happy at the idea of Iraqi elections; by delivering a Shia-dominated government, the U.S.-led invasion will have given Iran what it unsuccessfully fought for in its long and bloody war against Iraq in the 1980s.

One aspect of the election that was utterly predictable was the self-congratulatory press coverage. Professor Cole proclaims himself "appalled by the cheerleading tones of US news coverage." The coverage may be appalling, but it can hardly have come as a surprise; I suggest Professor Cole take the Elvis Costello approach ("I used to be disgusted. Now I try to be amused."). I can't imagine what Fox was like. It was bad enough listening to the BBC World Service yesterday, which was credulously reporting the claim--hours before polls closed--that there had already been 72% turnout.

Trivia question: since the war began in March 2003, on which single day have the most British troops died in Iraq?

Answer: Yesterday.

As I said, I hope I'm wrong.

Saturday, January 29, 2005

Hate Speech in Sweden

Count me among those who deplore bigots, but uphold their right to express bigoted thoughts. I'm bothered by the latest news related to European hate-speech laws. Reports today's Washington Post:
One Sunday in the summer of 2003, the Rev. Ake Green, a Pentecostal pastor, stepped into the pulpit of his small church in the southern Swedish village of Borgholm. There, the 63-year-old clergyman delivered a sermon denouncing homosexuality as "a deep cancerous tumor in the entire society" and condemning Sweden's plan to allow gays to form legally recognized partnerships.

"Our country is facing a disaster of great proportions," he told the 75 parishioners at the service. "Sexually twisted people will rape animals," Green declared ...

With these words, which the local newspaper published at his request, Green ran afoul of Sweden's strict laws against hate speech. He was indicted, convicted and sentenced to 30 days in jail. He remains free pending appeal.

... Green's case has triggered debate about the breadth of the Swedish law. Though many people here, including politicians and gay rights organizations, denounce him as intolerant, homophobic and a crackpot, others have sprung to his defense.
I was pleased to read that there were gays in Sweden who, however much they deplore Green's caustic rhetoric, recognize the overarching issue of free speech:
On Wednesday last week, about 200 people gathered outside the courthouse in the southern city of Jonkoping to voice support for Green during his first appeal. Many who showed up were homosexuals who said while they disagreed vehemently with what the pastor said, they defended his right to say it.

Friday, January 28, 2005

What McClellan Means by "Helping"

On Tuesday, White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan was asked about final preparations for the Iraqi elections. McClellan explained:
We want to do everything we can to help support the Iraqi people as they move forward on holding these elections, and that means making sure there's as secure an environment as possible all across Iraq. And it also means helping the Iraqi Election Commission move forward on setting these elections up, and the preparations that they are taking.
In this article posted today, National Review's Michael Rubin provides more detail as to exactly how U.S. officials are "helping" the Iraqi people with their election:
... more than 200 mostly Shia candidates joined together in the Iraqi National Alliance .... After agreeing on both faction proportions and the relative placement of each member, the Iraqi National Alliance spokesman telephoned the convention center to reserve a room for the press conference.

The Iraqi receptionist passed the call to an American official who explained that room reservations could not be made without (U.S.) embassy approval. After being bounced around the U.S. embassy, a junior officer demanded to know exactly which candidates would speak at the press conference and what they would say before he would sign off on the room request.

The experience left a bad taste in the politicians' mouths not because they are anti-American or pro-Iranian — although some are both — but rather because so many are Iraqi nationalists and took offense at the embassy's attitude.

A member of the Independent Election Commission of Iraq voiced a similar complaint over lunch at his Baghdad home. Junior American diplomats regularly accost him and demand the minutes of meetings; he refuses them on the grounds that the Independent Election Commission is just that. He would no sooner share its private deliberations with the Americans than with the Iranian, Turks, or any Iraqi politician.

If the Americans respected the commission's integrity, they would ask once and respect the answer.

The Economist Isn't Going to Win

The idea behind my "write the story before the event" contest was that most American reporters could probably write their Iraq election stories now, since what actually happens on Sunday isn't going to affect their papers'/stations' upbeat coverage (or at worst an on-the-one-hand-but-on-the-other-hand story).

If that's right, The Economist isn't going to win the contest. Then again, it's not an American news outlet. Also, it's written and edited by intelligent people. Even though I disagree with a lot (certainly not all) of the magazine's politics, I have to say they're pretty decent about reporting stuff that hurts their position. Here's the lede of their latest:
The ballots cast by Iraqis on Sunday may mark the start of a long and arduous journey towards stability and freedom for Iraqis. Or the beginning of a descent into anarchy, civil war and the break-up of the country.
Gee, that's not the kind of feel-good news we want in these gray and chilly midwinter days. If anything, the lede is deceptively optimistic. The story makes it clear which of those two outcomes the reporter thinks is more likely, and it's not the Freedom-spreading one. Along the way, they point out that whatever the future holds, the present isn't too good:



Regarding the election, the article not only sounds a grim note but also rejects several Bush administration spin points (though without mentioning that the administration has been pushing them). I'll helpfully put those bits in bold:

The fear of assassination has meant that, by and large, only the most senior party leaders have done any visible campaigning. The names of most of the 7,000 candidates for the 275-seat Iraqi national assembly have been kept secret until the last minute, for fear of making them an assassination target.

On Thursday, an insurgent group led by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, a Jordanian affiliated to al-Qaeda, released a videotape of the killing of a candidate from the party of Iyad Allawi, the interim prime minister.

[snip]

Iraq’s Shia Muslims, around 60% of the 25m-27m population, will be torn between the fatwa issued by the country’s most senior Shia cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, instructing the faithful to cast their votes, and the fear of being blown up at the ballot box or murdered afterwards. The marking of voters’ fingers with indelible ink, to prevent multiple voting, will also make them an identifiable target long after polling day.

[snip]

Yet the number of active insurgents, though hard to count, is plainly swelling. The head of Iraq's intelligence service suggested earlier this month that there were 40,000 hard-core rebels, with another 160,000-odd Iraqis helping them out. That is several times the standard, albeit rough, estimate of a year ago.

[snip]

Moreover, the current relative calm among the Shia Arabs could be illusory. The notion that all but four provinces are safe is false. Armed gangs and a vast criminal underworld hold sway in many parts of the country. A rebellious young clerical firebrand, Muqtada al-Sadr, and his thuggish militia, known as the Mahdi Army, have been lying low since Mr Sistani talked them out of their rebellion against American occupation late last summer. But they control swathes of the centre and south, and the Americans have consistently underestimated the Sadrists’ power and reach. Though Mr Sadr himself is staying out of the election fray, he might well urge his men to rise up again if he or his group were cut out of a power-sharing deal.

[snip]

Unemployment is stuck, officially, at 30-40%, though some economists reckon that more than half of Iraqis are jobless. Basic utilities are still wretched. Last week, nearly half of Baghdadis had no running water. Motorists are again queuing, sometimes for 12 hours, to fill up with petrol.

[snip]

Mr Allawi argues that, provided the Americans do not cut and run, the insurgency can be contained, if not beaten. The main plan is to beef up the home-grown Iraqi forces (now totalling 127,000 against an eventual goal of 273,000), enabling the Americans and their allies to wind down steadily their troop numbers. This, within the next few years, is a false hope. The Iraqi forces are utterly feeble. At present, only some 5,000 of them are a match for the insurgents; perhaps as many as 12,000 are fairly self-sufficient. Most of the rest are unmotivated, unreliable, ill-trained, ill-equipped, prone to desertion, even ready to switch sides. If the Americans left today, they would be thrashed.

[snip]

Most insurgents are above all nationalists. The government might accommodate many of them if they could be convinced that the Americans were certain to leave—if not immediately, at least soon.

[snip]

For the past year, chaos has increased, along with ordinary Iraqis' hatred of the American occupation. But they also hate “the beheaders”—the likes of Mr Zarqawi. The emergence of a new government with a popular mandate will not change the situation overnight. It may be too late for any government seen to be sponsored by the Americans to establish itself. Nothing is certain—except that much more blood will be shed, and even more if Iraq's Sunni Arabs continue to feel disenfranchised.

Simple George can't cope with this truth, so he makes reality-based people like Colin Powell leave and prohibits anyone else from giving him bad news. Those of us who doubt the wisdom of holding an election now and question the likely legitimacy of any resulting government just think that Arabs are incapable of democracy. The insurgents are all out there killing people simply because they hate freedom. The wonder isn't that Dubya won the election. The wonder is that anyone takes him seriously.

Last point: remember around the beginning of the war when the inevitable This is going to be another Vietnam/No it isn't harangues were making the rounds? One notable, and possible crucial, similarity has taken shape (among others; and no, I'm not saying the two wars are identical). The Economist simply states what seems to an outsider like me to be pretty obvious: 40,000 insurgents plus 160,000 supporters don't risk life and limb because they hate freedom; they do it because they don't want a bunch of foreigners running their country. Just as we miscalculated the extent to which the Viet Cong, and to some extent even the NVA, were motivated by nationalism rather than communism (and certainly more by nationalism than by helping the Soviet Union in its global fight with the U.S.), the Bushies seem to have convinced themselves that the insurgents are of a piece with al Qaeda and are nothing more than freedom-hating terrorists, when in fact most of them are nationalists. Sure, you've got murderous nutjobs like Zarqawi there, but most of the insurgency is anti-occupation, not anti-freedom or pro-theocracy. If we keep calling them all "terrorists" and acting as if that's all they are, we'll consistently underestimate the support they have among the civilian population and the even larger sympathy civilians have for their anti-occupation cause (shades of Vietnam), and we'll just make a bigger and bigger mess of things.

More on Cheney's "Ski Vacation"

Regarding my last post on Vice President Cheney's death-camp attire, I forgot to mention that the Post article has a photo of Cheney at the 60th anniversary observance, sporting his oh so dignified attire.

Click here.

Dick Cheney's Dress Code

Normally, I'm annoyed by writers who trash an elected official's choice of clothing. Why does the senator wear so much plaid? Who cares. But, in the case at hand, our vice president was asked to serve as America's representative at a very solemn occasion -- the 60th anniversary of the liberation of the Nazi death camp at Auschwitz.

After reading the article in today's Washington Post, I must agree with writer Robin Givhan -- what the hell was Dick Cheney thinking? Givhan writes:
At yesterday's gathering of world leaders in southern Poland to mark the 60th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz, the United States was represented by Vice President Cheney.

The ceremony at the Nazi death camp was outdoors, so those in attendance, such as French President Jacques Chirac and Russian President Vladimir Putin, were wearing dark, formal overcoats and dress shoes or boots. Because it was cold and snowing, they were also wearing gentlemen's hats. In short, they were dressed for the inclement weather as well as the sobriety and dignity of the event.

The vice president, however, was dressed in the kind of attire one typically wears to operate a snow blower.

Cheney stood out in a sea of black-coated world leaders because he was wearing an olive drab parka with a fur-trimmed hood. It is embroidered with his name. It reminded one of the way in which children's clothes are inscribed with their names before they are sent away to camp. And indeed, the vice president looked like an awkward boy amid the well-dressed adults.

Like other attendees, the vice president was wearing a hat. But it was not a fedora or a Stetson or a fur hat or any kind of hat that one might wear to a memorial service as the representative of one's country. Instead, it was a knit ski cap, embroidered with the words "Staff 2001." It was the kind of hat a conventioneer might find in a goodie bag.

It is also worth mentioning that Cheney was wearing hiking boots ... Did he think he was going to have to hike the 44 miles from Krakow -- where he had made remarks earlier in the day -- to Auschwitz?

A Small Contest

I believe it should be possible to predict much the news coverage of the Iraqi election, even before we know what's going to happen on Sunday. I propose a little competition in the comments: who can write a paragraph or two that most nearly matches what some journalist actually writes (or some talking head actually says on the air)? I think we should have two categories, one for Ruppert Murdoch organs (Fox, the New York Post) and one for the SCLM (or the MSM, whichever you prefer). Using the "I know it when I see it" standard, I'll include in the Murdoch category news outlets that belong there even though Ruppert doesn't own them (e.g., the Washington Times).

My own stab at a lede in the "mainstream" press would be something like:
Braving sporadic violence in a few provinces, millions of Iraqis went to the polls today in Iraq's first democratic election in half a century. Iraqi authorities and coalition sources said they were pleased with the turnout and hailed the election as a large step towards the establishment of a peaceful, stable, and democratic Iraq.
Entries must be posted by 10 a.m. GMT (4 a.m. EST) on Sunday, January 30. Winners will receive absolutely nothing but the admiration of their fellow competitors.

Social Security Reform, Dutch Style

A 15-country survey reveals that the Dutch are willing to raise the retirement age one year, to 66, if it's necessary to preserve benefits. Last year, the government proposed 67. According to the survey, U.S. workers want the retirement age to be 62.

The average monthly benefit in Holland was the second-highest of the 15 countries. First was Canada. What with that and the prescription drug prices, we could see a mass emigration of golden agers heading north of the border. In fact, maybe that's a solution to the Social Security "crisis" that would satisfy Bush: instead of lowering benefits many years out, cut them drastically now. Seniors, incapable of keeping body and soul together on the niggardly payments, would flee the country, thus greatly improving the worker-to-recipient ratio in the Social Security system.

As for the Dutch willingness to work longer, remember that even before retirement, the Dutch work many fewer hours per year than Americans and have much more generous vacation time. Also, the Dutch baby boom began a bit earlier than ours, so perhaps their "crisis" is looming a bit sooner. There was a spike for a couple of weeks 9 months after D-Day. Then the "Hunger Winter" of 1944-45, when food and fuel were scarce and the only way to keep warm was to exercise (as a Dutch friend put it), led to another upsurge in births in the fall.

And speaking of 0ld Dutch people, I honestly wasn't sure what to make of this item.

Harsh

But good.

Nothing is Ever Easy - Part III

I wrote about the pending execution of Michael Ross the other day, and it looks like at least one of the obstacles blocking his execution has been removed by the Supreme Court.

There is still a restraining order in place that resulted from a lawsuit filed by Ross's father. The Second Circuit is scheduled to hold a hearing at that today.

For a quick recap, Ross raped and killed 8 women and now wants to stop fighting his scheduled execution and be put to death. Public defenders say he is depressed and suicidal as a result of years on death row and is therefore incapable of making a rational decision.

Anyway, I wonder how this will relate to the fate of Juan Manuel Alvarez. Alvarez is the man who parked his car on the tracks and caused the deadly train derailment in California that killed 11 people. Alvarez was apparently suicidal but jumped from his car moments before impact.

He has now been charged with murder, and as the AP headline point out
Suspect Could Face Death Penalty in Deadly Train Wreck
Will California ever be able to execute a suicidal man? Is that not assisted suicide, which is prohibited by law? Will they have to provide Alvarez with counseling to alleviate his suicidal desires in order to render him mentally fit for execution?

Nothing is ever easy.

They Started It

Charles Krauthammer appears somewhat shocked that 13 senators voted against the confirmation of Condoleezza Rice because, historically, nobody every votes against confirming Secretaries of State
They have used it as a vehicle to stake out their opposition to the Iraq war. They are likely to pay a heavy political price. In this country, it is customary to allow the president to choose his own Cabinet so long as the nominee is minimally qualified. Rice is superbly qualified, and everyone concedes that. So it is mildly shocking that the Democrats mustered more votes against this nomination for secretary of state than have been cast against any since 1825.

Indeed, secretaries of state are generally approved unanimously. This is the first nomination in a quarter-century to have earned even a single dissenting vote. It is certainly legitimate for senators to use whatever instrument they wish to make a political point. But it is not very smart.
The fact that 13 senators would vote against Rice must show just how petty, partisan and out of touch they are.

Or maybe it just shows that this administration's incompetence and aversion to accountability is finally driving some members of the Senate to engaged in a bit of moderately unprecedented opposition.

If so, how dare a handful of Democratic senators vote against the President's nominee! Don't they know we are in the middle of totally unnecessary and costly war? This is no time to be casting a meaningless symbolic vote of protest.

Traitors.

The Travails of Impact Litigation

Landmark civil rights cases have frequently been the product of years, even decades, of incremental progress and the execution of a long-term strategy to lay the groundwork for the final victory. The NAACP's fight against segregation under Thurgood Marshall's leadership is a model of picking which cases to bring, which courts to bring them in, which plaintiffs to get, and how to chip away until the time is right for the grand coup. A more recent example is the successful strategy that took LGBT groups from the 1986 Batson decision upholding anti-sodomy laws to the 2003 Lawrence decision overturning them. [update: Matt, in the comments, points out that I mistakenly typed Batson--a case barring prosecutors from peremptorily striking jurors on the basis of race (and that itself overturned a 20-year-old precedent)--when I meant Bowers, the case upholding Georgia's criminal sodomy statute]

One problem with this approach is that the courts are open to all comers. They are not designed to make broad policy prescriptions, though of course they do sometimes make policy intentionally or as a side-effect of deciding cases, particularly at the appellate and Supreme Court levels. Principally, they're there to adjudicate the rights and duties of particular individuals (or corporations) in a particular set of cirumstances. Thus, any black person who felt aggrieved by segregation could have brought a case at any time trying to overturn Plessy; one of Marshall's great successes was getting everyone to fall into line with his plan and not start cases that he didn't want brought. But if people believe their rights are being violated, and if their lives are affected by it, they must have the right to go to court when they want, without regard for "the movement's" grand plan.

Right now, the marriage equality folks are facing that situation, and it's led to an uncomfortable--to say the least--situation. An Orange County, California couple has filed a suit in federal court challenging the constitutionality of both the federal Defense [sic] of Marriage Act and California's state ban on same-sex marriage. The organized marriage equality movement doesn't want to go to federal court right now, first because they think that state courts (in selected states) are more likely to side with them, and second because they don't want bad precedents set in the federal circuit courts, or, worse, in the Supreme Court.

So in California, Lambda Legal has come on the government's side. They're not arguing that the laws are constitutional, of course. They're arguing that the federal court should abstain from deciding, an argument the state has also made.

Abstention doctrines are associated with a radical school of judicial restraint originated by Felix Frankfurter and his acolytes among later generations of Harvard Law School professors. Frankfurter was a lefty whose early career was spent being frustrated by conservative federal judges who struck down social and economic legislation, enjoined strikes, and generally meddled where Frankfurter didn't want them meddling. So Frankfurter not only thought courts in general should stay out of the political fray, but he particularly wanted federal courts to butt out and, if something had to be resolved judicially, let the state courts do it. There are a variety of abstention doctrines that define the exceptional circumstances in which a federal court, even though it has jurisdiction over a case, should refrain from deciding it. I assume Lambda is arguing for some variant of Pullman abstention, named for a case authored by Frankfurter that said that when a state law is challenged as violating the federal Constitution, and interpreting what the state law actually means will be an important step in figuring out whether it's constitutional, federal courts should abstain and let the plaintiff refile the case in state court. The state courts, after all, are the authoritative interpreters of state statutes.

The civil rights movement, which traditionally much preferred federal courts to state courts, particularly in the South, abhorred abstention. For a civil rights group to be pushing abstention and trying to deny a federal forum to a gay couple asserting their rights under the federal Constitution is at best anomalous. But if Thurgood Marshall is spinning in his grave, he's probably spinning slowly.

Daily Darfur

The African Union and others are reporting that the Sudanese air force bombed several villages in South Darfur on Wednesday. At least 100 were killed.

The US is proposing a war crimes tribunal be created to prosecute those responsible for atrocities in Darfur. Given the United States' opposition to the International Criminal Court, the Bush administration is proposing that the new tribunal be housed with the current international tribunal trying cases from the Rwandan genocide. Members of the EU oppose this plan, seeing it as too costly and time consuming and pointless, considering that the International Criminal Court was created specifically to deal with these sorts of issues.

Don Cheadle joined various House members at a Capitol Hill news conference and called on world leaders to start taking Darfur seriously.

First, Alan Keyes. Now ....

Years ago, conservatives suffered a hissy-fit when Hillary Clinton announced she would establish residency in New York state and seek the U.S. Senate there. Then, last year, Alan Keyes took a page from Hillary's playbook (albeit with much less success than Hillary), running for a Senate seat in Illinois, but finishing fourth in a two-person race.

Now it's Jerome Corsi's turn. The Washington Post reports:
First he helped torpedo John F. Kerry's presidential campaign by pronouncing the Massachusetts Democrat "Unfit for Command" in a book, subtitled "Swift Boat Veterans Speak Out Against John Kerry," that he co-wrote last year.

Now insurance broker Jerome Corsi says he is taking aim at a different target: Kerry's Senate seat.

"I plan to move to Massachusetts later this year and to run against John Kerry in 2008," said Corsi, 58, who is a managing partner at the U.S. Financial Marketing Group and lives in Denville, N.J. "I plan to begin working with the Republican Party to see if I am the candidate they want."

... Corsi (has) apologized for inflammatory postings about Muslims, Catholics and the pope that he made a year earlier on the Free Republic Web site.

"That is old news," Corsi said in a telephone interview this week. "First of all, as I have stated many times, they were written to be provocative, to stimulate debate, not as my true beliefs."
In fairness, it should be pointed out that Corsi has lived in Massachusetts before, but not for quite a while -- 32 years.

Another Reason to Be Glad Robert Bork Isn't on the Supreme Court

In case you missed it.

Thursday, January 27, 2005

Managerial Flexibility, Bush-Style

After originally opposing the creation of a new cabinet-level Department of Homeland Security, President Bush soon saw the handwriting on the wall and fell in line.

In July 2002, Bush gave this speech in which he urged Congress to approve a DHS bill that gave department administrators "flexibility" -- waving numerous due-process protections that existed for other federal employees:
... as Congress debates the issue of how to set up this department, I'm confident they're going to look to me to say, well, is it being done right, after they got the bill passed. And, therefore, it is important that we have the managerial flexibility to get the job done right. We can't be -- we can't be micro-managed.

We ought to say, let's make sure authority and responsibility are aligned so they can more adequately protect the homeland.

Now, look, I fully understand the concerns of some of the unions here in Washington. Somehow, they believe that this is an attempt by the administration to undermine the basic rights of workers.

I reject that, as strongly as I can state it. I have great respect for the federal employees. I travel the country as one of them, talking about how we need to work together to protect the homeland .... I've gone to Coast Guard cutters or gone to ports of authority .... many of whom happen to be a member of the union .... I've always said, thanks for being a proud American and for working hard for the American people.

So the notion of flexibility will in no way undermine the basic rights of federal workers.
No, of course not. Well, as today's Washington Post reports, the administration will be asking Congress for more "flexibility," effectively discarding civil service protections and giving political appointees in the various departments unprecedented leverage in deciding who gets promotions or payraises:
The Bush administration unveiled a new personnel system for the Department of Homeland Security yesterday that will dramatically change the way workers are paid, promoted, deployed and disciplined -- and soon the White House will ask Congress to grant all federal agencies similar authority to rewrite civil service rules governing their employees.

The new system will replace the half-century-old General Schedule, with its familiar 15 pay grades and raises based on time in a job, and install a system that more directly bases pay on occupation and annual performance evaluations ...

A raise or promotion -- moving up in a pay range or rising to the next one -- will depend on receiving a satisfactory performance rating from a supervisor ...
It's not clear whether these supervisors would be non-political/career employees or Bush political appointees, but if most of them are the latter, this raises the serious potential for political favoritism.

The Bushies have already rated reporters on the basis of how favorably they write about the No Child Left Behind law. This may be the logical next step for this administration -- rating rank-and-file employees on the basis of how loyally they embrace and carry out the Bush agenda.

Eco-Dementia

Found within a Salon review of Christine Todd Whitman's new book is a very tasty, apt description. I didn't want to be selfish, so in the spirit of sharing and tickling other people's fancies...
Bush's narrow victory in November completed the Republican Party's transformation from a vehicle for principled conservatives into a debt-fueled pimpmobile for crony capitalists and religious hucksters.
Even more amusing is what reviewer Steve Hart of The Opinion Mill says about her book:
How, at this late date, shall we identify the elusive, yeti-like creature known as the moderate Republican? Whitman herself invites horselaughs whenever she cites fellow travelers on the great middle way. On the Republican side, she brightly offers Tom Ridge, whose blatant pimping of terror alerts whenever Bush's poll numbers looked too shaky helped turn the Department of Homeland Security into a reliable source of material for Jay Leno and David Letterman. On the Democratic side, even more astonishingly, Whitman tosses her bouquet to Georgia Sen. Zell Miller, whose foam-flecked rant before last year's GOP national convention had even case-hardened culture warriors calling for a tranquilizer rifle and a net.
...
Since flunking out of the Bush League, Whitman has been relegated to the bush leagues, and she's clearly impatient to become a player again. Ultimately, the most pressing question in "It's My Party, Too" is: Does Christie Whitman still have a place in the Republican Party? The answer: Sure, as long as she's ready to keep playing the role of a front. And if she is, we can already guess the title of her next book: "Thank You, Sir, May I Have Another?" And the subtitle: "I Spent Years Sucking Up to Fundies and Ideological Con Men and All I Got Was This Stupid Book Deal."
Thanks to Steve for saving us all the trouble of finding out just how truly sad, used and dirty Christine Todd Whitman must feel.

A Truly Broken Meme

GOP Seeks Donations to Get Bush Plans 'Past the Liberal Media'

Published: January 26, 2005 2:15 PM ET

WASHINGTON (AP) The Republican Party is following up record fund raising for President Bush's re-election effort by asking donors to finance its efforts to get Bush's message "past the liberal media filter" to the public.

Republican National Committee Chairman Ken Mehlman sent a fund-raising e-mail today telling supporters donations are needed to help Bush advance his second-term agenda.

"The president has great goals for our country: a growing economy, strong homeland and national defense, tort and Social Security reform and affordable health care. But we need your help to get the president's message past the liberal media filter and directly to the American people," wrote Mehlman, Bush's 2004 campaign manager. Mehlman asked donors to give $25 or more.

The RNC raised a party record $385 million to help Bush win re-election. However, its fund raising finished second to the Democratic National Committee, which collected about $402 million in the 2003-04 election cycle.

Mehlman's fund-raising pitch came as Bush barred Cabinet secretaries from hiring columnists to promote administration policies. Bush's order came after disclosure that the Health and Human Services Department and Education Department each used taxpayer money to hire columnists to promote agency programs.

Bush said there "needs to be a nice independent relationship between the White House and the press, the administration and the press."
If the media is truly liberal, then the following full-time, professional media people shouldn't have jobs: Joe Scarborough, Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Bob Novak, Tucker Carlson, Rush Limbaugh, Bill Kristol, Pat Buchanan, Ann Coulter, and so on. It's a rare event to flip through the news channels without one of their crusty, pasty mugs appearing on your screen.

What about FoxNews? The unrivaled 24-7-365 conservative CHANNEL? It shouldn't exist if the media is liberal, it should be cancelled.

Hey, GOP, if your ideas and plans can't stand a little FACTCHECKING or a little analysis then just maybe it's not really the media's fault, ever consider that?

I didn't think so.

Soft Bigotry of Low Expectations?

It's nice to see Bush's commitment to issues concerning African-Americans is so strong.
The 43-member Congressional Black Caucus presented Bush with its eight-page agenda during a private meeting. Rep. Mel Watt, D-N.C., the new chairman of the group, said Bush agreed to read the agenda and take it under advisement but didn't offer much response to it.

The agenda asks for more spending on education for poor and minority students, health care for all Americans, promotion of affirmative action, aid to impoverished African and Caribbean nations, and a guarantee that Social Security benefits continue to be paid, among other requests.
...
Bush has met three times with the black caucus since taking office four years ago. The first meeting came shortly after his inauguration, when the president said it would ‘‘be the beginning of, hopefully, a lot of meetings.”

But the next one didn't come until three years later when members of the caucus showed up at the White House to pressure the administration to preserve President Jean-Bertrand Aristide's rule in Haiti.
Hmmmm. Only three times in four years? Why doesn't President Bush like to meet with them? Oh, wait, because there isn't a single Republican among them. So much for reaching across the aisle...

Necessity Begets Change

Due to a shortage of troops the debate over the role of women in the military rears its head.
The Army for the first time is placing women in support units at the front lines of combat because of a shortage of skilled male soldiers available for duty in Iraq and is considering a repeal of the decade-old rule that prohibits women from being deployed alongside combat forces, according to Pentagon officials and military documents.
...
US law prohibits women from serving in combat units, and the Army insists it is following the law. At issue is a separate Army rule that also bars women from front-line support units.
...
Women soldiers have found themselves in the line of fire more often in Iraq and Afghanistan than in any previous wars. Since the start of the Iraq war in March 2003, about 30 women have been killed, most of them in hostile action, according to official statistics. In one attack, Army Private Teresa Broadwell, 20, was awarded a Bronze Star for returning fire when her military police unit was attacked in Karbala in October.

Army documents show that the strain the war has placed on personnel is a factor in women serving in units previously for male soldiers only.
...
The Army, for its part, is closely watching the Third Infantry Division deployment. According to the December briefing by Woods, the Army will ''incorporate lessons learned from Third ID into future decisions on policy affecting assignment and utilization of women soldiers."
What's next, repealing "Don't Ask, Don't Tell"? (Not that there would be anything wrong with that, in my book.) It's clear to me that at this point they'll probably try anything to avoid the "d" word.

Bush's Press Conference, Take 2

This exchange occurred midway through yesterday's White House press conference:
REPORTER: Mr. President, in the debate over Dr. Rice's confirmation, Democrats came right out and accused you and the administration of lying in the run up to the war in Iraq. Republicans, in some cases, conceive it that mistakes have been made.
Now that the election is over, are you willing to conceive that any mistakes were made? And how do you feel about that?

BUSH: Let me talk about Dr. Rice. You asked about her confirmation. Dr. Rice is an honorable, fine public servant ... And Dr. Rice and I look forward to moving forward ...
The reporter mentioned Rice's confirmation, but the reporter didn't ask about that. What the reporter asked was whether the president would acknowledge that some mistakes had been made with respect to Iraq.

Of course, Bush was doing what so many politicians are instructed to do -- answer the question that you want to answer.

The reporter tried again to get Bush to answer the actual question:
REPORTER: No reaction to the lying? No reaction?

(Laughter)

BUSH: Is that your question? The answer's no. Next (question).
In this case, because of the way the reporter asked his follow-up, it's not entirely clear whether Bush was saying "no" to the lying or saying that he had "no" reaction.

Presidential press conferences can be so informative, can't they?

Thanks for Clearing That Up, Mr. President

From Wednesday's White House press conference:
REPORTER: Your inaugural address has been interpreted as a new aggressive posture against certain countries, in particular, Iran .... (is it) a policy shift?

BUSH: No. As I said, it reflects the policy of the past, but it sets a bold new goal for the future.
A policy shift? No, not really ... but it's a "bold new goal." Glad we cleared that up.

The Bush crew recently spent several months trying to tar and feather John Kerry for flip-flopping so I suppose it's no surprise that the White House goes to great pains to pretend that its new policy is really an old policy.

Roe v. Wade Was Wrongly Decided

I'm just saying.

But seriously: I'm talking about this from a legal perspective, not a political one. It's becoming increasingly common for left-of-center pundits to say liberals would be better off if the Court had stayed out of it, for various reasons (the case wouldn't have become such a good fundraising and organizing point for the right, politicians espousing pro-life views wouldn't be so prominent because a majority of voters are pro-choice, etc.).

That's not what I'm talking about.

I'm also not saying abortion should be illegal, nor that any particular restriction on it is a good idea (e.g., parental notification laws, the Partial Birth Abortion Act). As a matter of policy, and even of morality, I think that the government should not control what women do with their bodies and should not force everyone to live according to the dictates of a minority's religious views on an issue over which there is deep moral disagreement in the country.

What I'm saying is that states do not violate the 14th Amendment when they criminalize abortion, or at least not in a way that courts should remedy.

Certainly, as many commentators of various persuasions on the issue have noted, the reasoning of Roe itself is not the strongest example of judicial analysis. Scholars have come up with a number of alternative constitutional theories for why states cannot ban abortion. Some of these theories are both thoughtful and thought-provoking and can lead to a useful discussion of how the Constitution should be interpreted in general. Perhaps I will one day read an analysis that convinces me that the result in Roe was correct, even if its reasoning wasn't. Maybe that analysis has already been written. But I haven't seen it.

If you want to think about this in political terms, the ACS blog has a good post on contemporary conservative judicial activism (which the author seems to define, as I would, in an objective way to refer to judges' overturning the acts of legislatures and executive-branch officials). As it did for the first third of the twentieth century, conservative judicial activism threatens to dismantle governmental programs and laws that liberals think are critically important, including much of the New Deal. This is already starting to lead liberals to reconsider their support for an activist court on social issues.

But, again, that's not what I'm talking about. I don't think Roe was wrong because it can legitimize judicial activism on the other side of the political divide; I think it was wrong in principle. To return to the ACS blog, my thinking is somewhat along the lines of Professor Cass Sunstein's ruminations posted yesterday.

I'm pro-choice as a political matter. And I appreciate the consequences that overturning Roe could have on many people's lives, particularly those of young women without means. But much as I oppose the criminalization of abortion and the many ingenious ways conservative legislatures have found to make obtaining an abortion practically difficult, financially draining, and emotionally abusive, I don't think judges should be intruding into the political struggle over the issue--even judges who share my views about the wisdom and morality of abortion bans.

See if You Can Spot the Irony...

...in the lede to this story.
A New Hampshire judge who was suspended for groping five women at a conference on sexual assault and domestic violence resigned on Wednesday....

Ridicule Is the Best Response

Sometimes I think we don't do this often enough. Laboriously pointing out all of the factual errors (or lies) and fallacies in the Bushies' and the conservatives' propaganda is important, but it doesn't always work too well. Sometimes laughing at them might work better. Don't miss the photo accompanying this article (via Josh Marshall).

Joining the animated fray, the United Church of Christ today (Jan. 24) said that Jesus' message of extravagant welcome extends to all, including SpongeBob Squarepants - the cartoon character that has come under fire for allegedly holding hands with a starfish.

"Absolutely, the UCC extends an unequivocal welcome to SpongeBob," the Rev. John H. Thomas, the UCC's general minister and president, said, only partly in jest. "Jesus didn't turn people away. Neither do we."

For that matter, Thomas explained, the 1.3-million-member church, if given the opportunity, would warmly receive Barney, Big Bird, Tinky-Winky, Clifford the Big Red Dog or, for that matter, any who have experienced the Christian message as a harsh word of judgment rather than Jesus' offering of grace.


Pro-Life?

I refer to people who want abortion to be illegal by the name they prefer to call themselves: pro-life. I don't like to be drawn into the tit-for-tat in which pro-choice people are called "pro-abortion" by their opponents and respond by calling the opponents "anti-choice." As long as the names aren't totally misleading, I'm not too bothered.

But I've got to wonder about the "pro-life" movement in Ecuador (I have an Ecuadorian cousin-in-law). Abortion is illegal there. So is RU-486, which can terminate a pregnancy up to several weeks after implantation of a fertilized egg in the uterine wall. So-called morning-after pills are a somewhat different story. There are different types. Some prevent a fertilized egg from implanting. Other pills delay ovulation, i.e., they prevent fertilization from occuring in the first place. Postinor-2 is a type that apparently (it's not entirely clear) uses both mechanisms: it consists of the same kinds of hormones that are in normal birth-control pills and is known to delay ovulation; but it may also reduce the chance of implantation.

Ecuador has approved two kinds of morning-after pills that it does not consider "abortive," including Postinor-2. But now it is reconsidering.

The ministry's sudden indecision comes after a lawsuit by pro-life lawyers in the port city of Guayaquil impeded the sale of a new type of morning-after pill and raised questions about another type previously approved for sale in Ecuador.

[snip]

Advocates of morning-after pills say they are not abortive and are therefore legal....

But that argument is not acceptable to Fernando Rosero, the leader of 18 self-described pro-life lawyers who filed the lawsuit in November, after a newspaper reported that the morning-after pill Postinor-2 had become available in Ecuador.

"We saw the headline: 'Beginning today, you can get the morning-after pill,''' he recounted, "We said, 'What?!'''

That surprise led to the lawsuit against the government, which led to a quick judge's ruling. And just like that, Postinor-2 was off the shelves in Ecuador. The government has filed an appeal.

[snip]

In 1998, as morning-after pills were hitting the market in the region, a group of doctors in public and private practice debated the issue and agreed to approve some pills that were not considered abortive the next year. The pill known worldwide as RU-486, which they considered abortive, is not legal in Ecuador.

"We are all in agreement in that we are against abortion. And we, the doctors, don't see this as abortive,'' said Dr. Monica Arellano, who works in reproductive health with various governmental and nongovernmental organizations. "These people are distorting the information,'' she said, referring to Postinor-2's opponents.

Why are doctors and public health specialists concerned about the possible withdrawal of both kinds of emergency contraception?

Legislators agreed with the doctors and did not see fit to intervene. But that may change now, said a frustrated Arellano, who argues that the current debate is largely driven by the intersection of politics and religion rather than the health needs of Ecuadorean women.

Although Ecuadorean public-health authorities do not offer exact figures, they say the number of illegal abortions occurring in unsafe conditions is rising each year and is one of the leading causes of death among young women here.

"This is a public-health problem that affects the poorest and the youngest,'' Arellano said.

This is where I lose patience with the "pro-life" label. Americans can debate what would happen if abortion were outlawed here; would there be an upsurge (and how large) of women suffering permanent injury or dying from illegal abortions? But in the context of developing countries where abortion is already illegal, the opposition of "pro-lifers" to the availability of and education about contraception undeniably advocates for a situation in which lots of women die. To paraphrase the chickenhawk mantra, contraception opponents are objectively pro-dead women.

Call that what you want, but don't call it pro-life.

A Modest Proposal for Rev. Dobson

Dobson and Wildmon lack the vision thing, as Poppy called it. They're trying only to stop cartoon makers from using SpongeBob for evil, or "tolerance," as the secular humanists call it. If they had enough imagination, they would realize that SpongeBob could used for good.

Wednesday, January 26, 2005

ArmstrongGallagherGate?

Bush attempts to put a stop to his administration secretly hiring any more right-wing propagandaists.
President Bush on Wednesday ordered his Cabinet secretaries not to hire columnists to promote their agendas after disclosure that a second writer was paid to tout an administration initiative.

The president said he expects his agency heads will ‘‘make sure that that practice doesn't go forward.”

Two money quotes--
‘‘All our Cabinet secretaries must realize that we will not be paying commentators to advance our agenda. Our agenda ought to be able to stand on its own two feet,” Bush said at a news conference.
...
Bush said there ‘‘needs to be a nice independent relationship between the White House and the press, the administration and the press.”

More Fun with Language

Inspired by Josh Marshall's crusade to find examples of "personal account" supporters referring to them as "private accounts" before the order came down from the White House that any form of the word "private" was verboten when discussing Social Security, I am going to cannibalize an old post of mine on a similar GOP effort to distance themselves from their own language.

Back in May 2003, the GOP was threatening to employ the so-called "nuclear option" to end the Democrats filibuster of judges
Republicans could immediately break the current filibusters against two of President Bush's judicial nominees with a rarely used parliamentary procedure that would confirm them through a simple majority vote, according to a plan under consideration by Senate Republicans.

The tactic would be so drastic in the usually congenial Senate that Republicans refer to it as their "nuclear option."
Republicans called it the "nuclear option" because they were well aware that, in carrying it out, they would outrage the Democrats and probably destroy any working relationship in the Senate.

But nearly two years later they are actually contemplating going through with it - and suddenly it has been rechristened the "constitutional option"
But Senate Republicans say the tougher stance could be a harbinger of much tougher fights to come. "The fights on judicial nominations are brutal, just awful. We're going to have to use the constitutional option sooner or later," said Sen. Orrin Hatch, the outgoing chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, referring to the possibility of changing Senate rules to make approval of judicial nominations easier.
The "nuclear option" and the "constitutional option" are exactly the same thing, but I am guessing that the former must not have polled very well.

You see, "going nuclear" sounds radical and irresponsible, whereas "protecting the Constitution" is commendable and patriotic. Destroying an 88 year-old Senate rule on a party line vote so that you can ram the president's judicial nominees through the confirmation process might sound outrageous, or corrupt or heavy-handed. But it's not - and only someone who hates the Constitution would say that it was.

Over the Line

President Hugo Chavez of Venezuela is one of the Bush administration's second-tier bad guys--call them the Auxiliary of Evil. I have a hard time coming to a view on the guy, who has won elections but who also at the very least has demagogic tendencies. People's feelings about Chavez seem to be extreme in either direction, so it's difficult to know which information is reliable.

However, I do have to say that Chavez went too far in a rally on Sunday.

Relations have been going downhill fast lately, and Condoleezza Rice attacked Chavez again at her confirmation hearing last week. Chavez, who had previously called Rice "illiterate" concerning Latin America, responded at the Sunday rally, where he repeatedly referred to Condi as "Condolencia" (Condolence) Rice. This, I think, is legitimately funny. But then:

Just days after U.S. Secretary of State-nominee Condoleezza Rice said at her Senate confirmation hearings that Chávez was ''a negative force in the region,'' he suggested she needed the type of companionship he could not satisfy. ''I will not make that sacrifice for my country,'' he said Sunday.

I'm not sure exactly what how he worded his "suggestion," though I've heard he wondered aloud whether he and Condolencia should get married. But it seems that the gist was that the Secretary-designate needs to get laid. Much as I loathe her and think her demonstrated incompetence would be reason to deny her confirmation even if she hadn't also lied to Congress and the public, this is just way out of bounds.

Any Spanish speakers who feel like trolling the Venezuelan press to find out what he said--I'm guessing the news account quoted above is euphemistic--let us know what you find out.

Things Have Gotten So Much Better

Here is a bit more from the Pew Research Center poll I posted on yesterday.
Nearly half of all Americans - 45% - thought government does a better job than it gets credit for; about the same number (47%) said that government is almost always "wasteful and inefficient." There was a similar split over the efficacy of government regulation - 49% believed it is necessary to protect the public interest, while 41% said it does more harm than good.

But Democrats and Republicans no longer differ on these questions as they did through the 1990s. As recently as 1999, there were gaps of about 20 percentage points between the parties on both of these values; and throughout the 1990s, responses to these questions were important predictors of voting preference.

So either government has gotten far more efficient since the mid-90's, right around the time the Republicans were plotting their takeover, or Republicans have stopped carping about how inefficient the government is, now that they control it.

I'll let you decide which is the most likely scenario.

Integrity

During the first round of her confirmation hearing, Condoleezza Rice took issue with some of Sen. Barbara Boxer's questions and responded
Senator, we can have this discussion in any way that you would like. But I really hope that you will refrain from impugning my integrity. Thank you very much.
During yesterday's debate over Rice's confirmation, Sen. Mark Dayton called her a liar and Sen. John McCain responded that
"You disagree with our policy in Iraq," he said in an interview. "I understand why people do it, but to challenge Condoleezza Rice's integrity I think is out of bounds."
Merriam-Webster defines "integrity" as
1 : firm adherence to a code of especially moral or artistic values : INCORRUPTIBILITY
2 : an unimpaired condition : SOUNDNESS
3 : the quality or state of being complete or undivided : COMPLETENESS
synonym see HONESTY

[edit]

INTEGRITY implies trustworthiness and incorruptibility to a degree that one is incapable of being false to a trust, responsibility, or pledge.
No one in this administration has been honest about anything. They lied about WMD's, they lied about the number of troops the war would require, they lied about Hussein's nuclear program, they lied about ties to al Qaeda - they lied about everything.

And Rice was a central architect of this campaign of lies, yet she and the Republicans have the gall to complain about Democrats impunging her integrity?

Rice has no integrity, nor does anyone else in this administration. The only person who did have some credibility was Colin Powell, which is why they sent him to the UN to make the case against Iraq. Of course, he ended up giving a presentation built entirely on lies and, as a result, lost whatever credibility he had and destroyed his integrity.

The sad fact is that there is a black hole at the center of this administration that destroys any integrity people might have. You may very well come to the White House brimming with integrity - but you certainly won't be leaving with it.

Situational Ethics, Conservative-Style

The list of right-wing pundits who are secretly on the government payroll to help promote Bush's policies and agenda is slowly growing.

Add Maggie Gallagher to the list. The conservative marriage advocate is revealed to have received $21,500 from the Department of Health and Human Services. Why? To write about and help shape and promote Bush's "pro-marriage" policies.

Like Armstrong Williams, she didn't disclose this fact until it was disclosed for her. Unlike Williams she did not receive such an aggregious sum and it appears to be a short-term deal instead of a blanket salary like Williams received.

However, in an interview with the Washington Post, she asked "Did I violate journalistic ethics by not disclosing it?...I don't know. You tell me."

In a half-assed apology for her lack of disclosure on her www.marriagedebate.com blog, she writes "But the real truth is that it never occurred to me. On reflection, I think Howard [Kurtz of the Washington Post] is right. I should have disclosed a government contract, when I later wrote about the Bush marriage initiative. I would have, if I had remembered it. My apologies to my readers."

So, who else will be added to the list? What about Charles Krauthammer and William Kristol? Their story is that they both publicly gushed about the stunning brilliance of Bush's inuagural address, meanwhile it turns out they were both consultants who worked on it, something they did not disclose at the time. Hmmm.

Frankly, it's pretty simple concept to understand-- if you help promote/shape/write or are involved in the design or development of a government policy you can't "pretend" that you just think it's great, based on your own personal observations and beliefs, when you actually had a hand in it or have been paid by the government to sing its praises. At the very least, it makes you appear to be a slimy tool of the government, a propagandist whose opinions and influence can be bought and paid for by the state. At the worst, it undermines the very thing conservatives claim that they have but liberals don't-- high moral and ethical standards that aren't situational or subjective.

Not a Very Good Start, Madame Secretary

I thought the Education Department might calm down a bit with the departure of Rod Paige. Guess I was wrong. One of Margaret Spellings first acts was to send a letter to PBS bitching about an episode of a children's television show with incidental depictions of (gasp) lesbians. In Vermont! Making maple sugar!
The not-yet-aired episode of "Postcards From Buster" shows the title character, an animated bunny named Buster, on a trip to Vermont _ a state known for recognizing same-sex civil unions. The episode features two lesbian couples, although the focus is on farm life and maple sugaring.

A PBS spokesman said late Tuesday that the nonprofit network has decided not to distribute the episode, called "Sugartime!," to its 349 stations. She said the Education Department's objections were not a factor in that decision.
Uh-huh, sure. Whatever. From another story:

[Spellings] warned: “You can be assured that in the future the department will be more clear as to its expectations for any future programming that it funds.”

The department has awarded nearly $100 million to PBS through the program over the last five years in a contract that expires in September, said department spokesman Susan Aspey. That money went to the production of “Postcards From Buster” and another animated children’s show, and to promotion of those shows in local communities, she said....

In the show, Buster carries a digital video camera and explores regions, activities and people of different backgrounds and religions.

Good thing Buster didn't travel to an apiary. Could you imagine the uproar with an episode titled "Honeypot!"?

Nincompoops

The Parents Television Council must be extra, extra outraged today.
Regulators rejected 36 complaints of indecency Monday against popular TV shows including "Friends" and "The Simpsons."

The objections had been filed with the Federal Communications Commission by the Parents Television Council, a watchdog group that frequently complains about sex and violence on television.

"In context, none of the segments were patently offensive under contemporary community standards for the broadcast medium, and thus not indecent," the agency said in a statement. The FCC also ruled "the material was not profane, in context."
...
One complaint involved an episode of NBC's "Friends" that aired in May 2003. In it, a female character, her husband and the husband's ex-girlfriend talk about a fertility treatment at a medical office.

A complaint over "The Simpsons," which airs on Fox, included a scene from a November 2003 episode in which students carried picket signs with the phrases "What would Jesus glue?" and "Don't cut off my pianissimo."

Federal law bars nonsatellite radio and noncable television stations from airing references to sexual and excretory functions between 6 a.m. and 10 p.m., when children are more likely to be listening and watching.

The FCC said the segments in question "were not patently offensive" within the context of the shows.
I have a novel idea for the Parents Television Council-- TURN OFF THE DAMN TV! Don't let your children watch it! Maybe nobody has told them that it's actually a choice to watch tv, it's not mandatory.

What's even more bizarre is how the PTC is undermining their own cause by promoting the very material that they claim to be "protecting" people from. On their website they have a section called "Worst Clips of the Week Gallery" with a "warning: graphic content." Um, are they trying to get kids to watch what they deem to be graphic content?

I mean, really, how pathetic does someone have to be to spend their lives seeking out ways to be offended just so that they can publicly complain about it and pressure the government to censor it? Get over yourselves. You're all just professional whiners, so, please, give it a rest.

Daily Darfur

Eric Reeves takes issue with Kofi Annan's remarks during the recent UN commemoration of the Holocaust in light of Annan's and the UN's failure to act on Darfur
Moreover, "nothing" also comes perilously close to defining what the international community is providing in the way of means for halting current genocide in Darfur. Though aid organizations continue heroically to confront the challenges of the world's greatest humanitarian crisis, insecurity has severely attenuated the reach and efficacy of assistance. This is insecurity orchestrated by Khartoum, with a clear understanding of its implications for humanitarian access and transport. This is insecurity that deliberately impedes humanitarian aid delivery and is fully consistent with Khartoum's larger genocidal ambitions in Darfur as revealed by almost two years of savagely destructive counter-insurgency warfare.

[edit]

You are right, Mr. Secretary General: "At this moment, terrible things are happening today in Darfur, Sudan." And it is no less true today than in the late 18th century: "All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." But evil is triumphing in Darfur---the evidence is everywhere.
Yesterday, the WHO reported that things seemed to be getting better in Darfur. Today, Reuters reports
Renewed fighting in Sudan's Darfur region may have killed up to 105 civilians and displaced more than 9,000 last week, the United Nations said Wednesday.

"It has been confirmed that the village of Hamada was nearly totally destroyed and that up to 105 civilians may have been killed, with the majority of victims being women and children," U.N. spokesman George Somerwill told a news conference.
Oh, and three Sudanese aid workers working for Adventist Development and Relief Agency International were abducted at gunpoint.

Finally, Mother Jones has an interview with Romeo Dallaire and another with the International Crisis Group's John Prendergast.

Something to Remember

As the body count from the Iraqi election rises and we (or at least those of you in the U.S.) prepare for the inevitable headlines on Jan. 31 about the glorious return of democracy to a benighted country, remember this:

A contingent of Arab and Muslim peacekeepers was prepared to be deployed as early as last July specifically to protect the election. Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah, who had been a key organizer, personally asked Dubya to support the plan. Bush turned him down--not because there was anything inherently wrong with the peacekeeping force, but because it would operate under UN authority, not under US command. Would the Arab and Muslim peacekeepers have made any difference? We'll never know.

Lokai? Is That You?

The Jewish population of Afghanistan was cut in half when Ishaq Levin died last week. The story of Levin and the country's last Jew, Zebulon Simentov, reminded me of a certain Star Trek episode.

That's "D" as in Delusional

If you've wondered, as I have, what that "D" next to Senator Joseph Lieberman's name stands for, events on the Senate floor are offering new clues. Yesterday, a number of Lieberman's Democratic colleagues criticized Condoleezza Rice for her role in the distortions that have characterized U.S. policy in Iraq. But Lieberman? He was predictably compliant:
"Our responsibility is to determine whether the nominee is fit for the position ... and whether the nominee, in our judgment, will serve in the national interest. And of course I conclude that Dr. Condoleezza Rice meets that standard at least and much more."
But how "fit" is a nominee who has repeatedly failed to level with the Senate and the American people? Vague pronouncements about serving in "the national interest" are utterly empty. Before telling us that Rice "meets that standard," Lieberman should define what that standard is.

More disturbing was this excerpt of Lieberman's pro-Rice remarks, published in today's Washington Post:
Lieberman, speaking on the Senate floor, said one of Rice's main strengths is that "the world knows that she has the president's trust and confidence."
Yes, the world knows this. But is the world surprised? What Lieberman said about Rice applies to every single nominee that any president has ever presented to the Senate.

After all, presidents aren't known for nominating someone for an Executive branch post whom they don't trust. Someone needs to tell Lieberman: having the trust and confidence of the person who nominated them is the lowest-common-denominator test for nominees.

Tuesday, January 25, 2005

I Hate Polls

This Pew Research Center poll has lots of interesting information.

Like this
A similar pattern is evident in views on the obligation to fight for the country, whether it is right or wrong.

As in the 1990s, the public remained split on this measure - 46% thought a person should fight, whether the country is right or wrong, while an identical number said it is acceptable for someone to decline to fight in a war they see as morally wrong.

Since 1999, an increasing number of Republicans express the view that a person has an obligation to fight, while Democrats have moved in the opposite direction. By 66% to 27%, Republicans said that people should fight for the country, right or wrong; Democrats, by a comparable margin said it is acceptable to refuse to fight in a war that one sees as morally wrong.
And this
Although Americans are bound by their sense of the personal importance of religion, they divide almost evenly over whether belief in God is a prerequisite of personal morality. Roughly half assert that it is necessary to believe in God to be a moral person, while nearly as many disagree.

This is not a partisan question; Democrats and Republicans are each split on the issue. But the link between faith and morality divides the public in other ways. Only about a third of college graduates (35%) believe a person needs to believe in God in order to be moral, while more than two-thirds (68%) of those with no high school diploma feel this way. Whites are split evenly on the question, but blacks by a three-to-one margin (72% to 24%) see faith in God as necessary for a moral life.
So a majority of people think that you have to believe in God in order to be moral. And a plurality of people also seem to think that Americans ought to fight for their country even if the US is wrong and the war is immoral.

Since I am somewhat unfamiliar with most religious texts, perhaps someone could track down the passage where God tells his children that it is important be moral, but that it is more important fight and die defending one's nation in an immoral war.

As I always say, there is no higher morality than that of the person willing to sacrifice their life to defend their country's immoral endeavors.

Chutzpah, Virginia Style

You know the old line about how to define the Yiddish word chutzpah: it's when a kid kills his parents and then asks the court to take mercy on him because he's an orphan.

Here's a new variation on an old theme.

Woman gets herpes. Woman sues former (male) lover, claiming he knew when they had sex that he had herpes. Man defends by saying you can't sue for injuries incurred when committing a crime (e.g., bank robber can't sue cohorts when he gets broken nose during robbery). Man points out that fornication--sex between people who aren't married--has been a crime in Virginia for 200 years.

Thanks to the Virginia Supreme Court, the man loses, or at least is denied this defense: relying on the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Lawrence (the gay sodomy case), the court holds the fornication law unconstitutional as applied to consenting adults.

Here's the real moment of chutzpah. In defending the constitutionality of the fornication law, the man argued that it served an important public purpose of preventing the transmission of venereal diseases.

Best of the Worst

By way of Norbizness, I present to you the 50 Most Loathesome People in America 2004.

However, it's not for the faint of heart. Instead of just explaining why the person made the list, the writer also describes the final punishment they should receive-- with an oversized artistic license. But if you like your castigation a little mean and your satire on the dark side, you'll smirk more than President Smirky. (Who, of course, made the list. As does Ann Coulter, the World's Biggest Asshole, along with a lot of non-political folks.) Enjoy!

Do I Detect the Hand of John Ashcroft?

The Dutch government has announced its anti-terrorism program for 2005. The Netherlands has a reputation among Americans (at least those Americans who have heard of the Netherlands) as being wildly left-wing. This, as I have said before, is not accurate.

The authorities will also be allowed to take action against terror suspects or alleged extremists even if no evidence of criminal activities is found. The suspects will be forced to periodically report to police or be banned from contacting other suspects or coming in the vicinity of potential terrorist targets.

Religious leaders, imams for example, may be banned from giving sermons if they are found to be inciting hate or violence. Teachers may also be banned from working in schools.

The cabinet has decided to designate permanent security zones in which random members of the public can be searched.

"Imams for example?"

If Ashcroft is over here advising, then it seems he brought Tom Ridge with him, though the Dutch are threatening to undermine the beauty of Ridge's methods by applying them to intelligently selected priorities rather than using the scattershot method familiar to Americans.
[T]he previously announced colour-code terror warning system is expected to be introduced on 1 March. The system will initially apply to the rail sector, Rotterdam (to secure the city's port), Schiphol and the water and electricity industries.
Break out the duct tape.

Do the Dems Have a Cheatin' Heart?

A debate over whether the Democratic Party has turned its back on union members is raging within the blogosphere. It started when Chris Myers of MyDD made this post on Monday arguing that Dems have "sold unions down the river for middle-class liberalism."

But blogger Nathan Newman challenges Myers' conclusion with a post that includes these excerpts:
... There are actually fewer anti-labor politicians in the party than there were a few decades ago.

Democrats voted overwhelmingly in recent trade votes against "fast track" authority for both Clinton and Bush and have lined up strongly behind labor rights bills. They resisted union-busting in the 2002 Homeland Security bills to the point that Senators like Max Cleland were attacked as Osama-loving traitors for refusing to screw labor in those voters.

Sure, Democratic leaders could push labor issues harder but they face unyielding filibusters by the GOP. No issue is more partisan these days than a vote on core labor issues.

... The problem here is not with the Democratic leadership but with its non-labor base of voters, who don't understand the issues and thus don't campaign hard to educate their fellow voters. The ongoing union-busting in the airline industry has gone barely unmentioned by most liberal blogs ...

Back That Ass Up

In another example of why I find the law to be such a rewarding mistress, the Fifth Circuit issued a decision (pdf) in a copyright case between two rappers, one of whom had a hit with the song "Back That Azz Up," and the other of whom went nowhere with "Back That Ass Up." Oddly enough, the case doesn't seem to delve into the marketing advantages of poor spelling and the imminent demise of the letter "s" in American English.

The judge who wrote the opinion listened to both songs.
"I don't know that I had to," says [Chief Judge Carolyn Dineen] King, who admits she's not very familiar with rap music. "I'm interested in Brahms, but I did listen to it."

What I Said

My father called Sunday night and mentioned the inaugural speech. I said people here paid attention--it was broadcast live--and that it fell flat because Bush's words about freedom were seen as contradicted by his first-term actions. Here's someone who says the same thing and explains it better, though in his case from a particularly Middle Eastern perspective. You could pretty much insert "Western Europe" in place of "Middle East" in this piece, and except for the emphasis on Israel and the Palestinians, it would be accurate.

Another Koufax Nomination

The "Daily Darfur" has been nominated for "Best Series."

There are lots of other good nominees - you can cast your vote here

Cornyn vs. Human Rights Watch

Whom do you trust more?

Sen. John Cornyn
[Alberto Gonzales] Gonzales is right. This interpretation of the [Geneva Convention] enjoys overwhelming support. It is well grounded in the text, structure and history of the convention. It has been affirmed by three federal courts. And it is supported by the reports of the 9/11 Commission and the special prisoner-abuse commission as well as international law experts across the political spectrum. At the confirmation hearing, even the committee's senior Democrat and the two law school deans he invited to testify conceded that al-Qaeda fighters are not prisoners of war.

The president's position is not only legally right, but essential to national security. As Gonzales has rightly noted, the war on terrorism is a war of information. The United States must use all available legal means to obtain the information and intelligence necessary to protect against further attacks.
Or Human Rights Watch
At his oversight hearing, Mr. Gonzales also demonstrated a lack of understanding of the most basic concepts of the Geneva Conventions. He repeatedly argued that had the Geneva Conventions been applied to al Qaeda members captured in Afghanistan, the United States would have had to give them all the privileges of prisoner of war status. In fact, the Geneva Conventions do not require that all captured belligerents be granted POW status -- but they do require humane treatment of all captives, whether soldiers, insurgents, or civilians. He also said more than once that had the Geneva Conventions been applied to al Qaeda members, they could not have been prosecuted for war crimes. This is an elementary misstatement of the law. The Third Geneva Convention confers immunity only for lawful acts of combat - the act of taking up arms - and only on POWs. The Geneva Conventions do not grant immunity for war crimes to anyone. Given that President Bush relied on Mr. Gonzales's legal advice in deciding not to apply the Geneva Conventions to al Qaeda, it is deeply troubling that Mr. Gonzales appears to have misunderstood such a fundamental principle of the laws of war.
For the record, HRW has "never before opposed the nomination of a cabinet official in the United States" - but they are opposing Gonzales.

The Cookie-Cutter Consultants

In a report this week (subscription req'd), political analyst Charlie Cook reflects on Campaign 2004 and poses this interesting question:

... for all the hundreds of millions of dollars spent in each election cycle on television advertising, how much of it is wasted on formulaic ads that look and sound alike and lack even the slightest bit of creativity?

As I sat in perhaps 100 hotel rooms over the last year in more than three dozen states, my reaction to so many Senate, House, gubernatorial and even presidential campaign ads was wondering how that media consultant thought anyone might be influenced in any way by that advertisement. A great many are an insult to the intelligence of voters.

... Too many ads today are boilerplate, straight out of the cookie cutter, and they hardly get noticed by voters.

It wasn't always the case. Many, though not all, of the first- and second-generation media consultants were originally filmmakers. They learned a craft and then applied it to politics.

Those who came to know and understand politics then brought their craft to television advertising, telling a story and making a convincing case why their client was a unique and compelling figure and why voters would be lucky to have that person as an elected official.

I've always thought that negative ads were fairly easy to do .... It is in the realm of positive advertising that the greatest deterioration has occurred. It is an almost lost art.


State Legislators and the Money Trail

The Center for Public Integrity (CPI) bolsters its "good guy" credentials, and the Web continues to contribute to greater transparency in political and financial affairs. New on CPI's website:
Ever wonder what outside financial interests a legislator in your state might have?

Now you can find out with a couple of clicks of your mouse. Putting the country's government ethics laws to work, the Center for Public Integrity today made thousands of state legislators' outside interest disclosure filings available to online users.

Researchers at the Center collected nearly 7,000 personal financial statements state lawmakers submitted in 2004 to oversight agencies in the 47 states requiring disclosure. Three states -- Idaho, Michigan and Vermont -- do not require disclosure at all.
CPI's disclosure statements can be accessed here.

Daily Darfur

The World Health Organization says that there are indications the number of people dying from hunger and disease in Darfur has fallen significantly - of course, the WHO has "not been able to carry out a fresh study of mortality rates within the various refugee camps inside Darfur, largely because the continuing insecurity made it difficult for its international staffers to move about."

The UN's International Commission of Inquiry on Sudan is scheduled to give its genocide investigation report to the Security Council next week.

The New Jersey state assembly is expected to vote soon on legislation that would obligate the state to divest its pension-fund investments from companies that do business with Sudan.

Nothing is Ever Easy - Part II

I've posted on this story before, and it looks like a couple of Connecticut public defenders have temporarily succeeded in halting the execution of Michael Ross, despite the fact that Ross fired them last year and instead hired an attorney to help him expedite his execution
[District Judge Robert Chatigny's] ruling came after a psychiatrist testified that Ross' lengthy seclusion on death row may have made him incompetent to decide to end appeals of his death sentence.

[edit]

Chatigny said the stay would be in force until he could hold a full hearing on Ross' competency. He did not set a date for the hearing.
Ross admits to raping and killing 8 women and he wants to die, but the judge halted his scheduled execution because his stay on death-row has apparently made him depressed and thus incompetent to make decisions regarding his own fate
But Dr. Stuart Grassian, a former professor at Harvard University, testified Monday that it is possible Ross wants to be executed because he finds life unbearable on death row. Grassian, an expert on the effects of long-term confinement, said letters Ross wrote in prison suggest he is not capable of making rational decisions about his execution.

"If you place someone in a desperate enough situation, they will make any decision to get away from the pain," Grassian said.

[edit]

Grassian also pointed out that Ross is on antidepressants and anti-anxiety drugs and has attempted suicide while in prison.

"There is clearly something wrong with the man," Grassian testified.
Yeah, there clearly is something wrong with Ross. I figured that much was clear after he raped and killed 8 women.

I generally tend to side with the "liberal do-gooders" in this world, but this is simply idiotic.

Pur-leaze

Eugene points us to the I-Can't-Believe-He-Said-That-With-A-Straight-Face quote of the week, namely Karl Rove's "This is one of the most intellectually gifted presidents we've had." (I'm assuming Rove is talking about his boss; I haven't got the stomach to go look at the whole article).

That got me to thinking: Sure, this is obviously preposterous (even "above average" would be hard to defend, but "one of the most intellectually gifted" among a 40-person group that includes both Adamses, both Roosevelts, Wilson, Lincoln, Jefferson, and Madison is just risible); but is there some subgroup of presidents in which Dubya does shine intellectually?

I'm not having a lot of luck so far.

He's not one of the most intellectually gifted presidents named Bush we've ever had. Whatever else I think about his father, Dubya is pretty clearly second out of two in this category.

How about presidents named George? I think there are only three: Dubya, Poppy, and Mr. Cherry Tree. I'd say Dubya gets the bronze medal here.

How about those whose father was also president? Our Commander-in-Chief finishes second (and last) to J. Q. Adams in this race. Not that JQA was such a great president; like his father, his greatest accomplishments were outside his years as chief executive. But in terms of intellectual gifts, it's really no contest between the Adams the younger and Bush the younger.

Maybe we can expand the category to include presidents who are related to other presidents. Besides Adams pere et fils (not looking too good so far) and Poppy, there are Teddy R. and FDR, who were distant cousins, and Tippecanoe and Benjamin Harrison, IIRC. I don't know that much about the Harrisons, and William Henry was president for only a month or so in any case, which makes it harder to judge. On the other hand, he did win the Battle of Tippecanoe and also a battle in the War of 1812 against the English and the great Indian leader Tecumseh, pretty much wiping out the Indian resistance in the Ohio Valley, so maybe he had some brains. Benjamin Harrison turned a federal budget surplus inherited from his Democratic predecessor into a deficit within two years--maybe a preincarnation of Dubya? I make our current leader at best sixth of eight, and more probably seventh or eighth.

Hmm. Any other ideas?
  • He can't be among the most intellectually gifted Republicans, what with Lincoln, TR, and, less impressively, his daddy out there.
  • Texans (even faux Texans)? Well, even if we don't count his father, LBJ was smarter than Dubya. (Again, I'm not saying he was especially admirable, or a good president; but he was smarter).
  • Ex-Confederate States? That adds President of Princeton Wilson and Carter to LBJ and George I, which doesn't really enhance Dubya's standing much.
  • Elected without a plurality of the popular vote? Nope: J. Q. Adams pretty much wipes out his hopes there, even if Hayes wasn't the sharpest tool in the shed (he thought that when he ended Reconstruction, the GOP would build a "new Republican Party" in the South that would be supported by white businessmen and conservatives, which did happen--after a century of solid Democratic control throughout the entire region).
  • Re-elected in a year ending in '04? This is a very tough category, with the other contestants being Jefferson and TR.
  • Elected in '00? There's Jefferson again, plus the soon-to-be-assassinated McKinley (with TR as Veep)--another whose administration bears some parallels to Dubya's, but his proficiency as a Congressman with tax policy and legal acumen suggest that Mr. Operation Cuban Freedom (1898) was a bit cleverer than Mr. Operation Iraqi Freedom (2003-?).
  • Elected with a running mate named Dick? I've heard some interesting taped interviews with Eisenhower, and though he's not often thought of as an intellectual giant, I think he was brighter than Dubya; he was certainly more thoughtful and (much) more accomplished. So far as higher education goes, he was president of Columbia University and finished 61st out of 164 in his class at West Point. How that compares to being a legacy at Yale and a cronyist admission to Harvard Business School is hard to judge.

Can someone help me here? I've been able to come up with some classes of one in which there's no one more intellectually gifted than Dubya. For instance: presidents named George W. Bush; presidents who are now in office; etc. But beyond that, I'm stumped.


Tom Toles . . .

. . . has been on a roll lately. I was going to say, "He's still on a roll today," but I found that the cartoon I wanted to link to was actually yesterday's. But it also turned out that today's was spot-on as well, and it's topical in light of some recent posts here.

I Wonder if the Rape Rooms Are Still in Use

Because the torture chambers apparently are.

WMD
Ties to al Qaeda
Freedom

Democracy? Stay tuned.

Monday, January 24, 2005

Spanish Bishops Hastily Retreat

Last week, I made this post about a statement by the Spanish Catholic Bishops Conference in support of condom use to prevent the transmission of HIV.

Well, it appears that someone from that lovely palace in the middle of Rome picked up the phone and called these Spaniards on the carpet. Now, the Spanish bishops have issued a statement to help calm the Vatican's furor. According to the website gay.com:
Sexual health workers and Catholics across Europe became confused about the church's stance on condoms on Thursday, after a leading Spanish bishop appeared to retract his fleeting support for contraception in the fight against HIV.

The Rev. Juan Antonio Martinez Camino, the secretary general for the Catholic Bishops Conference (CBC), said Tuesday that condoms "had a place" in the worldwide fight against HIV and AIDS.

However, in a rapid move to align itself back with the official Vatican stance on the issue, an official statement was released on Wednesday dismissing the comments.

According to the BBC, the statement repeated that the Catholic Church viewed the use of contraception as "immoral."

"The statement must be understood within the meaning of Catholic doctrine, which says use of condoms implies immoral sexual conduct," the Spanish CBC said in a press release. "The church cooperates efficiently and rationally in the prevention of AIDS by advising the education of people on married love, which is faithful and open to life with the aim of avoiding inappropriate, promiscuous relations which give rise to perceived 'risk situations.' "
Earth to Spanish bishops: There is nothing efficient or rational about an AIDS prevention policy that is based on "advising the education of people on married love ..." Doctrinal? Yes. Rational? No.

Finally, when the CBC press release declares that the church "cooperates efficiently and rationally in the prevention of AIDS," I can't help but wonder: cooperates with whom?

Someone Please Buy That Man a Dictionary

Roy Moore is like that gruesome accident you just can't keep yourself from looking at. It's always the same, but you just can't help yourself.

This time, Moore expanded on Bush's inauguration theme, telling a Religious Right gathering in DC that tyranny starts at home.
"The real issue in this country is not terrorism, it's tyranny," Moore said. "Tyranny is putting ourselves above God, and our federal courts and the U.S. Supreme Court have done exactly that."
Actual definition of tyranny:
tyr·an·ny n. pl. tyr·an·nies
1. A government in which a single ruler is vested with absolute power.
2. The office, authority, or jurisdiction of an absolute ruler.
3. Absolute power, especially when exercised unjustly or cruelly: “I have sworn... eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man” (Thomas Jefferson).
4. a. Use of absolute power.
b. A tyrannical act.
5. Extreme harshness or severity; rigor.
Synonym: absolutism. Can you imagine what this man will do to Alabama's schools if the speculation that he's going to run for governor is true? I certainly hope he doesn't make them read his poetry.

Dallaire in DC

Romeo Dallaire will be discussing his book "Shake Hands With the Devil: The Failure of Humanity in Rwanda" at the US Holocaust Museum on Friday, Feb 4th at 2 pm.

If you are going to be in DC, you can call (202)488-0407 to make a reservation to attend.

Support World Peace ... Kill Your Pet

This article in today's Washington Post reports on a Sudanese rebel leader's triumphant return from Kenya, where he had signed a peace treaty with the current Sudanese government.

The rebel leader, John Garang, was greeted at an airport in southern Sudan by well-wishers. A photo that accompanied the article pictured Garang, basking in the welcome as he stepped around a dead cow. The photo's caption reads as follows:
John Garang, top left, leader of the Sudanese People's Liberation Army, steps behind a cow that was slaughtered as a peace offering at the Rumbek airport.
Garang told a reporter, "You can see the people are very happy."

Yes, but a fireworks show or a lengthy round of applause might have been a better, less violent way for them to show their happiness. I suppose that suggestion makes me an insensitive, western-centric pig.*

* To everyone, that is, but the members of PETA.

Wobbly Beginning

President Bush should know that he's off to a not-so-stellar start when the first weekend after his second inauguration both Republicans and Democrats alike are openly questioning his top policy goals and his ability to deliver them.

Oh, wait, he wouldn't know that, he doesn't read any newspapers-- they might disturb his uncritical thinking process.

Defining Chaos

Yum. Nice little ditty about the point and purpose of blogs and blogging and the invisible people behind them.
By my lights, the best blogging offers a Bizarro World alternative to the mainstream media. Their content isn’t determined by agenda-setters and opinion leaders who tell you what you need to know—then tell it to you again, every hour, on the hour, all day long, like CNN. They aren’t run by editors who want to sell your attention to advertisers who want a piece of your niche demographic.
...
The cultural critic Julian Dibbell had it just about right when he theorized the weblog as postmodern wunderkammer— an idiosyncratic jumble of found objects (in this case, ideas and images, facts and fictions scavenged from the global mediastream) that “reflects our own attempts to assimilate the glut of immaterial data loosed upon us by the ‘discovery’ of the networked world.” Some of the most consistently enlightening and entertaining blogs are the inscrutable products of borderline obsessive-compulsives.
Hmmm. Remind you of anyone you know? The whole piece is worth reading, it captures blogdom quite nicely, if you're into that sort of thing.

We Oppose Your Plan, Whatever It May Be

The American people are full of surprises. As I looked back over the actual question-by-question breakdown of the latest ABC News-Washington Post poll (released Jan. 17), something bizarre emerged.

In the poll, a clear majority of Americans say that they disapprove of Bush's "handling" the issue of Social Security -- 55% to 38% (7% had "no opinion" or were too engrossed in the latest episode of "Desperate Housewives" to make a choice). But, when asked about the two major components that make up Bush's plan (see page 21 of the PDF), they were either evenly split or supportive.

Confused? You're not alone.

As ABC News-Post polling officials explained:
Some other surveys have posited a cut in (Social Security) benefits; this one instead posed the question as a reduction in the rate of growth, which is more specifically what's been proposed. This survey also specified the apparent size of the reduction, up to one and a half percent a year.
Asked whether they support the idea that the Bushies are floating to "reduce the rate of growth in guaranteed benefits for future retirees by up to one and a half percent a year," the response is a virtually deadlock -- 47% favor and 48% oppose.

Not exactly a stern rebuke to the benefit-cut idea.

When Americans are asked if they would support the approach of allowing workers to "put some of their Social Security savings into stocks or bonds if they wanted to," the approach gets the public's approval by a margin of 55% to 41%.

Yes, I suppose it's possible that Americans don't approve of how Bush is "handling" the issue because of the administration's talk of financing the conversion costs "off the books." But let's get real. How many Americans really know about that aspect of the debate? Maybe seventy-four?

I think the more disturbing explanation is also the more logical explanation. The average American opposes Bush's plan, but doesn't actually know what his plan is.

Social Security & Control Freaks

Sunday's New York Times featured an interesting article by John Tierney on the political challenges of Social Security reform. The article included this "spin" advice from Edward Crane, president of the Cato Institute, which has pushed for reforms similar to Bush's private accounts plan:
"Reagan tapped into a basic American sentiment that frightens the establishment figures, who assumed everyone wants the government to run their lives," said Mr. Crane, who has been promoting private Social Security accounts for more than two decades.

"That New Deal was a sharp departure from the traditional American respect for the individual. If Bush plays this correctly — and Karl Rove is a very smart guy who's looked at the same polls we have — he can win simply by arguing that a private account gives you control over your retirement instead of making you dependent on 535 politicians."
By "control," I guess Crane means the kind of control one achieves by holding firmly onto an alligator's tail.

Funny, but I didn't feel a great sense of control in 2000 and 2001 as I watched my shares of mutual funds fall like a lead balloon. To my knowledge, no retiree has made out like a bandit by receiving Social Security checks, but they have sure been able to sleep easier than if they were so privileged to have "control."

Quote Of the Day

Karl Rove
"This is one of the most intellectually gifted presidents we've had."

At Least You Can Appreciate His Honesty

This quote can be placed in the same file as Grover Norquist's infamous 2001 statement about his desire to "drown [government] in the bathtub." From an article in yesterday's New York Times:
"Social Security is the soft underbelly of the welfare state," said Stephen Moore, the former president of Club for Growth, an antitax group. "If you can jab your spear through that, you can undermine the whole welfare state."
Ten years ago, we would have smiled, shaken our heads and said, "Those whacky conservatives."

Nowadays, one hears this kind of quote and the shock just isn't there.

Lose Weight Fast With the Kim Jong-il Diet Plan!

Yes, that was rather crass, but my Irish heritage instills a certain instinct toward black humor. More to the point, Reuters reports:
North Korea has cut daily food rations to 250 grams (8.8 ounce) per person, just half the minimum daily energy requirement, officials from the World Food Programme said on Monday.

... The reclusive communist state has suffered from persistent food shortages, although conditions appear to have improved since famine caused by drought and flooding in the mid- and late-1990s were believed to have led to the deaths of a million people.
But there seems to be different views as to how long the bealeaguered people of North Korea must endure Kim Jong-il's latest order:
Richard Ragan, the U.N. food agency's country director for North Korea, said the cut from 300 grams per day appeared to be temporary and was not unprecedented in a country where fluctuations in public food distribution have been a regular occurrence.

... Gerald Bourke, the World Food Programme's public affairs officer for Asia, said the cut was likely to be in effect at least until the middle of the year.

Daily Darfur

The Washington Post ran this op-ed from Jack Goldsmith, a professor at Harvard Law School, former Bush administration official in the Justice and Defense departments, and author of "The Limits of International Law," arguing that the administration should support efforts to prosecute Sudanese officials in the International Criminal Court
The fears of "legitimizing" the ICC are overstated. It's too late to kill the International Criminal Court. The Security Council (including the United States) presupposed the ICC's authority when it voted in 2002 and 2003 to immunize U.N. peacekeepers from ICC prosecutions. And the institution is now up and running, preparing for cases already referred to it. For better or worse, the ICC is not going away anytime soon.
Human Rights Watch says that "international prosecutions are needed to deter ongoing atrocities in Darfur" and has released a new report: "Targeting the Fur: Mass Killings in Darfur."

A few US lawmakers met with the rebels and toured refugee camps in Chad over the weekend.

Eight villages in Western Darfur were reportedly attacked and burned to the ground. Khartoum accused the rebels of carrying out the attack, but the rebels deny involvement.

The New York Times ran this article
The sounds of terror arrived with agonizing certainty - the whisper of camel hoofs on desert sand, the clap of gunfire, the crackle of a thatched roof set aflame.

Aisha Abdullah gathered her five children on Thursday, buried her most valuable possessions - some metal bowls, a cooking pot, a few tin cups - and ran as fast as she could.

"They have destroyed everything," she said as she returned Friday to her village, Kadanaro, in southern Darfur, to survey the destruction. Her family's compound had been reduced to tidy circles of smoldering gray and black ash by marauding Arab militiamen, she said.

Even as Sudan celebrates the recent end of the 20-year conflict between the country's Muslim north and the mostly Christian south, promising peace throughout this troubled country, the ethnic violence that has devastated villages in the western region of Darfur continues unchecked while the world's eyes are elsewhere.
The Program on International Policy Attitude has released a new poll showing that 3 out of 4 Americans reportedly favor UN military intervention in Darfur
As the UN Security Council on Tuesday, January 25 hears the report of a special commission of inquiry on whether genocide has occurred in Darfur, a PIPA-Knowledge Networks poll conducted December 21-27 finds that 74% of Americans say that the UN should "step in with military force and stop the genocide in Darfur." Only 17% are opposed. Ten percent did not answer.

[edit]

These attitudes represent a bipartisan consensus. A UN military intervention is supported by 83% of Republicans and 71% of Democrats (independents: 70%). Contributing US troops is supported by 62% of Republicans and 64% of Democrats (independents 58%).
Why are more Republicans willing to support a UN intervention than Democrats?

Anyway, like every other poll, this one asked people questions to which they could not possibly provide informed answers
In the same poll, respondents were posed the question of whether genocide is occurring in Darfur ... Fifty-six percent chose the position that genocide was in fact taking place, while only 24% chose the option that it was “not really genocide” but “a civil war between the government and people in a resistant region that happen to be of a different ethnic group.” Twenty percent did not take a position.
Are we really to believe that 80% of the population is informed enough to actually have a position as to whether it is genocide or merely a civil war? Nonetheless, their apparent support of UN intervention is welcome news (of course, as soon as a few US soldiers get killed in Sudan, that'll put the end of whatever nominal support there is for any US involvement or UN intervention.)

Is It Just Me?

Or does the fact that this article received a ho-hum page A13 placement in Saturday's Post speak volumes about just how much the media has simply come to accept the Bush administration's routine attempts to silence anyone who points out that they are wrong?
A Bush administration campaign to replace the head of the United Nations' nuclear watchdog agency has faltered after all 15 countries approached by U.S. diplomats -- including Britain, Canada and Australia -- refused to support the plan, U.S. officials said in interviews.

The White House had hoped that at least one of the three English-speaking allies would agree to block Mohamed ElBaradei from a third term as director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency.

But with the United States proposing no other candidate, no country was willing to turn against ElBaradei, who is admired within the agency for his willingness to challenge the administration's assertions on Iraq and Iran.

[edit]

Publicly, the administration has said its efforts to replace ElBaradei are motivated solely by a desire to see U.N. executives adopt a two-term limit. But most allies have viewed the campaign as retaliation against someone who questioned U.S. intelligence on Iraq and is now moving cautiously on Iran.

The U.S. effort, led by John R. Bolton, the undersecretary of state for arms control and international security, included sifting through intercepts of ElBaradei's phone calls in hopes of finding material to use against him.
ElBaradei was right about Iraq and the Bush administration was wrong. And because of that, the Bush administration is spying on him and trying to get him fired.

And nobody appears to be outraged.

Thank You

I would just like to thank the person who sent me the Foreign Affairs article on Darfur I asked about last week.

The e-mail didn't include your name, so allow me to just voice my thanks here.

It was much appreciated.

Update: Apparently the article came from Tom, so allow me to thank him personally. Thanks Tom.

Friday, January 21, 2005

I got your Gay Agenda right here, Buddy!

Do you ever have one of those days where the headlines align just so? Today is one of those days.

The "Spongebob is Gay" crowd is taking their lumps in the press right now. Fair enough. That's what happens when you write headlines like this:
Children's TV unites to launch pro-gay campaign
Really, Dobson and Wildmon are just asking for a slew of mocking stories along these lines:
SpongeBob GayPants?
It's gotten to the point where Dobson has felt it necessary to release a clarifying statement. And you know you've lost your dignity when the first sentence is this: "From the outset, let's be clear that this issue is not about objections to any specific cartoon characters. " Now, this is all funny enough as it stands. But what I'd really like is to somehow get the Dynamic Culture War Duo to comment on this story:
Cuttlefish win mates with transvestite antics
How sweet would that be?

A Slip of the Tongue--In Writing?

Alistair Darling has been a senior minister in Tony Blair's cabinet for several years now and more recently a staunch defender of the war in Iraq. According to Private Eye, he wrote this reply to a letter from a constituent whose nephew is serving in Basra:
The decision to deploy troops was taken on military grounds to support operations designed to bring about the terrorist activity in parts of Iraq. Whatever your views on Iraq, I believe it is important that we see this through....
So the mission really has been accomplished!

Does Rule 22 Apply?

Nobody seems to know.

The other day during a floor speech, Sen Frist stated
“Right now, we cannot be certain judicial filibusters will cease, so I reserve the right to propose changes to Senate Rule 22 and do not acquiesce to carrying over all the rules from the last Congress.”
Rule 22 establishes the ground rules governing the filibuster.

Did Frist just unilaterally declare that all filibusters are now prohibited? Some seem to think so
“I think the best reading is all of Rule 22 doesn’t apply,” said Todd Gaziano, the director of the Center for Legal and Judicial Studies at the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. “I know you’ll get many Republicans and Democrats who disagree.”

Gaziano said that Democrats lost their chance to rebut Frist’s refusal to accept the rules of the previous Congress by not objecting to his statement on the floor. He said that Democrats now have a strong incentive to negotiate with Frist on crafting a new filibuster rule that exempts judicial nominees from stalling. Otherwise, Democrats would not have the right to filibuster legislation they oppose, such as Bush’s energy bill, he said.

“By their silence they have acquiesced in a way to Frist’s non-acquiescence,” he said. “I think that every senator wants a legislative filibuster. … I think both sides should come together to craft an acceptable legislative filibuster.”
But it seems that the Democrats still assume that Rule 22 is in place and if the GOP wants to change it, it'll require a vote of two-thirds of the Senate to do so (a number they will never get.) But under the “nuclear option” the GOP would simply determine that Rule 22 doesn’t apply to judicial nominations and uphold that interpretation on a simple majority vote. If they pull that stunt, the Democrats are threatening to shut down the Senate entirely.

So is Rule 22 in place or isn't it? Frist isn't saying.

But one lying douchebag is adding his voice
Manuel Miranda, who served as Frist’s top aide in charge of strategy on Bush’s judicial nominees, agreed with Gaziano’s interpretation.

“In my opinion, Rule 22 has not been acquiesced to and is not in effect,” Miranda said. “Frist specifically reserves on Rule 22, and we do not know what he is challenging or proposing until he further objects or does not. So in theory he has challenged all of Rule 22, but in context he clearly is objecting to its use regarding judicial nominations.”
Why in the hell is The Hill quoting Miranda? The man was fired from his job working for Frist for stealing internal Democratic memos and leaking them to the press and was, the last time I checked, under federal investigation. Don't they think that might be worth mentioning exactly why he is no longer Frist's top aide in charge of judicial strategy?

Daily Darfur

Terry George has this op-ed in the LA Times
For several years I struggled to make a film called "Hotel Rwanda." It tells the story of one man's heroism during the 1994 Rwandan genocide in which, in a mere 100 days, almost 1 million people were slaughtered. It was immediately followed by a savage war in Congo, where the death toll stands at more than 3 million people. Ten years on, that war still smolders. What has been the West's response to this enormous humanitarian disaster? It can best be described as criminal. I do not use that word lightly. There is a legal obligation under a United Nations convention that if a signatory nation recognizes genocide taking place it must act. No country or army intervened in Rwanda until it was too late. And no Western power has intervened in the genocidal slaughter underway in Darfur, Sudan.
The Washington Post reports that the EU and the US are fighting over where to try cases arising from the genocide in Darfur. The EU wants them heard in the International Criminal Court, but the US hates the Court and would prefer to see the creation of an international tribunal akin to the one created for Rwanda
But [Pierre-Richard Prosper, the U.S. ambassador at large for war crimes] cautioned the Europeans not to force Washington into vetoing a Security Council resolution calling for the cases to be referred to the ICC. "We don't want to be pushed into a thumbs-up or thumbs-down on the ICC," he said. "We are willing to have a discussion about a range of possible options."
Humanitarian agencies are warning that extreme insecurity are hampering their ability to deliver food to those in West and North Darfur.

Bizarro World?

Last night I observed two semi-shocking events--

First, on Scarborough Country Pat Buchanan outright mocking Bush's central post-9/11 reasoning that the terrorists hate us and attacked us because of our freedom. Buchanan pointed out the obvious that they don't like us because of our policies in the Middle East. The truly shocking part? He was smart and likable, especially sitting next to Joe Scarborough and Andrew Sullivan who both reacted like he was some drooling-pinko-terrorist-sympathizer. At some point Buchanan started rattling off historical dates and facts to support a point he was making and Scarborough, somewhat angrily, told Buchanan to keep his facts and dates to himself. Regardless, it's a little scary when Pat Buchanan is the voice of logic and reason. This new face of Pat has been emerging for a while but last night he was fully realized.

Second, Senator Joe Lieberman was both likable and hil-a-rious on The Daily Show. Every semi-earnest question Jon Stewart asked Joe about the inauguration and related festivities, Joe said something actually funny. For instance, Jon asked him where he was during Bush's swearing in and Joe replied that both he and John Kerry were on the stage behind Bush and that they both "lip synched" Bush's entire oath of office, so they're both ready if anyone needs them. For a few brief minutes I actually liked him.

Bizarro.

"We Will Enter into a Civil War that Will Divide the Country"

A prediction about what the Iraqi election will lead to should the Sunni boycott materialize. Since many Sunni areas are simply incapable of administering voting, and even Sunnis who don't agree with the boycott may be too frightened to disobey it, this is a rather bleak assessment.

The speaker? Iraq's interior minister, Falah Hassan al-Naqib.

There's much more on the serious risks this election brings; I urge you to click through and read the whole article. One interesting point was the writer's view that the U.S. was "slowly" coming to realize how bad the aftermath might be and both downplaying the importance of the election (at least in comments to the foreign press, if not for domestic consumption) and "frantically" trying to jury-rig a post-election administration that would include enough of the disenfranchised groups to be credible.

Eliminating tyranny and spreading freedom, one corpse at a time.

No Wonder Dubya Likes to See Everything in Black and White

The Netherlands is proving to be an unreliable partner in the War on Terror. I can't tell whether they're really with us or with the terrorists (those being the only two possibilities).

They're part of the Coalition of the Willing.
But they're pulling out of Iraq in March.

They killed an Iraqi civilian this week.
But they won't extradite a terrorist suspect to a country where she might be tortured.

In the wake of a shocking attack by a Muslim extremist, the Deputy Prime Minister declared a war on terror.
The Deputy Prime Minister was immediately and widely rebuked for insulting everyone's intelligence with such a crude approach to a complicated problem.

The intelligence service has infiltrated Islamist groups and arrested several suspected terrorists.
They let gays and lesbians get married.


Thursday, January 20, 2005

Winning Friends and Influencing People

It's no surprise that most people in most countries thing Dubya's election was a bad thing. They had a dim view of him before the election, after all.

But what has changed is that negative feelings toward the Preznit "are generalizing to the American people who reelected him."

I wrote something about this on the old Demagogue when it became clear that no one in the administration was going to be held accountable for Abu Ghraib. Having lived in Japan, I have some conception of the effectiveness of ritual (figurative) suicide by top executives when something goes wrong. It signals that the problem is regarded as serious. Had Bush fired Rumsfeld, it would have sent a message to the world that Bush regarded torture by American soldiers as a serious problem. His failing to hold anyone accountable sent a quite different messaage and moved the ball into the voters' court: we could fire Bush to show that we disapproved of the things that had repulsed the world, or we could keep him and appear to ratify all of it.

Some folks have pointed to polling data showing that majorities are actually unhappy with a lot of what Dubya wrought in his first term, even if on balance a slim majority voted for him over Kerry. But the message the world takes is that we approve of everything: the war in Iraq, the indefinite incommunicado detentions at Guantanamo, the torture, the insulting of old allies, the gutting of international treaties--all of it. Hence a Dutch friend's response when I asked him the other day what his friends think of Americans right now: "We think you're a bunch of fruitcakes who have completely lost contact with reality."

Particularly after the disputed election of 2000 and the dramatic effect of 9/11, we had plausible deniability before November 2. There was a dichotomy between foreigners' negative views of the U.S. government and their generally positive (though declining) feelings toward America in general. But when we passed on the chance to dump the band of idiots who perpetrated the disaster that is Iraq, it became much harder for foreigners to regard Bush as an aberration who didn't reflect the real goodness of the country.

See the chart here

(forehead slap)

A real headline on CNN reads:
Poll: Nation split on Bush as uniter or divider
...
Forty-nine percent of 1,007 adult Americans said in phone interviews they believe Bush is a "uniter," according to the CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Wednesday. Another 49 percent called him a "divider," and 2 percent had no opinion.

See, The Media Can Learn

Bloggers have long complained that members of the media are too lazy to do any actual research and have a tendency to just blindly report the "facts" put forth by those in power.

On Tuesday, Eric Reeves released his "Darfur Mortality Update" in which he chastised those in the media for repeatedly reporting to 70,000 had died in Darfur without ever bothering to understand just where that number came from or what it meant
Most news sources reporting on Darfur continue to cite a figure of "70,000" for total mortality in Darfur, even though this is a figure that, when tracked to its origin, is based only upon a September 13, 2004 UN World Health Organization (WHO) estimate of mortality in accessible camps for displaced persons, limited to the period from April 2004 through early September of 2004.

The figure was not, and was never meant to be, a total mortality assessment for Darfur.

The figure, originally "50,000" (September 13, 2004) and subsequently updated to the current "70,000" (November 2004), is more significant for what it does not include than for what it does: it does not include mortality for the period February 2003 to March 2004; it does not include mortality among the more than 200,000 refugees in Chad; it does not include conflict-related mortality in inaccessible regions of Darfur or among unregistered displaced persons in camp and urban environs; it does not include mortality since mid-November 2004; it does not include estimates of what epidemiologists refer to as "deferred mortality" (consequent upon present trauma and deprivation); and most significantly, it does not include a figure for violent deaths.

And yet still the figure of "70,000 deaths" persists. In some cases, even the September 2004 figure of "50,000 deaths" has not been updated: scandalously, an editorial in yesterday's Los Angeles Times used precisely this outdated and extremely limited figure: "The death toll in Darfur is estimated at 50,000" (The Los Angeles Times [editorial] January 17, 2005).

This is shamefully irresponsible journalism.
By Reeves' estimates, some 200,000 people have died from disease and malnutrition and another 215,000 have died at the hands of the Sudanese government and the Janjaweed.

Strangely, the media didn't listen to me about a month ago when I lodged a similar complaint, but they seem to be listening to Reeves.

Well, at least the AP is
Although the commonly cited estimates of the death toll in Sudan's Darfur region refer to fatalities from disease and hunger, analysis of a recent U.S.-commissioned survey strongly suggests that many thousands - at a minimum - have been killed in violence as well.
The AP doesn't provide any exact figure of the number of deaths, but at least they do admit that there is a "widespread consensus that the findings indicate the death toll from violence to be in the many thousands."

It is about time.

Why They're Called Wingnuts

From the Washington Post:
President Bush came under fire from some social conservatives yesterday for saying he will not aggressively lobby the Senate to pass a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage during his second term.

Prominent leaders such as Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, and many rank-and-file Bush supporters inundated the White House with phone calls to protest Bush's comments in an interview published Sunday in The Washington Post. "Clearly there is concern" among conservatives, Perkins said. "I believe there is no more important issue for the president's second term than the preservation of marriage."[bold mine]
This is a fairly common mantra among many well-funded American right-wing groups. But I've said it before and I'll say it again-- anyone who sincerely believes this has a seriously warped sense of priorities. As folks who consider themselves to be moral crusaders who supposedly care about life, it's inexplicable how gay marriage is the most important issue of Bush's second term. It just doesn't rise to that level, especially in this day and age.

Honestly, regardless of a person's position on the Iraq war or the best way to fight terrorism, I can't believe that actual danger and loss of human life doesn't trump whether or not a small minority population is permitted to get legally married. I even understood it when they were so obsessed about abortion. At least in their eyes it is a life and death issue. But gay marriage? For pete's sake, I'm a lesbian who'd love to be legally married and even I consider it pretty far down on the list of "most important things facing America today." In the grand scheme of things, gay marriage is very, very far down on the list and this is coming from someone who is actually impacted by it in very tangible ways. Sheesh.

But the weirdest thing is that these fanatical anti-gay crusaders don't seem to grasp a pretty significant fact-- denying gays and lesbians the right to marry does nothing to actually prevent either homosexuality or gay families. We're already here, legally married or not. No constitutional ban is going to stop us from getting married in front of our families and loved ones, having and raising children, or living our lives. Don't they notice that we do those things already? Unless they are willing to go further than simply banning same-sex marriage, what do they think they're accomplishing exactly?

In a way it's sorta sad when folks like this believe their own hype and intentionally limit their own horizons. It is also stunning how myopically obsessed they are about homosexuality at the expense of everything else-- war, violence, hunger, homelessness, child abuse, abortion, and so on. They set their own agenda, create their own mission, and they willingly choose to make it so excruciatingly narrow and affect so few. If only they could use their well-funded passion for something good instead of feeding their own egos and filling their own coffers.

Legal Jargon: "I'm afraid our witness might have credibility issues"

What do lawyers mean by the foregoing sentence? It takes a lot of training, but there may be subtle clues.

This is what we mean if we furrow our brows and look pensive when saying it:
The witness [for the prosecution in a murder case] is alleged to have given contradictory statements to authorities, and he denied in court on Wednesday that the suspect had confessed his involvement in the youth's death.
This is what we mean if we burst into tears:
"My head is not good. I am crazy," the 25-year-old witness told Rotterdam Court.

Department of Useless Facts

The whole does-he-have-a-mandate thingy never interested me. It happens every four years, and it's pointless in any case; presidents will do their best to accomplish as much of their agenda as possible, no matter whether they barely scraped through or carried 49 states.

For those who do care, you might want to trade in your "51% isn't a mandate" T-shirt for a newer model now that the counting is done; Dubya ended up with a little over 50.7%. I know that rounds up to 51%, but if you're going to make a point of how close he was to falling short of a majority (again), fifty-point-something has a more skin-of-the-teeth feel to it.

Speaking of Private Eye

It Could Be Worse

A Dutchman wrote in a recent issue of Private Eye:
Days after the murder of Van Gogh, our finance minister Gerrit Zalm declared 'war' on terror. This is unfortunate, as we haven't won a war in centuries.
The finance minister?

Wednesday, January 19, 2005

Logic Prevails Over Partisanship?

Hmmmm...
A new poll from the LA Times finds that the American public's support for the war in Iraq has dropped to an all-time low. By a margin of 56-39, the poll's respondents thought that America's problems with Iraq were "not worth going to war over." Those who believed that invading Iraq had "stabilized the situation in the Middle East" were outnumbered nearly two to one by those who thought the opposite, and only 29 percent of those surveyed believed the U.S. was "winning the war." A plurality of 47 percent agreed with the statement that "the invasion of Iraq has alienated many in the Muslim world, which will increase the risk of terrorism against the United States."
...
"'We are seeing lower support for the war, but I would have expected it to be even lower, given that the main rationale for the war -- the weapons of mass destruction -- turned out not to be there,' said John Mueller, a political scientist at Ohio State University who is an authority on wartime public opinion.

"'Support for this war [in Iraq] is now lower than support for the Vietnam War was at the Tet offensive,' Mueller said, citing the 1968 battles that were a turning point in U.S. public opinion then. 'But in Vietnam [after Tet], the war continued for several years, and many people continued to support it through enormous casualties.'"

Meanwhile, many Americans think the president's $40 million inaugural bash is tacky. A full 75 percent said that "because of the costs of the war in Iraq and the tsunami disaster in Asia," the Bush administration should scale back the celebration.
As for what the inaugurational events means for DC residents and workers-- a subject I've been kvetching about all week-- this clip from Salon puts it in nice perspective.
The Republicans have begun to flood into the nation's capitol for what they're calling W2, and so far it seems that the hotels and bars are the prime beneficiaries. It's certainly not the people of the District. They're the ones who will be stuck with the road closures, the intense security and a big chunk of the bill for it all. Among the hardest hit of District residents: the homeless, who will find many of the services they need curtailed because charitable groups can't get through the security barriers erected downtown.

Such concerns seemed a million miles away inside the bar at the Ritz-Carlton Tuesday night, where the first waves of well-heeled Republicans gathered for inauguration-themed drinks and $25 cigars. Braced against outdoor temperatures in the teens, GOP women from near and far -- mostly far -- wore so much fur that entire species of critters must be dead somewhere. A big bowl of Ohio buckeyes sat on a table near the front door, a symbol, the sign said, of the "good luck" Bush enjoyed when he won that state. The residents of Washington should be so lucky.

Condi Rice Bats Cleanup

Today, as Senate confirmation hearings concluded for Condoleezza Rice:
(Senator Joseph) Biden also criticized Rice for saying 120,000 Iraqi security officers are trained, but failing to acknowledge how many are fully trained. "We are months, probably years away from reaching our target goal," he said. "'Don't Worry, Be Happy,' that calypso song, should be the theme of the Defense Department."

Rice acknowledged "problems with the training," but said the administration is working on those problems.
But what about these rosy statements from the president?
PRESIDENT BUSH, May 24, 2004:
"... we are accelerating our program to help train Iraqis to defend their country. A new team of senior military officers is now assessing every unit in Iraq's security forces."
Or this one?
PRESIDENT BUSH, June 18, 2004:
"... we're now leading an international effort to train new Iraqi security forces. You see, there are now 200,000 Iraqis on duty or in training in various branches of the Iraqi security operations."
Never mind that the army's own figures, as of last September, told a very different story:
Currently, about 82,051 Iraqi police officers are on the payroll, but only 32,880 have received training under U.S. guidance, according to figures provided by Capt. Steven Alvarez, an Army officer working with the Iraqi Interior Ministry. Of that number, Congress was told last week that only 8,200 had received the eight-week training; the rest got a more basic course for three weeks or less.
The Bush crew sure knows how to twist the facts -- for example, use a number followed by the qualifier "on duty or in training" to put the best possible face on a bad situation.

In the aftermath of these Bush administration distortions, Condi Rice plays a familiar role -- maintain a firm demeanor and acknowledge vague "problems."

Blog Beg

I don't normally do this, but I was wondering if any of our readers has a subscription to Foreign Affairs.

There is an article in the new issue entitled "Darfur and the Genocide Debate" that I would like to read, but I don't want to have to subscribe to the magazine, or pay $9 for a hard copy or $6 for the on-line version.

If anyone has a subscription and would be willing to e-mail a copy to me, I would greatly appreciate it.

Jane, You Ignorant Slut

A semi-wonky-but-useful point/counterpoint about Social Security, via Atrios, between liberal economist-blogger Max Sawicky and conservative economist-blogger Arnold Kling. There's almost none of the ad hominem, invective-filled nonsense that passes for debate these days--where's Dan Ackroyd when you need him--and I recommend the exchange for those who want to follow the topic at a higher level than Bill O'Reilly, or even Jim Lehrer, will allow.

There's lots of talk about deficits, growth projections, demographics, labor market economics, and so on, in the middle of which there's a sudden focus on the European lifestyle (as if there were just one--note to American bloggers: there's a bunch of countries over here). Kling sez:
As you point out, Europeans have higher tax rates and less market employment. However, don't think of the reduced market labor as meaning that Europeans sit around and enjoy life more. Today, for example, in my home we are having new kitchen cabinets installed by a contractor. In Europe, people would be more likely to do such work themselves, because the taxes on economic activity are high. Actual leisure time, of the sort where you sit around and eat bonbons, isn't necessarily higher over there than over here.
Our house here in the Netherlands has been crawling with carpenters, electricians, plumbers, plasterers, and who knows how many other tradesmen for the past three months and will be for a couple of months more, all under the watchful eye of a contractor. None of them seem to be deterred by taxes--which really aren't that high--nor are we tempted to do it ourselves to save on taxes. And, as it happens, this week they've been installing (guess what?) kitchen cabinets.

Doesn't prove anything, but I was amused.

P.S. As for leisure time, they're going to install a new bathroom while we're away at a Club Med in Morocco for a week in February, one month after returning from a two-and-a-half-week Christmas vacation. I tell my Dutch friends that standard vacation time in U.S. companies is two weeks, and the big law firms give you only four, and they think I must be joking. A colleague is heading out for five months' (paid) maternity leave, and my Dutch teacher yesterday said she thought the period must be shorter than that in the U.S. When I explained that the FMLA, passed after years of controversy only a decade ago, guarantees the right to two weeks' unpaid leave, she looked as if she thought we were committing a crime against humanity. All of which is not to say that the Dutch way is the best way, or that we should emulate their taxation and social policies, but don't kid yourselves: life here is much more leisurely.

Pope John Paul II Is Feeling Kind of Queazy

This morning, the Associated Press reports:
In a substantial shift from traditional policy, the Catholic Church in Spain has said it supports the use of condoms to prevent the spread of AIDS.

“Condoms have a place in the global prevention of AIDS,” Juan Antonio Martinez Campos, spokesman for the Spanish Bishops Conference, told reporters after a meeting Tuesday with Health Minister Elena Salgado to discuss ways of fighting the disease.

The Catholic Church has repeatedly rebuffed campaigns for it to endorse the use of condoms in the fight against AIDS. The Vatican states that condoms, because it is a form of artificial birth control, cannot be used to help prevent the spread of HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. Martinez Campos said the church’s stance was backed by the scientific world.
For most intelligent people, having science on your side is advisable. But Campos' reference to a position "backed by the scientific world" is actually breaking new ground for a church that has clashed with science repeatedly through the ages.

Dallaire on Nolte

During the interview with Romeo Dallaire that I mentioned in my "Daily Darfur" post, he is asked about Nick Nolte's portrayal of "Colonel Oliver" in "Hotel Rwanda."

He is not pleased
Nick Nolte is getting a lot of flak for his preposterous rendition of you in Hotel Rwanda. Have you seen the movie yet?

No. I've been given a DVD, I'll have to see it before Sundance. It sounds like Mr. Nolte did a fine job of playing himself. If they're going to have someone play me and they know I'm alive and kicking, they should have at least touched base. Mr. Nolte never talked to me. Nobody from the film did. I feel slighted by that. And the fact he portrays a freewheeling, drinking type of guy is so foreign to the reality. When we were there, we weren't involved with booze, I'll tell you.
Now, I respect Gen. Dallaire a great deal, but he might want to see the film before he starts criticizing Nolte's portrayal. I thought Nolte did a fine job and Colonel Oliver came off as a passionate and heroic but frustrated leader abandoned by the United Nations and the international community.

The scene that seems to have caused the most controversy takes place outside the hotel. Foreign troops have arrived to evacuate their nationals and when Oliver learns that the Rwandans are to be abandoned, he stalks off and Paul Rusesabagina follows him into the hotel bar, where he offers him some scotch. It is at this point that Oliver tells Paul that the West will not be coming to their rescue and says
"You should spit in my face. You're dirt. We think you're dirt, Paul ... The West, all the superpowers ... They think you're dirt. They think you're dung ... You're not even a nigger. You're African."
It is a moving scene and one Nolte infuses with dignity and outrage.

The Colonel Oliver character does not come off as a freewheeling, hard-drinking type, but rather as a man struggling to do what he can to protect innocent lives - in fact, at one point he is shown heroically defending a truck-load of Tutsis from a mob of Interahamwe. In reality, Dallaire was not part of that convoy and the UN soldier who did throw himself between the Tutsis and Interahamwe was a fellow Canadian named Don MacNeil.

My only problem with the Colonel Oliver character is that, given that many of the other characters and situations portrayed were based on actual events, viewers might be led to think that Colonel Oliver is a real person and might never learn of Dallaire's name or his heroism. But Nolte's portrayal does him no disservice.

Eloquence Runs in the Family

From my brother, who live in D.C.:
If you watch inaugural coverage tomorrow [no danger of that], we won't be here. It is butt cold here plus the security is draconian even by the neo-fascist standards in place in the capital of the free world the last couple of years.
Pure California poetry.

Daily Darfur

Eric Reeves has released his latest Darfur Mortality Update
The international news cycle continues to be dominated by attention to the apparently inexorable rise in tsunami casualties toward a figure of 200,000 throughout Southeast Asia. And yet at the same time, evidence strongly suggests that total mortality in the Darfur region of western Sudan now exceeds 400,000 human beings since the outbreak of sustained conflict in February 2003. In other words, human destruction is more than twice that of the recent tsunami---and has now surpassed the half-way mark for the most commonly cited total for deaths in Rwanda during the genocide of 1994.
In an interview with Macleans, Romeo Dallaire has this to say
When you see the massive public support for tsunami victims, does it make you wonder where it was during the Rwandan genocide?

Dallaire: The first gut reaction is exactly that. I felt it even in a more nasty fashion with 9/11, where there were only 3,000 dead. I take great heart in the human participation in such an outpouring -- there's the sense that people do count. However, where I have difficulty is that governmental structures, and the media, react more to a natural disaster than a man-made disaster like in the Sudan, where there are as many, if not more, people suffering and dying. A natural disaster calls out the best in everybody, but one created by humans seems to keep people aloof.
An article in The Age made a similar point yesterday
Aid agencies are calling on Australians to remember Sudan, where more than 3 million people are at risk of starvation. Its plight has been overshadowed in the past three weeks by the tsunami disaster

[edit]

More than a million people have fled their homes and 50,000 have been killed but, since Boxing Day, Darfur has almost slipped off the world's radar.

Donations to Oxfam Community Aid Abroad's Sudan appeal are said to have slowed significantly and the agency warns that a massive crisis is looming.
And while we are at it, I made a similar point two weeks ago.

There is No Crisis

Roger Lowenstein had a truly excellent piece in this weekend's New York Times Magazine on the Republican's manufactured "Social Security crisis."

There is just way too much good stuff to excerpt, so I'll just encourage you to go and read the entire thing.

This paragraph, while not part of the central focus of the piece, is great
Social Security does not provide, and was not meant to provide, a satisfactory retirement on its own. The average stipend for a 65-year-old retiring today is $1,184 a month, or about $14,000 a year. About half of Americans also have private pension plans, but for two-thirds of the elderly, Social Security supplies the majority of day-to-day income. For the poorest 20 percent, about seven million, Social Security is all they have. Even those figures understate the program's importance. According to an agency publication, ''Income of the Population 55 or Older: 2000,'' 8 percent of elderly beneficiaries were poor, but a startling 48 percent would have been below the poverty line had they not been receiving Social Security. Charles Blahous, the White House point man on Social Security, publicly criticized this calculation as ''mindless,'' and the Social Security agency no longer computes the figure.
Typical - every time unpleasant facts threaten to undermine one of Bush's priorities, those facts just mysteriously disappear.

Cue the Eleventh Circuit

When the disclaimer stickers about evolution were ordered removed from Cobb County textbooks, I concluded two things: first, the judge got it wrong; second, the Eleventh Circuit would reverse. The first is a matter of opinion, so we'll never know whether I was right; but we will in the fullness of time know whether my prediction about the appeals court was on target. As Frederick mentioned yesterday, the school board decided to appeal.

I see no reason to reconsider my initial prediction. Even without knowing which three judges will be on the panel, I'd put money on the Eleventh Circuit's reversing the decision.

I reserve the right to change my mind if the Ninth Circuit's Stephen Reinhardt sits on the panel by designation (i.e., as a guest member of another court).

By the way, the appeal may not be throwing good money after bad. I'm sure that this case falls under the federal fee-shifting statute for civil rights cases: because it lost the case, the school board will have to pay the plaintiffs' attorneys' fees, plus any fees paid to expert witnesses. But if the appeal succeeds, then that liability will be wiped out. Of course, if the appeal fails, the board will end up paying not only its own appellate lawyers, but the plaintiffs' as well. Still, if the board shares my view as to the likely outcome of the appeal, the rational course, from a purely financial point of view, is to press ahead. Given the disadvantageous fact that they'll have to pay for their own lawyers even if they win, mitigated by the advantageous fact that appeals cost much less than trials, the odds of success would have to be significantly greater than 50% to make the appeal a good investment financially. In my opinion, the odds are much better than 50%.

A Jury of Whose Peers?

The phrase "a jury of one's peers" is misunderstood. For one thing, it's not in the Constitution. For another, it refers historically to the right of a British peer (i.e., nobleman) to be tried before the House of Lords, rather than by a jury of commoners.

Be that as it may, and conceding that I've never been mistaken for the Duke of Westminster, I wouldn't want to entrust my fate to the Jury Pool from Hell.

Tuesday, January 18, 2005

Flash: Senate Dems Have a Pulse

You have to give Condoleezza Rice credit for one thing. After seeing her president -- more than a year and a half earlier -- appear in front of a large banner trumpeting: "Mission Accomplished," Rice was able to keep a straight face as she told a Senate committee today, "The goal (in Iraq) is to get the mission accomplished."

Under Tom Daschle's helm, a shrug of the shoulders seemed to be the most profound form of disagreement that Senate Democrats could muster. Happily, today was different. Condi Rice was appearing for her confirmation hearings to be Bush's next secretary of state, and Senate Dems were in no mood for Rice's carefully packaged platitudes.

After Rice announced, "The time for diplomacy is now," Senator Joseph Biden (D-Delaware) had the presence of mind to correct her: "The time for diplomacy is long overdue."

Then Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) tangled with Rice over the administration's manipulative sleight of hand with the rhetoric of WMDs. As MSNBC reported:
"You sent them [U.S. troops] in there because of weapons of mass destruction. Later, the mission changed when there were none," Boxer told Rice.

"It wasn’t just weapons of mass destruction," Rice responded, saying Saddam supported terrorism, attacked Kuwait and Israel and needed to be removed given the new U.S. threat perception after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

Rice was visibly irked when Boxer said, "I personally believe — this is my personal belief — that your loyalty to this mission to sell this war overwhelmed your respect for the truth."

"We can have this discussion in any way that you would like, but I really hope you will refrain from impugning my integrity," Rice replied. "I really hope that you will not imply that I take the truth lightly."
The best rejoinder to Rice's "integrity" remark comes from Mark Twain who, recalling a dinner party conversation, once said:
"The more he spoke of his honor, the faster we counted our spoons."

No Sticker Left Behind

These days, a responsible school board of any major school district in America would be directing every penny it could find to pay the integral costs of education -- particularly at a time when the so-called No Child Left Behind Act has imposed several new mandates on local districts.

But when you're the Cobb County (Ga.) School Board, you'd rather throw money into a ridiculous legal appeal in the hope of overturning a federal judge's ruling.

After all, plastering those anti-evolution stickers on the district's science textbooks did so much to improve learning and test scores in the county's public schools.

"A Wedge Just Waiting to be Driven"

That is what the Carpetbagger calls the firing of 26 gay Arabic linguists that Arnold mentioned here.

Just What I Feared

In my post on "Hotel Rwanda" last week, I speculated that the film's failure to explain several key aspects of the genocide would lead those who don't know much about it to simply conclude that is was just "another example of Africans killing each other for no reason."

Today, I came across a piece on the movie by Thomas Hibbs in the National Review. Hibbs admits that much of the history and relevant political background is overlooked in the file and then goes on to make this infuriating statement
What the film makes clear is the peculiar organizational shape of the Rwandan massacre. This is not a top-down genocide, not even a well-orchestrated plan. It is rather a mass bloodfest arising from innumerable local points, fomented by Hutu Power Radio, over which a broadcaster declaims against the Tutsi "cockroaches" and announces the start of killing with the words, "Cut down the tall trees."
Hibbs gets it exactly wrong. The genocide was not some spontaneous bloodfest that simply arose out of nothing, but rather a well-planned and carefully orchestrated genocidal campaign that involved detailed preparations.

As Linda Melvern, author of "Conspiracy to Murder: The Rwandan Genocide," demonstrated in her book
Conspiracy to Murder is the story of how that genocide was planned. It reveals how, from as early as 1990, the political, military and administrative leadership of Rwanda became involved in planning the complete extermination of the Tutsi population. A vicious race hate campaign filled the media, urging Hutu's to kill; a network of roadblocks was devised to prevent any escape; civil-defence groups were established throughout the country, with eventually every third Hutu being armed; half a million machetes and other agricultural tools, along with 85,000 tonnes' worth of AK47s and grenades, were imported into Rwanda and distributed country-wide in the year leading up to the genocide.
The genocide was indeed "top-down," orchestrated by the Akazu, the Coalition pour la Défense de la République (CDR) and the National Revolutionary Movement for Development (MRND) through the "Hutu Power" movement they created and exploited via the radio station Radio-Television Libre des Mille Collines (RTLM). In the months and years preceding the genocide, they armed and trained thousands of Interahamwe for the sole purpose of wiping out Rwanda's Tutsi population and, with the onset of violence on April 7, 1994, commenced the genocidal campaign that had long been in the works.

People do not just spontaneously take it upon themselves to begin slaughtering their neighbors. They have to be trained, equipped and psychologically prepared for such actions. And in Rwanda, they were.

I don't expect much from the National Review, but it would be nice if occasionally they could manage to exceed my expectations.

Bush Orders Air Raid on English Language

President Bush gave his first interview of the year to the Wall Street Journal. The newspaper asked him whether he would simply outline general principles for Social Security reform and leave the details for the Republican-controlled Congress to decide.

In this article, Hendrik Hertzberg of The New Yorker kindly shares Bush’s cool, lucid reply:
That’s part of—that’s part of the advice my new National Economic Council head will be giving me as to whether or not we need to—here is the plan, or here is an idea for a plan, or why don’t you just fix it.

I suspect given my nature, I’ll want to be—the White House will be very much involved with—I have an obligation to lead on this issue—I think this will be an administrative-driven idea—to take it on. And therefore, that that be the case, I have the responsibility to provide the political cover necessary for members, I have the responsibility to make the case if there is a problem, and I have the responsibility to lay out potential solutions. Now, to the specificity of which, we’ll find out—you’ll find out with time.
This brings to mind a quote from actor-writer Robert Benchley: "Drawing on my fine command of the English language, I said nothing."

If only our president did likewise.

Nice Visuals

It looks like for every action Bush makes there is a clear, mirror-opposite reaction against him. Not that this in itself is news, but this graph demonstrates so well what we already know-- the very things that Bush does that please his supporters the most appeal the least to his detractors.

Less Popular than Nixon

On this cusp of his 2nd term inauguration festivities President Bush's approval rating is a post-election bounce-free 52%.

Let's compare that to other re-elected presidents at the same juncture in their careers, shall we?

Clinton 62% (January 1997)
Reagan 64% (January 1985)
Nixon 59% (January 1973)

That's quite a nice-looking mandate Bush has his arm around, apparently he's taking him to the ball...

The Problem With Block Grants

Here's a pretty shameful misuse of governement funds in Hawaii:

State legislators are questioning whether $1 million originally intended for anti-poverty programs was properly spent in an anti-drug and alcohol abuse publicity campaign being run out of Lt. Gov. James "Duke" Aiona's office.

But the Lingle administration contends federal funding guidelines allow the money to be used for the anti-drug campaign, which features decathlete Bryan Clay, singer Jasmine Trias and surfer Bethany Hamilton.

At a Senate Ways and Means hearing last week, Lillian Koller, state human services director, defended how her department spends the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families funds, which are primarily used for federal assistance to the poor.

[edit]

Koller defended the campaign, saying it was considered "a good way to get people out of poverty."


Ask a Question -- Just Never Really Answer It

President Bush's Social Security reform plan would surely be "dead on arrival" were it not for the strong public perception that the system is financially unsound. In California, the terminator is also dabbling in pension reform, but San Francisco Chronicle columnist Kathleen Pender explains what Schwarzenegger -- unlike Bush -- does not have working in his favor:
What's wrong with this picture?

This month, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger called the state's pension system "another financial train on another track to disaster" and proposed replacing the state's defined-benefit plans with a defined contribution for state employees hired after June 30, 2006. He also proposed a carrot and stick to entice current employees to opt out of the system ...

Yet last week, Moody's Investors Service gave the California Public Employees' Retirement System its highest, Aaa credit rating for a new business CalPERS is entering: Using its pension-fund assets to guarantee municipal bonds issued by states, counties and cities nationwide.

CalPERS' credit rating ... is considerably higher than the state's own single-A credit rating. It could theoretically result in the bizarre scenario of CalPERS insuring the bonds the state wants to sell to pay the money it owes to CalPERS.

... The California State Teachers' Retirement System, the other pension fund in Schwarzenegger's sights, has been insuring municipal bonds for a decade. It, too, gets triple-A ratings from Moody's and Fitch.

If the two pension funds are so strong, why does the governor hate them so?
Pender teases us by asking this question but never flat-out answering it. This isn't rocket science. Both CalPERS and the teacher retirement system impose certain costs on state government -- contributions that must be made on a semi-regular basis.

Since Schwarzenegger wants to improve the state's budget picture, these costs pose an obstacle. Within the political world, Arnold's approach is not a novel one: dump some of those costs on local jurisdictions. Later in the article, Pender explains:
For the teachers' system, the governor has proposed ending the state's 2 percent contribution and pushing it onto the school districts.

School districts, in turn, could pass that cost on to teachers through collective bargaining, "on the grounds that teachers need to take on a bigger share of the risk that defined-benefit plans bring," says Tom Lynn, a (Schwarzenegger spokesman) ...
Pender asked a very important question, but she forced her readers to search and sift for an answer.

Daily Darfur

Don Cheadle and John Prendergast have an op-ed in the Boston Globe
The failure to act forcefully in Sudan and Congo highlights how little progress the world has made since the events of 1994. These debacles also remind us that the world body charged with leading the response to crises of this kind -- the United Nations Security Council -- remains unwilling or unable to confront the perpetrators of mass atrocities in the world's peripheral zones. Divisions within the Security Council over whether to act remain huge, and the divisions themselves become an excuse for inaction.
The Wall Street Journal has a good article on the probability that Sudan will be referred to the International Criminal Court for prosecution - and the Bush administration's opposition to it
But the Bush administration opposes the idea, not because it could bring Americans before the court but rather for the legitimacy a referral could impart to the fledgling tribunal. "We are studying options and the ICC is not one of them," says a U.S. official who monitors the court.
Nonetheless, Amnesty International is calling on the UN Security Council to refer the case to the ICC.

Ohio Abusers May Not Be Off the Hook

Zoe's post on an unintended consequence of the Ohio Hate Amendment reminds us that collateral damage can be caused be all sorts of blunt weapons. But, if the article correctly paraphrases the amendment's text, I don't think the courts will strike down the domestic violence statute's protection for unmarried individuals.

According to the article, the amendment forbids laws that intend to "approximate the design of marriage." It's creative lawyering, but I think there are a couple of big problems with the public defenders' argument.

1. Marriage comes with a bunch of legal rights and obligations (people have no idea what they're getting into). You've got things like the right to inherit property--even if your spouse writes a will leaving everything to someone else--automatic parental rights for the husband when the wife bears a child irrespective of whether it's "his," the right to make decisions on behalf of an incompetent spouse (that is, a spouse who has become mentally incapable of making important decisions through disease, age, or accident, not someone who's bad at being a spouse), etc. To "approximate the design of marriage," I think you'd have to give unmarried couples many or most of these rights and obligations, not just one. Just having a right to get a protective order against your partner doesn't turn you into anything legally resembling--or "approximating"--husband and wife.

Whatever was intended, the amendment's text (as quoted in the article) seems to be aimed at civil unions, i.e., something that's legally just like marriage except for the name. Compare the proposed federal Hate Amendment, which prohibits giving unmarried people the "legal incidents" of marriage. That text is much more amenable to the construction the public defenders are pushing, which is that no law can provide any of the legal benefits or obligations of marriage.

2. Even if the Ohio amendment is not limited to everything-but-the-name, or at least most-things-but-the-name, a judge might conclude that protection from domestic violence isn't the sort of thing the amendment prohibits. Before you get married, you don't have any legal rights with respect to your beloved's property, children, etc. But you do have a right not to be assaulted by anyone, including the person you're sleeping with. You also have a right to a protective order against people who repeatedly assault you (or even stalk you without laying a finger on you). The additional procedural right to get the same protective order automatically, rather than on a case-by-case basis, might not be seen as akin to getting entirely new substantive property rights, parental rights, etc.

Even if I'm right, a) the Hate Amendments really suck and b) there will be unintended consequences somewhere, and soon--my guess is the hospital-visitation or child-custody/adoption fields.

Misplaced Confidence

Did you feel confident the last time you were at the airport, saw all of those TSA security personnel, and patiently endured the wait of all phases of post-9/11 airline security?

If so, The Atlantic Monthly's James Fallows strongly suggests that you're deluding yourself. In the magazine's current issue, Fallows writes:
The most damaging form of make-believe (in the war against terror) is the failure to distinguish between destructive but not annihilating kinds of attack we can never eliminate but can withstand and the two or three ways terrorist groups could actually put our national survival in jeopardy.

... Screening lines at airports are perhaps the most familiar reminder of post-9/11 security. They also exemplify what's wrong with the current approach. Many of the routines and demands are silly, eroding rather than building confidence in the security regime of which they are part.

"You can't go through an airport line without thinking 'This is dumb,'" says Graham Allison, the author of the recent Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe, and the director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, at Harvard, which conducts many projects on anti-terrorism and security.

"You have the two people whose job is to see if the name on your driver's license is the same as the name on your ticket—as if any self-respecting terrorist would fail to think of that. You have the guy whose job is to shout out a reminder for you to take off your jacket and get your computer out of your bag. You've got one-year-olds taking off their shoes. It is hard to think of a way you could caricature it to make it look sillier."

At the same time, the ritual manages to be intimidating, as a standing reminder of how much Americans have to fear.

The airport screening process is surprisingly expensive, directly costing the Transportation Security Administration more than $4 billion a year.

... Are the measures worthwhile? They certainly reduce one specific danger: that a plane will be brought down by a shoe bomb or some other explosive device concealed in a passenger's clothes or carry-on luggage. But they probably make no difference in the odds of another 9/11-style attack, now that cockpit doors have been reinforced and passengers know they must not let a hijacker succeed.

And they also do nothing to reduce the risk of explosions in the cargo hold, since most airborne cargo containers are not screened at all, even when carried on passenger airplanes.

In a larger sense, such extensive screening at airports may actually make America more vulnerable, because of all the things the Transportation Security Administration is neglecting to do as a result.

The TSA has a total budget of some $5.3 billion—more than 80 percent of which goes to airport screening. Although there is some money for transportation security in other parts of the federal budget, the TSA, which is supposedly responsible for all modes of transportation, has well under $1 billion for everything except airlines: roads, bridges, subways, tunnels, railroads, ports, and other facilities through which most of the nation's people and commerce move.

"Nobody can 'prove' that it's wrong to have so little left for ports and roads and railroads, because nobody has done the analysis," says Daniel Prieto ... (a former) staff member for the House Select Committee on Homeland Security ...

"... it sure doesn't seem right, when trucks account for 70 to 80 percent of all shipping in the United States; when terrorist attacks globally, like the Madrid bombing, show that land-based transportation targets are among the deadliest and most easily hit ..."

Monday, January 17, 2005

Ohio-- A Cautionary Tale?

When a state attempts to radically undermine the rights of same-sex couples-- casting the widest net possible-- it's inevitable that some straight people will get entangled as well. However in this case it's unwed victims of domestic violence who are being hung out to dry. From the Plain Dealer:
Ohio's new constitutional amendment aimed at denying special legal rights to gay and unmarried couples also may strip legal protections from thousands of unwed victims of domestic violence.

Legal and victim-advocacy circles are buzzing over motions from the Cuyahoga County public defender's office to dismiss domestic-violence charges against unmarried defendants.

The argument: that the charge violates the amendment to Ohio's Constitution known as Issue 1 by giving spouselike status and protection to victims who live with, but aren't married to, their accused attackers.

"The thing is, you can only get a domestic-violence charge now if you are a wife beater, not a girlfriend beater," said Jeff Lazarus, a law clerk for public defender Robert Tobik and chief architect of the motions to dismiss.

Issue 1 became law on Dec. 1, and none of the cases in Cleveland Municipal and Cuyahoga County Common Pleas courts has produced a judge's ruling yet. But the filings have stunned domestic-violence victims advocates, who expect that the office's novel tactic will start an avalanche of copycat pleadings across the state.

"It's a bad, bad thing," said Cathleen Alexander, director of the Domestic Violence Center in Cleveland. "We're very worried that some victims will not be granted the protection they need because they're not married. That could jeopardize people's lives.

"I think," she added, "that this is consistent with the law of unintended consequences."
...
Ohio's quarter-century-old domestic-violence law gives special criminal status to an assault by a family or household member and establishes unique protections for the victim. Courts also have consistently applied it to homosexual couples.

It is one of only two criminal offenses - along with menacing by stalking - that automatically gives the victim access to a protective order to keep the defendant away, and police are obligated to enforce it. Further, a violation of the protective order, or any second offense, "accelerates" misdemeanor domestic-violence charges to a felony.

The law treats anyone "living as a spouse" the same as a spouse when it comes to domestic violence: It defines domestic violence as an attack, or attempted or threatened attack, against a household member, and includes unmarried couples - so-called cohabitants.

Therein lies the rub, the public defender's office motions contend. The new amendment forbids any state or local law that would "create or recognize a legal status for relationships of unmarried individuals that intends to approximate the design . . . of marriage."

Yet, that is exactly what the domestic-violence law does for unmarried couples living together, says Lazarus, a third-year law student who drew up the boilerplate motion to dismiss. The law, he wrote, "clearly creates a legal relationship between unmarried individuals."

"The two just completely butt heads," he said in an interview this week.
...
Legal scholars say thousands more could follow. According to the Ohio Domestic Violence Network in Columbus, more than 20,500 people were arrested for domestic violence in 2003 (the most recent year for which figures were available), and courts issued 16,219 protective orders. As many as one in five such cases involves unmarried partners, estimated Nancy Nealon, the network's executive director.

In any such case, defendants' lawyers now may be ethically and legally bound to file a motion to dismiss on the constitutionality grounds, said Tim Downing, a lawyer and gay-rights activist who opposed Issue 1. If the defense succeeds and a defense lawyer fails to use it, he or she could be accused of malpractice.

"It's one of the consequences of passing this amendment that we tried to warn people about," Downing said. "And for whatever reason, the majority of people in the state didn't listen."
What is that famous saying about the law being a big, blunt instrument? Sadly, in this case, it's a very blunt force indeed.

Saturday, January 15, 2005

Cutting Off Our Fabulous Noses

Presented without comment:

Military Has Discharged 26 Gay Linguists

The number of Arabic linguists discharged from the military for violating its "don't ask, don't tell" policy is higher than previously reported, according to records obtained by a research group.

Between 1998 and 2004, the military discharged 20 Arabic and six Farsi speakers....


Friday, January 14, 2005

A Moment of Macho Idiocy -- Now a Lie

During a taped interview Friday night with ABC's celebrity-gossip maven, Barbara Walters, President Bush reflected on his first term as president:
"I said some things in the first term that were probably a little blunt. 'Bring it on' was a little blunt. I was really speaking to our troops, but it came out and had a different connotation, different meanings for others."
Really? Let's rewind history for just a moment and see exactly whom Bush was addressing.

On July 2, 2003, this is what Bush said about increasing attacks on U.S. troops by Iraqi insurgents:
"Anybody who wants to harm American troops will be found and brought to justice. There are some that feel like if they attack us that we may decide to leave prematurely. They don't understand what they are talking about if that is the case. Let me finish. There are some who feel like the conditions are such that they can attack us there. My answer is, bring 'em on."
You'd have to be a pet rock to think that Bush was issuing this challenge to anyone other than the Iraqi insurgents. It's bad enough to engage in deception about any issue (tax cuts, the existence of WMDs, environmental policy, etc.), but over something this?

Why even remind the public about your silly, macho-laden remark? Most Americans had long since forgotten about it. It wasn't just a lie, but to quote the immortal Addison DeWitt, "it was a stupid lie."

Trying to convince the public that Bush was addressing his "bring 'em on" remark to U.S. troops will require extraordinary assistance -- more than the gang at Ketchum can provide.

(Sigh.) Bush's second term seems destined to resemble the first one.

Waste Not, Want Not

Last month's Harper's Index provides an unsettling insight into the bounds of American consumerism:
Average number of clothing items an adult American acquired in 2002 : 52

Estimated average amount of textiles thrown out by each U.S. household in 2001, in pounds : 66

As Usual

Mikhaela gets to the heart of the matter.

More Hotel Rwanda

I intend this as a tiny complement to Eugene's earlier post. I second his frustration at the lack of understanding one gets from the movie. However, I don't see it as a flaw with an easy remedy. The best it could ever be is an introduction. And on that note, I found it to be quite good. (I was impressed with how much context the movie actually did get in. And I also thought it was a damn fine movie.)

It will have proven to be of truly lasting value if the wishes of Paul Rusesabagina are borne out. He explains them quite clearly in an interview that he and Don Cheadle did last month.
In the years since the atrocities in Rwanda ten years ago, apologies have been made by some of the countries who at first turned a blind eye towards intervention. We asked Mr. Rusesabagina how he felt about these apologies. "Well, what took place, had happened. We can't change anything. In forgiving, if someone comes to you and they [apologize], you can always go ahead and forgive him. We will never forget, but we forgive. Now, there is a very good reason for me, even to forgive, because there is a message. This movie we have done is a message to the world. It is a message to each and every one of us, to remember whenever we see a similar situation; we care because we know that what happened Rwanda might be repeated in some other part of the world. As it is happening right now in Sudan. It is happening in Congo not far from Rwanda."

The film's website also has a list (see the "reference" heading under the "Get Involved" tab) of other sources that do give context, as well as a teacher's guide for high school age students co-produced by Amnesty International. I think that's a pretty good first step to understanding, but it would be better if it wasn't completely buried.

A Story to Look For

I'm all in favor of these white ribbon magnets from United for Peace and Justice (via Tom Tomorrow). Here's what I'm wondering about the people who will put them on their cars:

When their cars start getting vandalized, and they themselves get harrassed or assaulted, will the news get the same play as the bogus story about the soldier getting attacked by a peacenick at a Toby Keith concert?

(Yes, I realize it's easy to be all in favor of the magnets in my semi-disclosed location; but I encourage those of you living in the motherland to display them proudly. After all, if the Commander-in-Chief can do so well on a "Let's you and him fight" strategy, why can't I?)

Hotel Rwanda

Genocide has a tendency to shut people up.

Considering its subject matter, there is an understandable hesitancy to criticize the new movie "Hotel Rwanda," starring Don Cheadle. One feels a bit guilty criticizing such a well-intentioned and important movie - but one also feels obligated to highlight its shortcomings because it is such an important movie.

The average American movie-goer probably has very little understanding of what actually transpired in this tiny African country more than a decade ago. By simply bringing the story of Paul Rusesabagina, the Hotel Mille Collines, and the 1200 Rwandans he saved to the screen, director Terry George has accomplished a remarkable feat and done a great service. But considering that his audience is coming to this film looking, in part, for an explanation of what happened and why, I feel that George focused too much (and too narrowly) on the "what happened" part and too little on the "why."

There can be no doubt that, during 100 horrifying days in 1994, the world stood by and watched as militants slaughtered nearly 1 million people. Yet, in "Hotel Rwanda," the vast majority of the narrative focuses on Rusesabagina and his attempts to save his family and his own life. Much of the movie takes place within the walls of the Mille Collines and, though the genocide unfolding beyond this small sanctuary permeates the story, I felt that the true size and the horror of what was taking place was somewhat lost.

There are several scenes in which we get a sense of what was happening to those who were not as lucky as Rusesabagina, and while those scenes helped to place Rusesabagina's story in its proper context, why this was happening was completely overlooked.

There are four key aspects to the genocide that George does not mention (or mentions only in passing) that I feel need to be understood in order to truly explain just what occurred and why. George's story begins sometime in April 1994, when Hutu genocidal animosity has already reached a fevered pitch and ends with the RPF taking over Kigali. As such, it pretty much covers the entire 100 days of the genocide, though I don't think you would ever get the impression that the genocide lasted 3 months from the film. But there was much that occurred before and after these 100 days that influenced the course of history and must be acknowledged for one to have a true understanding of what took place.

1. The Rwandan Patriotic Front
Following the 1959 revolution in which the Hutus took power from the Tutsi aristocracy that had long dominated the country with the backing of Belgian colonialists, many thousands of Tutsis were killed while many thousands more fled to neighboring countries. Many of them settled in permanent refugee camps and, as a result, their children grew up stateless. Many of these Rwandan children eventually joined the Ugandan rebel National Resistance Army, led by Yoweri Museveni. In 1986, the NRA took over Uganda and Museveni became president, at which time he turned on his Rwandan allies in the army and forced them out. They left, but took their weapons with them and regrouped into the Rwandan Patriotic Front. From Uganda, they launched an invasion of Rwanda in 1990. By 1993, the RPF and the government of Kigali had worked out a peace-deal that guaranteed the right of return for refugees and implemented a power-sharing government. The militant Hutu political factions saw the peace deal as a betrayal by their president, Juvenal Habyarimana, and on April 6th, shot down his airplane as he was returning from Tanzania. (Nobody really knows for sure who shot down the plane, but most experts point the finger at the Rwandan Army.)

2. Burundi
Burundi is, in many ways, Rwanda's twin. They are of similar size, population and ethnic make-up, but unlike Rwanda, Burundi's army is dominated by the Tutsi minority. In 1993, Tutsi army officers killed Burundi's president Melchior Ndadaye. Hutu forces then retaliated on the country's Tutsis before the Tutsi-dominated army put down the insurrection and killed an estimated 100,000 people in the process.

3. Black Hawk Down
In October 1993, the United States lost 18 Army Rangers during a peacekeeping mission in Somalia. Amid harsh criticism, the Clinton administration almost immediately pulled US troops out of the country and set about drafting Presidential Decision Directive 25 which created strict guidelines regarding the use of US forces in multinational peacekeeping operations. PDD 25 was signed by President Clinton on May 6, 1994 - one month into the genocide. Traumatized by the episode in Somalia, the Clinton administration was not prepared to send US soldiers to another African country to stop a slaughter in which the US had no national interest. In fact, they used the directive as an excuse to force the withdrawal of the vast majority of UNAMIR troops mere days into the genocide. Which brings us to our final point ...

4. The Deaths of the Belgian Peacekeepers
On April 7th, 10 Belgian troops who had been sent to protect transitional Prime Minister Agathe Uwilingiyamana were surrounded by Rwandan troops, disarmed and taken away. Uwilingiyamana was killed by the soldiers near her home and the Belgian soldiers were tortured and killed at a nearby army base. As a result, Belgium, backed by the US, immediately pushed for a complete withdrawal of all UNAMIR troops. The UN eventually reduced the force by 90%, leaving a mere 250 poorly trained and equipped soldiers with a limited mandate to stand by while Interahamwe militias worked to kill all the Tutsis in the country, as well as any moderate Hutus who refused to join them.

These four things played a key role in the course of Rwanda's history and explain a great deal about why the genocide occurred. The invasion of the RPF and the simultaneous slaughter of Hutus in Burundi gave Hutu Power leaders in Rwanda a platform for their genocidal campaign against the country's Tutsi minority. The Tutsi were painted as collaborators with the rebel army who would, if they won the war or were granted power via the peace accord, implement the same sort of murderous oppression then occurring in Burundi. It was thus imperative, if Hutus were to survive, that they completely wipe out all the Tutsis in the country. It was, in reality, a political power struggle masked in ethnic terms but with a massive propaganda campaign, the Hutu Power contingent managed to arm and train a ruthless militia force and mentally prepare the population for the coming slaughter.

Once that slaughter began, memories of the Black Hawk Down incident and the brutal deaths of the Belgian peacekeepers not only prevented the international community from intervening, but created pressure to withdraw all UNAMIR troops. France, the US and Belgium immeditately sent troops but only to evacuate their own citizens and then immediately left, choosing to let Rwanda fend for itself. Months later, France did organize "Operation Turquoise" which was nominally designed to protect vulnerable civilians but mainly just allowed the perpetrators of the genocide to flee into Zaire.

It should also be noted that, with the onset of the genocide, the RPF launched an all-out invasion of Rwanda and eventually captured the entire country. During this invasion and afterwards, it is estimated that RPF forces killed more than 60,000 Hutus in reprisal.

The entire point of this post is to give people a little more background than they will get in the movie. The movie itself is very good and most certainly worth seeing but I fear that Terry George's somewhat narrow view of the genocide might lead those who know little about it to simply conclude that is was just "another example of Africans killing each other for no reason."

That most certainly was not the case. Like so much else in Africa (e.g., Darfur) it was a political struggle that exploited ethnic tensions - with devastating results.

Malkin on the Pay-for-Pander Scandal

Conservative commentator Michelle Malkin is usually terse and way off the mark. But I give her credit for viewing the Armstrong Williams scandal outside of the typical left-vs-right paradigm. In recent days, Malkin has blasted Education Secretary Rod Paige, even calling for his head:
... Rod Paige should be fired. [Update: Yup, forgot that he's already leaving. If he is implicated in the design of this stupid pay-to-pander plan, he must face stiff penalties at most...and strong public rebuke by conservatives at the very least.]

Those who came up with this disgusting scheme should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. Any other pundits who accepted money from the Bush administration, whether from the Education Department or any other bureaucracy, should come forward now and disclose. And then they should immediately return the money.
Today, on her blog, Malkin rips into Williams and Paige for mischaracterizing the DOE contract that is at the heart of the scandal:
... Paige broke his silence about the Armstrong Williams flap yesterday, insisting that the Department of Education's payments to Williams were geared "exclusively toward the production and airtime of advertisements ..."

... Exclusively?

The contract signed by Williams wasn't just about advertising. It guaranteed Paige and other Dept. of Education officials the right to appear on Williams' show. It pushed Williams to produce segments about No Child Left Behind, to discuss the legislation on other television shows, and to encourage other commentators to do the same.

It's As If I've Moved to a Different Planet

The conservatives are in power here in the Netherlands. Here's the latest from the government.

The Cabinet is not in favour of reducing taxes in coming years if it comes at the expense of reducing the budget deficit, Finance Minister Gerrit Zalm said on Friday.

Zalm was responding to the traditional New Year's article from the top public servant within the Economic Affairs Ministry. The article suggested that tax cuts would help stimulate the ailing Dutch economy.

But Zalm said the government was already behind schedule in terms of reducing its budget deficit and is unlikely to agree to worsen the situation.

Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende also ruled out a tax cut, saying that taxes had already been reduced in 2001. He also said there are indications the economy is starting to recover, partly due to wage moderation.

I think I must have misunderstood. I'd better go back and read that again.

When the Shoe's on the Other Foot

(RE: Arnold's post about conservative criticism that Joann Davidson of Ohio -- who "supports some abortion rights" -- was nominated to be a co-chair of the Republican National Committee.)

Reading this post made me think of how conservatives reacted when the shoe was on the other foot. Consider the tone of the Right's reaction when organizers of the 1992 Democratic National Convention denied a speaking role to Pennsylvania's pro-life governor, Bob Casey:
Bob Novak: "... while serving his second term as governor, (Casey) was refused permission to address the 1992 Democratic National Convention, because he would have spoken against abortion ... it is an outrage that the world's oldest political party imposes support for abortion as a litmus test."

John Leo: "Casey was a great governor, liberal on every issue of interest to Democrats except abortion. So he was pointedly banned from speaking at the 1992 convention. To rub it in, one of his most bitter opponents in Pennsylvania, a pro-abortion Re­publican, was given a speaking role."

Paul Gigot: "Al Gore has ... even tried to make amends for the outrage of 1992, when two-term Pennsylvania Gov. Bob Casey was kept off the Democratic stage for his pro-life views."

Pat Buchanan: "When ... Robert Casey asked to say a few words on behalf of the 25 million unborn children destroyed since Roe v. Wade, he was told there was no place for him at the podium of Bill Clinton's convention, no room at the inn. Yet a militant leader of the homosexual rights movement could rise at that convention and [speak] ..."
This is just a small sample of what conservative pundits were saying in the months and years that followed the Casey controversy.

So if it's wrong for Dems to maintain an ideological straightjacket on abortion, I guess these and other conservative writers are probably tapping away on their keyboards right now, busily writing columns that defend Davidson's nomination as co-chair of the RNC.

Or could it be that their post-Casey slamfest was simply a convenient way to repackage their partisan views?

Another Strike Against Iowa's Caucus

In a few posts early last year, I argued that it turns representative democracy on its head to give Iowa and New Hampshire such inordinate power in the presidential nominating process. Both states are disproportionately non-urban. Iowa has roughly one-fifth as many racial and ethnic minorities as the nation as a whole. New Hampshire's electorate fails even more miserably at exemplifying the great American "melting pot."

Writing in today's Washington Post, Peter Beinart has come up with a few more reasons why Iowa is undeserving of its first-out-of-the-gate status -- one of which I find persuasive:
In a primary, people can vote all day. But in Iowa, you must arrive at your precinct caucus site at exactly 6:30 p.m. and stay for several hours, which virtually bars people who work at night.

There are no absentee ballots, and voting is not secret .... Democrats generally believe in making it easy to vote. But in Iowa, voting is comparatively difficult. And that difficulty is reflected in the percentage of people who participate: In both 2000 and 2004, roughly 50 percent of registered Democrats cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary. In the Iowa caucuses, it was between 10 and 20 percent.

Remember: Dems Blackball Pro-Life Politicians

That tired meme keeps getting repeated, no matter how flimsy the evidence supporting it. Hell, the Senate Minority Leader is a pro-life Mormon.

Anyway, the GOP looks like it's going to face a test over whether pro-choicers are going to be welcome any more. Here's what one of the leaders of the Ohio Hate Amendment had to say when a fellow Ohioan "who supports some abortion rights" was asked to co-chair the RNC:

The co-chairwoman of the party during the 2000 election, Patricia Harrison, also supported some abortion rights, but Mr. Burress argued that the 2004 election had changed the party.

"They have got to go," he said. "The pendulum is swinging the other way now. We have a seat at the table now."

This is one of the effects of winning power. When you're out, you've all got to band together to fight the common enemy. When you're in and feeling confident, the bolsheviks start purging the mensheviks.

Will no one rid the GOP of these turbulent moderates?

Good News for a Change

A reminder of why the radical clerics and their followers need to pass Hate Amendments now: time is not on their side.

Looks like the Lutherans are going to stop punishing pastors for performing same-sex weddings, even though official doctrine will remain opposed. (I have a bi ex-girlfriend who is a Lutheran minister; I think she'll be pleased).

Not a humongous victory, to be sure. But consider where society was 30 years ago on gay issues. Consider opinion polls showing not only increasing tolerance over time but also a huge disparity between old folks (anti-gay) and young folks (not). May not be much consolation to families like Zoe's, who need legal protection now, but history is moving in the right direction.

From the People Who Brought You the Torture Memo

Some folks remember when the Office of Legal Counsel was trusted for its independence of judgment and excellence of analysis, rather than for telling the client (i.e., the current administration) whatever it wanted to hear.

Looks like the federal government is now committed to gutting gun control.

Thank you, John Ashcroft, for applying the Bush Doctrine of Affirmative Action to yet another organ of the federal government.

You know the B.D.A.A., of course: preference will be given to applicants of ideological purity and unshakeable loyalty; those who are competent and honest need not apply.

Daily Darfur

Human Rights Watch has released its annual World Survey, a large section of which is dedicated to Darfur
In early 2004, mounting evidence of massive human rights abuses in the Darfur region of Sudan tested anew the international community’s will and capacity to halt ethnic cleansing and protect civilians. The United Nations and member states responded with a flurry of missions, humanitarian assistance, calls for negotiations, demands for action by the government of Sudan, veiled threats of sanctions, support for African Union (A.U.) peacekeepers, and a commission of inquiry. By year’s end, however, the pallid steps taken by the U.N. Security Council at a special session on Sudan held in Nairobi, Kenya, had called into question the commitment of Security Council members to follow through on their earlier resolutions—and no end to the catastrophic suffering of the people of Darfur was in sight.

The final act in the tragedy of Darfur is yet to be written. But enough of the story has already unfolded to conclude that the world’s political leaders have failed to deliver on the promises made in the wake of the genocide in Rwanda in 1994 that they would “never again” dither in the face of a possible genocide.
Sudan is defending its right to use military aircraft in Darfur despite calls by the UN to stop military flights.

Color Me Unconvinced

Regular readers will know how irritating I find the anti-intellectual, anti-rational strain of faith-based politics, particularly when it comes to the subject of evolution. I think, in fact, that the Cobb County disclaimer sticker in biology textbooks (telling students that evolution is "a theory, not a fact") set me off on a ranting post in the old Demagogue.

But I also recall saying that I doubted the sticker was an Establishment Clause violation and that I didn't think the lawsuit against it should succeed. As you've probably heard, it did succeed with the trial judge. I've read the opinion (pdf), and I'm not convinced.

Since I'm disagreeing with the judge's decision to order the county to remove the stickers, I should start by noting what a thoughtful and well-written opinion he produced (shout-out to the judge's law clerks, too). I'm afraid that his very careful attempt at the outset to explain what he was not deciding will count for very little in the storm of press coverage and flood of hate mail he's about to receive. He pointed out that he wasn't saying whether or not evolution should be taught as a theory or a fact, whether schools could teach intelligent design, or which explanation of the origin of the human species was correct.

The nuances will be lost on angry fundamentalists, I'm sure, and I don't exactly blame the non-lawyers among them (I will blame radical clerics who inflame their followers by misrepresenting what the judge said, but not the followers themselves). To a lay person hearing about the case, it will sound as if the judge is saying that all public schools must tell students that evolution is the truth and are forbidden from even suggesting that it is a theory and might be incorrect. That's not what the judge said, but that's how it will sound, and I'd get pretty upset about that if I were a fundamentalist and had kids in public school.

But in any event, no matter how thoughtful the opinion, I think it's wrong. I also think the 11th Circuit will reverse (which isn't saying the same thing, as I think the 11th Circuit isn't exactly the brightest star in our judicial constellation).

I start as someone who is very skeptical of judges' overturning the decisions of political bodies like legislatures or the Cobb County School Board. Conservatives get upset when judges strike down anti-abortion laws or require marriage equality--and I think they have a point. I also think that partisan conservatives who support Bush's judicial nominees have a glass-houses problem, as conservative judges have been striking down civil rights, environmental, and other liberal legislation at an alarming rate, and the Rehnquist Court has invalidated Acts of Congress at a rate unprecedented in the history of the Supreme Court. I think the stickers are stupid and a cave-in to the forces of obscurantism, but that doesn't mean a judge should intercede.

But there are times when there really are Establishment Clause violations that judges should remedy. This isn't one of them. The judge heard testimony from all the School Board members as well as from parents and others who had been involved throughout the controversy that led to the stickers' adoption, and he concluded that the School Board was not trying to advance a religious explanation of the origin of species. And from the judge's recounting of the testimony, it seemed reasonable to conclude that the School Board was not acting from a desire to promote a particular religion, or even religion in general. To me, that should have just about ended the case, but it's not the judge's fault that it didn't--he has to follow the Supreme Court, after all, and they've still not managed to do away with the "three-pronged" test that all nine justices dislike, so the law is still officially that the government's purpose is only one of three elements that must be considered.

In the end, the key to the judge's decision was that in the context of the controversy that erupted after Cobb County bought these textbooks, a "reasonable observer" would view the stickers as implying that the government was siding with the biblical literalists. Not that it was siding with them; but that it looked like it was. I wouldn't want to say that appearances never count, but I think this one was a stretch. This isn't like cases in which the government makes schools teach creationism alongside evolution. The stickers don't mention any alternative theory to evolution. Yes, we all know what the leading alternative is, but it's hard to say the government is siding with the fundamentalists when the textbook teaches only evolution and the teachers teach only evolution. When you consider the sticker in that context, it seems more like a sop to the feelings of the fundamentalists (who weren't satisfied with it, by the way, pretty much for that reason) than an endorsement of their beliefs.

To sum up an overlong post: if I were on the School Board, I'd have voted against this sticker. But if I were a judge, I wouldn't stop the School Board from putting the sticker in the textbooks. And before liberals celebrate this decision too much, they should think about how often the courts meddle with liberal laws and consider whether we might all be better off if the courts were a bit more cautious about throwing their weight around.

Thursday, January 13, 2005

Thomas Jefferson's P.S.

As for the news that the Bush administration has officially ended its search for WMDs in Iraq, let me add one final post-script. (Or, better yet, let me use someone who was far more eloquent to do it for me.)

In his second inaugural address, Jefferson was speaking of foreign affairs when he said:
"... history bears witness to the fact that a just nation is trusted on its word when recourse is had to armaments and wars to bridle others."

Closeted Greatness

Sausage-Neck Goldberg weighs in on the new book suggesting that Abraham Lincoln might have been gay (or at least bi-sexual). Goldberg doesn't think it really matters - what matters is that, if Lincoln was indeed gay, he kept it in the closet
If Lincoln did gay stuff in private, he did not do it in public. He got married, had kids and never for a moment advocated that society or government should create social space for homosexuals. Indeed, if one were so inclined, one could take the available evidence and say "See! Lincoln's gayness proves that if homosexuals just stay in the closet, they can achieve great things!"
I'm inclined to think that Goldberg is one of those who is inclined to make exactly this argument.

So there you go Frederick and Zoe and all of our gay and/or bi-sexual readers: you can all accomplish great things is only you'd stop being so damned open about your homosexuality!

The Scripted Conversation

Yesterday Frederick noted that Bush's insistence that the American people support his plan to privatize Social Security because he campaigned on the issue and was elected is "laughable."

Nonetheless, Bush is pushing ahead and participated in a "conversation" on Social Security. Kevin Drum noted that, during the event, Bush flat-out lied about the future of Social Security and nobody in the press bothered to call him on it.

Given that it is widely acknowledged that Bush rarely has any idea what he is talking about, one might be tempted to assume that Bush simply doesn't understand the complexities of Social Security or that he merely misspoke.

But since the entire event was scripted, that is rather unlikely. The event featured only carefully screened people chosen specifically for their willingness to spout the administration's talking points in favor of privatization.

And Drew Johnston over at Political Strategy noticed that, despite his handler's tight choreography, Bush couldn't refrain from flubbing his lines
MS. STONE: I would like to introduce my mom. This is my mother, Rhoda Stone. And she is grandmother of three, and originally from Helsinki, Finland, and has been here over 40 years.

THE PRESIDENT: Fantastic. Same age as my mother.

MS. STONE: Just turned 80.
The man must be a mind-reader!

Let's Hear It for Oneiros Dreaming

Who is this person? Has he/she commented here? If not, why not? If so, why have I missed it?

Anyway, cheers for giving Demagogue its first and only vote in the Koufax Awards' group blog category.

I think we might need another couple of votes to make the final round, though.

September 11th: The Talking Point

The Carpetbagger examines Scott McClellan's explanation of the administration's failure to find WMD's in Iraq.

And speaking of the Carpetbagger Report, I encourage you all to go here and cast your vote for it in "Most Deserving of Wider Recognition" category.

Wal-Mart's P.R. Repair Effort

CNN reports that Wal-Mart is launching a national ad campaign to try to "repair an image tarnished by allegations that it discriminates in hiring and promotions and drives smaller rivals out of business." According to CNN:
The company ran a full-page advertisement in more than a hundred newspapers, touting the jobs it plans to create this year, its employee benefit packages, and the diversity of its work force. It also has started a Web site to support its campaign.

The timing of the campaign is not a response to any specific charge against Wal-Mart, said Jay Allen, senior vice president of corporate affairs. But the company has come under increasing criticism due to its growth in recent years, he added.
If only Wal-Mart's marketing department has approached me, I would have gladly shared some catchy ideas for their new image-building campaign. For example, here's a slogan for the ad campaign:
Always Low Prices, Always Low Wages
And Wal-Mart could build morale among their employees by conducting an internal, leaflet campaign. Headlines for these employee leaflets could include the following:
"How to Make Your 2-Day Vacation Feel Like a Whole Week"

"How to Set a Fracture All By Yourself"

and

"Influenza: It's All in Your Head"
Have a few ideas of your own? Please share.

Now for the Good News....

The most damning thing about all of these observations....
Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction. Saddam Hussein had no terrorist links or involvement in the September 11 terror attack.

U.S. casualties (dead and wounded) now stand at 10 percent of the U.S. invasion force. A few thousand lightly armed insurgents have tied down eight U.S. divisions. Iraq's infrastructure lies in ruins. Fallujah, once a city of 300,000, has been destroyed ... most of the U.S. fighting force is confined to protecting supply lines and its own bases.

... Civil war looms as neither Sunnis, Shiites, nor Kurds are willing to support a government they do not control ... There is no light at the end of the tunnel.

... The question is: are Americans smart enough to realize this? Our government is not smart enough. The occupant of the Oval Office is drowning in hubris and delusion.

... The promised Iraqi election, if held, will settle nothing. If it is not a total disaster, it might provide cover for U.S. withdrawal, not piecemeal but all at once.
....may be the fact that the person who made them, Paul Craig Roberts, is a former Reagan administration official, a former Wall Street Journal editor and a former contributing editor at the National Review.

Unfortunately, Roberts doesn't have much company among conservatives.

It's About the Marketing, Stupid

Laurie Spivak hit the nail on the head this week in her column at AlterNet.org. The Armstrong Williams pay-for-propoganda scandal, she writes, is only one piece of a strategy that conservatives have used rather effectively:
While Democrats are still debating whether John Kerry was likeable enough or whether the Party ought to change its position on gay marriage and gun control, they are failing to see the big picture.

What they were up against wasn't a poor debater, his Machiavellian consultant, and a portfolio of privatization policies, but a well-established, conservative movement with media outlets, think tanks, foundations and advocacy organizations as well as a host of pundits, journalists, consultants, and politicians all working collaboratively to advance their right-wing agenda ...

The power of the conservative movement is not in its ideas, rather it is in the marketing of these ideas, primarily through effective packaging, promotion and distribution.

Take for example the Heritage Foundation, the foremost conservative think tank in America today. Paul Weyrich, Heritage's founder, attributes the ascendancy of the conservative movement to what he calls "the four M's: mission, money, management and marketing."

... In terms of reaching the "opinion-making elite," as many of Heritage's spokespersons were seen on television in 2002 alone as during the entire 1990s. They appeared on more than 600 television broadcasts, (and) more than 1,000 radio broadcasts ...

But it's not just the Heritage Foundation that markets conservative policies. William Baroody of the American Enterprise Institute, the first conservative think tank and the second most prominent in the nation, said, "I make no bones about marketing. We pay as much attention to the dissemination of product as to the content."

What's more, today with distribution channels like Fox News, Sinclair Broadcast Group, and Clear Channel, conservatives are increasingly marketing their ideas directly to the public.

Armstrong Williams, Karen Ryan and Ketchum PR are all bit players in what is a big budget, major studio production ... Conservatives are beating progressives with an effective marketing machine. However, no such infrastructure exists on the left.

While clearly conservatives' tactics (i.e., bribing pundit entrepreneurs and faking news spots) are deplorable, progressives can learn from their overarching marketing strategy. Progressives must frame their ideas in ways that resonate with the American public and disseminate those ideas through a variety of diverse channels in a coordinated effort.

A Perfect Record

Bob Shrum is retiring with his presidential campaign record intact.

Corruption In the National Interest

From the Financial Times
For months, the US Congress has been investigating activities that violated the United Nations oil-for-food programme and helped Saddam Hussein build secret funds to acquire arms and buy influence.

[edit]

But a joint investigation by the Financial Times and Il Sole 24 Ore, the Italian business daily, shows that the single largest and boldest smuggling operation in the oil-for-food programme was conducted with the knowledge of the US government.

“Although the financial beneficiaries were Iraqis and Jordanians, the fact remains that the US government participated in a major conspiracy that violated sanctions and enriched Saddam's cronies,” a former UN official said. “That is exactly what many in the US are now accusing other countries of having done. I think it's pretty ironic.”

Overall, the operation involved 14 tankers engaged by a Jordanian entity to load at least 7m barrels of oil for a total of no less than $150m of illegal profits. About another $50m went to Mr Hussein's cronies.

In February 2003, when US media first published reports of this smuggling effort, then attributed exclusively to the Iraqis, the US mission to the UN condemned it as “immoral”.

However, FT/Il Sole have evidence that US and UK missions to the UN were informed of the smuggling while it was happening and that they reported it to their respective governments, to no avail.

Oil traders were told informally that the US let the tankers go because Amman needed oil to build up its strategic reserves in expectation of the Iraq war.

Last week Paul Volcker, head of the independent commission created by the UN to investigate failures in the oil-for-food programme, confirmed that Washington allowed violations of the oil sanctions by Jordan in recognition of its national interests.

A New Twist on "Media Outreach"

This editorial in today's Washington Post criticizes the Bush administration for offering no apology for paying a columnist to say good things about its No Child Left Behind program. Buried within the editorial was this related tidbit, which was news to me:
This week Ayad Allawi, the interim Iraqi prime minister, was caught handing out cash to Iraqi journalists to ensure coverage of his news conferences.

Some of the journalists said afterward that the gesture reminded them of Saddam Hussein's regime, which also bribed journalists. Maybe Mr. Allawi was not relying on advice from old Baathists, but from the U.S. Education Department.

Amygdala, My Dear, What an Unexpected Pleasure

While my last science nerd post had to do with mass graves, this one is entirely frivolous. But if you like words and/or neuroscience read this ode to the word "amygdala" from the New York Times. (Noam, you'll love the pop culture references.)

If that's not for you then perhaps this one? It's about how swordfish have adapted little heaters to keep their eyeballs warm so they can see better.

For the rest of you, probably all of you, who remain unmoved. This one's sure to raise an eyebrow. The tsunami-causing earthquake raised the surface of the earth by an entire inch. We all know the effect that the wave had on the water in the ocean, but it did basically the same thing to the earth's crust. Freaky.

Daily Darfur

The UN says that southern Sudan is unprepared to deal with the expected return of more than a million refugees who fled during the 20 year civil war.

Sudanese President Omar al-Beshir vowed to bring peace to the Darfur region and will put Vice President Ali Osman Mohamed Taha, the man who helped negotiate the accord with the southern rebels, in charge of peace efforts.

Amy Costello, the FRONTLINE/World reporter who brought us the recent story on Darfur participated in a live discussion on the Washington Post's website yesterday
Calgary, Alberta, Canada: To what extent are the displaced people of Sudan aware of the world's actions, or more importantly lack thereof, in regards to their situation and what actions or solutions do they propose, other than the mass camps which seem to be a band aid solution at best.

Amy Costello: Hello Canada. In my travels around Darfur, and also in the refugee camps in neighboring Chad, I found that most people had little knowledge about the circumstances that led to their villages being attacked. Nor did they know much about what the scope of the international response has been. Most people in Darfur are peasant farmers, without much formal education. There's certainly few radios or other news sources that would enable people to understand the situation beyond their immediate vincinity.

What was clear to the people, however, was that aid would be provided to them if they moved into United Nations camps set up in Chad. Or they could go to any of the camps within Darfur and get assistance there, too.

During my visit to Chad, I saw people who'd been living for months alone at the border without any assistance at all. Eventually Red Cross trucks would arrive and bring them to camps where they could be fed and housed.

People in Darfur are also keenly aware of the precarious security situation in their villages. Most people I spoke with say they refuse to return home any time soon. They say they want concrete assurances that they will not be attacked if they go home. I found many people still hiding in mountains and they had literally been there for months. They say they want to see more troops on the ground before they'll return home.

It is Reprehensible, But Don't Make it Illegal

During his confirmation hearing, Alberto Gonzales repeatedly insisted that the Bush administration rejected the use of torture and that President Bush had never authorized torture to be used
MR. GONZALES: First of all, sir, the president has said we're not going to engage in torture under any circumstances. And so you're asking me to answer a hypothetical that is never going to occur. This president has said we're not going to engage in torture under any circumstances, and therefore, that portion of the opinion was unnecessary and was the reason that we asked that that portion be withdrawn.
I guess that since torture is never going to occur anyway, it makes sense for the Bush administration to oppose attempts to actually makes sure that it doesn't
At the urging of the White House, Congressional leaders scrapped a legislative measure last month that would have imposed new restrictions on the use of extreme interrogation measures by American intelligence officers, Congressional officials say.

[edit]

The Senate had approved the new restrictions, by a 96-to-2 vote, as part of the intelligence reform legislation. They would have explicitly extended to intelligence officers a prohibition against torture or inhumane treatment, and would have required the C.I.A. as well as the Pentagon to report to Congress about the methods they were using.

But in intense closed-door negotiations, Congressional officials said, four senior members from the House and Senate deleted the restrictions from the final bill after the White House expressed opposition.
This makes sense in light of another comment Gonzales made during his hearing
SEN. LEAHY: Now, as attorney general, would you believe the president has the authority to exercise a commander-in-chief override and immunize acts of torture?

[edit]

GONZALES: Senator, I do believe there may come an occasion when the Congress might pass a statute that the president may view as unconstitutional. And that is a position and a view not just of this president, but many, many presidents from both sides of the aisle.

Obviously, a decision as to whether or not to ignore a statute passed by Congress is a very, very serious one, and it would be one that I would spend a great deal of time and attention before arriving at a conclusion that in fact a president had the authority under the Constitution to --
Unfortunately, Leahy interrupted Gonzales before he could finish making his point, but it seems clear that he was saying that Congress might try to outlaw certain practices - practices the Bush administration thinks are justified and legal. And that would create a bit of a dilemma for the administration as they would then be forced, not to abandon those practices, but to give a lot of thought to exactly how they would ignore the statute.

So a shorter Alberto Gonzales would be: We are not going to torture people, but don't make it illegal because that will just force us to spend lots of time figuring out ways to ignore that law.

What Are They Complaining About?

For those who think that gays and lesbians don't need to be included in civil rights legislation, because giving them equal rights somehow amounts to "special rights," consider how you'd feel as a gay resident of Marshall County. Here, via the General, is the Marshall County Sheriff on the county's official website:

During this era [when the sheriff was growing up], love of God, family, and country abounded. Men were men and women were women and there was no mistaking which was which. Both were proud of their individual roles. Homosexuality was very queer and a despicable act… an abomination.

[snip]

A man's word was his bond. My word and bond to you, the citizens of Marshall County, is to do my very best to devote all my energy to do my part to return our society to the values that we once held dear.


This guy is the chief law enforcement officer in the county. How confident would you be that he'd protect you from gay-bashing? That an incident involving you and a straight person would be handled fairly? That you would be safe in custody in his jail?

And if you buy into stereotypes of gays as all being upscale urbanites and think there probably aren't any in Marshall County, you really have no clue. Red-state America isn't a queer-free zone by a long shot.

By the way, what is the halcyon age to whose values the sheriff would like to return his piece of Alabama?
I was raised in era, the 1940's as a child and the 1950's as a teenager, which I remember with great affection.
I'm thinking I wouldn't be too comfortable being black in this jurisdiction, either (not a big problem, I guess, since only 1.5% of the population is black). The county's one gay black guy should get the hell out of there ASAP (O.K.; I'm making that part up).

From the "What the F*** Were They Thinking?" File

Prince Harry wore a Nazi soldier outfit, complete with swastika, to a friend's birthday party.



Of course, he later came out with the standard craven non-apology formulation: "if anyone was offended."

News from the Coalition of the Willing

Bremer: Dutch should extend Iraq mission

The former civilian administrator in Iraq, Paul Bremer, believes that Dutch peacekeeping troops should stay in Iraq longer than the planned March withdrawal.

"The Netherlands is one of the world's oldest democracies. You should welcome one of the newest."

The Dutch Cabinet is still planning to withdraw its 1,350 soldiers from Iraq in March. The Netherlands has had troops deployed in the southern Iraqi province al-Muthanna since the summer of 2003. Two Dutch soldiers have been killed since the mission started.

But [center-right] government coalition parties Liberal VVD and Christian Democrat CDA are in favour of extending the mission and MPs will debate the issue in the lower House of Parliament at the end of this month.

The Dutch deployment was post-Mission Accomplished, of course. And though the Sunni Triangle continues to be a disaster, the Dutch are keeping an eye on a much quieter patch of territory. Just as well, considering how badly they screwed up Srebrenica.

Wednesday, January 12, 2005

Must Be Prairie Fever

Or perhaps the title of my favorite pulp novel, The Gods Hate Kansas, is just coming true. Whatever the case, I feel sorry for the innocents of the state because they'll be right in the middle of the culture war this year.

First off, the creationists have formally taken back power at the state Board of Education. Let the media circus...I mean public hearings begin! I'm sure that they can beat back challenges from the wanna-bes in those little counties in Pennsylvania and Georgia, to become the icons of scientific ignorance once again.

Secondly, the Blue Valley School District near Kansas City is seriously considering banning 14 books. The challenge was nurtured by the local Concerned Women for America and has resulted in a local group devoted to monitoring the dirty words in books.

In the spirit of finding entertainment in a depressing situation, I'd like to share a few tidbits from the website. In case you have forgotten how often dirty words appeared in Catcher in the Rye, you can find that and many other naughty bits here: http://www.classkc.org/badwords.php And the comments section is not to be missed either. A few excerpts:
I cannot believe the kids are being asked to read books that contain the f-word!! Five years ago in Oklahoma, we never had to read anything like that, but when I was a senior I did have to read Lord of the Flies. I was also told it was important to read this novel before going to college. I found it very far-fetched and depressing. Since then, I've earned my undergraduate liberal arts degree from KU and am now in graduate school there. So far, the book hasn't come up yet.

Any teacher who even suggests that minor students should read The Bluest Eye should be fired!

When you read the f-word, it just gets stuck in your head. (Blue Valley student)

This is all very retro. I half expect to see the Meese commission to start up again.

No Religious Test .... Well, Maybe

The Washington Post's Dan Froomkin writes:
President Bush told the Washington Times yesterday he doesn't "see how you can be president without a relationship with the Lord."

"I fully understand that the job of the president is and must always be protecting the great right of people to worship or not worship as they see fit," Bush said. "That's what distinguishes us from the Taliban. The greatest freedom we have or one of the greatest freedoms is the right to worship the way you see fit.

"On the other hand, I don't see how you can be president at least from my perspective, how you can be president, without a relationship with the Lord."

Bush has often said that he is a religious man who supports freedom of religion, but yesterday may be the first time he has so clearly suggested in his use of words that he harbors the feeling that these two principles are to some degree in conflict.

You don't use the "other hand" construction for two concepts that complement each other. And his suggestion that someone is not qualified to be president unless they are religious is sure to spark some further discussion.
Discussion? From what corner of our infomercial-style news media would such a thing as discussion occur?

At the "fair and balanced" Fox News? And thoughtful discussion about Bush's remarks is unlikely to come from MSNBC, unless Joe Scarborough wishes to complain that the president didn't go far enough in blasting non-Christians for even thinking of seeking public office.

Bush's Imagined "Campaign Pledge"

Yesterday, President Bush promoted his Social Security reform plan with these far-fetched words:
"I campaigned on this issue of Social Security, and the need to strengthen it and reform it .... This is part of fulfilling a campaign pledge."
For starters, the issue came up during only one of the three presidential debates -- roughly halfway through the final debate.

On the campaign trail, Social Security was virtually ignored until the final month of the campaign. And even when Bush did refer to Social Security, it was essentially to respond to Kerry's attacks that seniors' future benefits would be at risk during a 2nd Bush term. Consider this mid-October article by the Los Angeles Times:
Amid signs the presidential race is in a dead heat, President Bush targeted his campaign on the battleground state of Florida today, defending his record on Social Security, healthcare and even the shortage of flu vaccine from John F. Kerry's attacks.

For his part, Kerry has seized on the future of Social Security as a potent campaign issue, hammering on it all week in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.

... In particular, the president said the Massachusetts senator is trying to scare Americans into believing a second Bush term would ruin Social Security and bring back the draft.

"We will keep the promise of Social Security for all our seniors," Bush said in St. Petersburg. "We will not have a draft. We'll keep the all-volunteer army."

Before audiences heavily composed of retirees, Bush promised repeatedly that their Social Security benefits would not change under his plans for Social Security and accused Democrats of reviving an old "scare tactic."
Did Bush speak vaguely of Social Security reform and counter-punch at John Kerry? You bet. But the notion that American voters: a) had a clear sense of how Bush's reform plan would work, and b) supported him because of this plan is laughable.

On the Same Page

Over the weekend, the Washington Post ran an analysis piece by Jim VandeHei in which he noted that whenever Bush seeks to push his agenda, he does so by framing it as a response to a "crisis." Of course, those crises never exist, but it helps Bush to intimidate others into doing his bidding.

And it works - which is probably why Orrin Hatch penned a lengthy piece for the National Review in which he defended the GOP's proposal to unilaterally outlaw the filibuster of judicial nominees by invoking the word "crisis" fifteen times.

I am not quite sure what the crisis is exactly, considering that as of today, there are only 37 vacancies among the 875 federal court seats. That is about 4%.

In fact, according to Table 1 of this Congressional Research Service report (pdf format), this is the lowest vacancy rate in terms of number or percentage of open seats since 1985. During the six years Republicans controlled the Senate under Clinton, the number of vacancies averaged around 60 and the percentage of vacant seats averaged 7.5%

So the vacancy rate is, for all intents and purposes, half of what is was under Clinton.

Only now, it has become a "crisis."

Inauguration Balls Suck-- Big Time

Clearly the Bush administration doesn't even worry about the possibility of negative publicity anymore-- they just do as they wish.
D.C. officials said yesterday that the Bush administration is refusing to reimburse the District for most of the costs associated with next week's inauguration, breaking with precedent and forcing the city to divert $11.9 million from homeland security projects.
...
"We want to make this the best possible event, but not at the expense of D.C. taxpayers and other homeland security priorities," said Gregory M. McCarthy, the [DC] mayor's deputy chief of staff. "This is the first time there hasn't been a direct appropriation for the inauguration."

A spokesman for Rep. Thomas M. Davis III (R-Va.), chairman of the House Government Reform Committee, which oversees the District, agreed with the mayor's stance. He called the Bush administration's position "simply not acceptable."
...
Congressional aides said the District sought unsuccessfully last year to boost the annual security reimbursement fund from $15 million to $25 million to pay for inauguration expenses. In contrast, New York City and Boston-area lawmakers were able to obtain $50 million from Congress for each of those two jurisdictions to cover local security costs for the national political conventions.
...
OMB and DHS spokesmen said they could not provide an estimate of what the inauguration will cost the federal government...As of June, the cost of giving federal workers in the capital area a day off was about $66 million.
Yes, I'm complaining about Bush's inauguration again. It's just so absurd, such a phenomenal waste of taxpayer money and a major disruption for DC residents/employees. The 4-day inauguration festivities also has the additional irritation of being something I can't just ignore. I have to try and get to work at a reasonable time next week despite the fact that my office has been warned that it is in the "restricted access zone" and to "expect ID checks and verification of your place of employment" in the zone.

Yes, thanks to Bush for turning DC into a police state for his big important party. I'll remember next week to show my papers to the nice men in riot gear.

It Distracted Us From What Happened Earlier

The Ottawa Citizen has a good article on Romeo Dallaire and the new documentary chronicling his return to Rwanda in 2004 for the 10th anniversary of the genocide.

Dallaire notes that, judging by the outpouring of aid and support for victims of the tsunami, that the international community is quite capable of responding to disasters - just not when they happen in Africa
Rwanda is also being mentioned in relation to the world's reaction to the tsunami disaster in Asia, which stands in stark contrast to the indifference of Rwanda.

"It's a great statement of a lesson being learned," Dallaire says. "It's still not being learned in Darfur and they're fiddling still there, but this one there was an outright human communion. And I, unpretentiously, hope that the Rwandan exercise which has left a lot of guilt and a lot of bloodied hands, maybe there was a bit of that that was an impetus behind this massive reaction."
Peter Raymont, the director of the new Dallaire documentary, makes a similar point - and then throws in a stupid one for good measure
"I think part of it was slow news over Christmas," he said backstage at the Ottawa screening. "I think part of it was there were a lot of American and western tourists involved. You know, Rwanda was an obscure country in the middle of Africa with a sort of tribal warfare, Hutus and Tutsis, who the hell are they anyway? -- Black people fighting other black people. You know? It was very hard to get a handle on."

In addition, the genocide took place at the same time as the O.J. Simpson trial, "which took over the news, every part of the news, every network. So there are a lot of factors. It's wonderful to see the outpouring for the people who suffered and died in the tsunami. People have said there's a tsunami-like event happening regularly in the Congo. Does anyone know about it? There's something about Africa. It's still the dark continent."
The O.J. Simpson story didn't break until June 14, 1994. The genocide began on April 7th. By mid-May of that year, the International Committee of the Red Cross was estimating that 500,000 people had already been killed.

The people and the media weren't ignoring the genocide because they were distracted by the O.J. Simpson story. They were ignoring it because nobody really cared.

So Many Choices

Yesterday, Rumsfeld was asked about remarks made by Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi acknowledging that some parts of Iraq will be too unsafe to allow people to vote in the upcoming election.

His response was a bit nonsensical.
Q. Mr. Secretary, yesterday Prime Minister Allawi said it's clear that Iraqi and coalition forces are not going to be able to protect all of the polling centers throughout Iraq. He said voting is going to be extremely difficult in some places. Some Sunni groups have said they're not going to take part. What metric will you use to judge whether the election in Iraq is a success and valid?

SEC. RUMSFELD: Okay.

First, just having elections in Iraq is an enormous success and a victory.

The U.N. has done a very good job, and their representative there has been pressing forward, as has the Iraqi interim government.

People from all of the various diverse groups are represented on the 200-plus lists that exist, so whatever government evolves will be a broadly representative government.
You see, because there are more than 200 groups running in the election, the resulting government is obviously going to be "broadly representative."

And even if certain areas don't get to participate or a large portion of the population boycotts the election, the end result will still be a "broadly representative government" because they would have had so many groups to choose from - had they actually been able to vote.

Cheney's Business Acumen

I'm one day late on this because I'm not an regular reader of the Washington Post's business section. But a friend clued me in to this excellent article by Allan Sloan, demonstrating that Dick Cheney's foreign policy instincts ("no doubt" about WMDs) are equally as lacking as his business instincts:
It's time for yet another Halliburton story -- but not the one you may be expecting. This isn't about the endlessly scrutinized Iraq contracting business of the big energy services company that Dick Cheney ran before he became vice president. And it's not about Halliburton's profit-boosting accounting change during Cheney's regime, or the scandals and problems currently affecting some of the firm's far-flung projects.

Instead, let's talk about Halliburton's well-executed $5 billion escape from its asbestos problems, most of which Cheney created when he orchestrated Halliburton's purchase of Dresser Industries in 1998.

Few people connect this problem with Cheney, but they should, given that he was in charge at the time and got a raise as a result of buying Dresser.

Dresser's asbestos problem was only a potential one when Halliburton bought it, but rapidly metastasized into a threat to Halliburton's existence. By then, though, Cheney had gone off to Washington.

Had he still been Halliburton's chief executive, Wall Street might have forced him to take responsibility for the asbestos problem he imported to his company. But because he wasn't around -- and because his successor, Dave Lesar, was a stand-up guy -- Cheney has largely escaped scrutiny for this fiasco.

Now that Halliburton has managed to extract itself from its asbestos liability by paying a ton of cash and stock to trusts that will compensate victims and their lawyers, we can get a handle on how much Dresser's piece of the problem cost Halliburton. It turns out to be almost as much as Halliburton paid for the company.

... I give Halliburton's current management huge credit for pulling off this tricky maneuver. And I give them big credit for dealing with the problem rather than awaiting a miracle rescue from Congress.

Almost from the day it took office, the Bush administration has pushed hard to get Congress to limit asbestos liability. That includes President Bush's visit to Illinois last week to push his "reform" proposals.

Halliburton, whose fortunes are tied to the oil industry, has profited from the surge in oil prices. Even though its stock has quadrupled from its asbestos-woe low, it's still below what it was when Cheney left in the summer of 2000.

Imagine what Halliburton shares would fetch today had the Dresser problems never happened. Much more than it currently sells for, I'm sure.

Eye of Newt

Bush hasn't even had his 2nd inauguration balls and some people are already coveting his job-- namely Newt Gingrich.

It's nice to see that the Newt is still crazy after all these years.

Um, however, if a crapweasel like Newt Gingrich is elected in 2008 then we can all stick a big fork in America-- it's done. It's dead. It's all over. I don't think I'd even more to Canada at that point, it wouldn't be far enough away.

Miss Beazley: Enemy Combatant

Does Bush plan to detain her indefinitely?

(This Post Blatantly Stolen from Norbizness)

Emperor's New Clothes

I couldn't help but giggle at the mental image that popped into my head after reading this headline:

Oscar de la Renta Designing Bush Ball Gown

OK, I know they mean Mrs. Bush. But if Mr. Bush were to wear a ball gown to his inaugural balls next week, what color would it be?

Daily Darfur

Jan Pronk says arms are flooding into Darfur, violence is spreading, banditry is on the rise and rebels are staging attacks on oil facilities and that more police, human rights monitors and African Union peacekeepers are urgently needed.

Frontline/World ran this story last night and has produced this useful page.

Romeo Dallaire says Canada and the rest of the world are ignoring Darfur
While we rush to assist tsunami victims in Asia, it is a "travesty" that Canada has failed to take a leadership role to help thousands of Africans being killed in the Darfur region of Sudan, says retired Gen. Roméo Dallaire.

[edit]

"I applaud the enormous work that we're doing and we must do with the catastrophe that is going on in Asia. But I am guilty and distraught by our ability to totally abandon a whole other group of humans," Dallaire said.

"As we pour ourselves into the great sense of commitment to humanity in Asia ... we must also have that same courage and determination, and demand of our politicians the same commitment to areas where the crisis is not by natural catastrophe but by human catastrophe," Dallaire said.

"And the absence of Canada in the forefront of Darfur, in Sudan is a travesty."
Rep. Frank Wolf just returned from the signing of the North/South peace agreement and called upon the UN Security Council to begin to deal with the situation in Darfur, suggesting that Kofi Annan should resign in protest if it fails to do so.

It Doesn't Hurt to Look

From the Washington Post
The hunt for biological, chemical and nuclear weapons in Iraq has come to an end nearly two years after President Bush ordered U.S. troops to disarm Saddam Hussein. The top CIA weapons hunter is home, and analysts are back at Langley.

In interviews, officials who served with the Iraq Survey Group (ISG) said the violence in Iraq, coupled with a lack of new information, led them to fold up the effort shortly before Christmas.
Well, the good news is that we didn't do anything rash - like start a war over it.

Or waste tons of money
Congress allotted hundreds of millions of dollars for the weapons hunt, and there has been no public accounting of the money. A spokesman for the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency said the entire budget and the expenditures would remain classified.
Oh, what's a few hundred million dollars? We've got plenty of money - we can afford it.

Man, this could have been really ugly if we had had a more incompetent and reckless president. If we did, we would probably be stuck in some quagmire, having spent more than $200 billion and having lost more than a thousand soldiers in a totally unnecessary war.

Thank God that didn't happen.

Just the Facts, Ma'am

I don't think anyone has covered himself in glory in the controversy over whether the U.S. is sufficiently generous to victims of the tsunami. As Frederick (I believe) noted on the "old" Demagogue, the uber-patriot bloc has sometimes mischaracterized the nature of international criticism. People on all sides of the debate have used statistics to obfuscate rather than enlighten (shocking, isn't it).

In particular, people almost always ignore the complexity of evaluating and comparing different countries' responses. Just to begin with, there's the question of what "counts" toward a country's total. Does private charity count? Does aid given to the affected countries but taken away from the donor's general foreign aid budget count, or just "new" money? What categories qualify--immediate food and medical aid, surely, but what about longer-term pledges of support to rebuild damaged infrastructure or even military aid? Given Dubya's penchant for announcing grand plans and then failing actually to appropriate the money he's promised (NYC after 9/11, AIDS in Africa), how seriously can we take relatively vague pledges of future money? And then you get into what metric to use: gross dollar amount; per capita (of the donor country) amount; percentage of GDP? Even this gets complicated. A poor country has to dig deeper to give the same percentage of GDP as a rich country; just as poor families spend a higher proportion of their income on necessities like food and housing, poor countries have less "discretionary spending" relative to their GDPs than do rich countries.

The upshot is that while I think a discussion about the U.S.'s foreign aid policy is generally worth having, most assertions that I've seen from officials, advocates, and pundits about how much we give and how we compare to others have not usefully advanced the discussion. I still have no idea what metric Colin Powell was using when the U.S. initially offered $15 million and he defended us by saying we are more generous than any other country or group of countries in the world.

In that spirit, I bring you a handful of facts about the Cloggies amongst whom I live, inspired by the remarks of the Dutch Minister of Overseas Development yesterday. (I'm not sure how much significance should be attached to the fact that the Dutch have an Overseas Development Minister; they've got many more junior ministers than we have cabinet secretaries, so you really can't say that they've made overseas development a cabinet-level priority).

The minister announced a massive increase in Dutch aid to the affected countries, bringing the Netherlands' total to something like $315 million at current exchange rates. To put that in some context:

  • The Dutch population is roughly 16.3 million, or less than that of Florida. The U.S. population is more than 280 million. The Dutch government, then, has pledged close to 20 bucks per citizen; to keep up in the per capita sweepstakes, the U.S. would have to pony up around $5.4 billion. I'm not sure how the numbers come out if you include resident non-citizens in each country, or taxpayers in each country.
  • The Dutch GDP (pdf) in 2003 was a little under $513 billion. The U.S. GDP that year was just short of $11 trillion, or more than 20 times as much (this is using 2005 exchange rates; if I used 2003 rates, then the gap would be even larger). Those of you who are good with numbers will already have done some rough calculations in your head and figured out that Dutch per-capita GDP is also lower than that in the U.S; the OECD puts the U.S. in the "high income" category based on per-capita GDP at purchasing power parity exchange rates, while the Netherlands is merely "high middle income." The Netherlands has pledged .06% (that's .0006) of its 2003 GDP; the same fraction of the U.S. 2003 GDP is approximately $6.6 billion.
  • Regarding the argument that the U.S. has a relatively high ratio of private charity to public aid, my numbers are spottier. The umbrella organization set up to funnel donations to people like the Dutch Red Cross and Doctors Without Borders had taken about $145 million as of last Thursday. On a per-capita basis at current exchange rates, that comes out to about $2.5 billion in private U.S. charity; on a percentage-of-GDP basis, the equivalent is roughly $3.1 billion. But presumably there are other routes for giving charity than this umbrella organization, so I've surely understated Dutch private giving, plus which my figures are almost a week old.
  • Putting it all together, you can use these calculations to suggest that a U.S. equivalent to the amount of total Dutch giving, public and private, would be something between $8 and 10 billion.

As I said, take these with a grain of salt. The U.S. and the Netherlands are not in the same position. The U.S. has taken on a much larger and more expensive military role in the world, for example. Whether or not you think that's a good thing, it affects how much we can afford to spend on other things. The Dutch welfare state, on the other hand, is more generous than the American one. So do what you want with these numbers.

A parting thought: the focus really should be on overall foreign aid and what our general development policies should be, not on the response to one particular and unusual crisis. In that light, consider the Overseas Development Minister's remarks:

But Van Ardenne also urged other donors not to allow the cost of humanitarian efforts in the tsunami-hit nations to negatively impact efforts in other regions. The minister called on other nations to increase their overseas development budgets.

She said the disaster presented the opportunity to make an international agreement stipulating that nations allocate at least 0.7 percent of their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to overseas development.

The Netherlands currently allocates 0.8 percent of its GDP to overseas development....

The State Department's budget request for FY 2005 (pdf) asks for a 4.6% cut in foreign assistance, on top of an 11.5% cut last year. Not knowing what the Netherlands counts toward its claimed 0.8% of GDP allocated to overseas development, I can't find a comparable number for what the U.S. is allocating right now. 0.8% of the U.S. GDP in 2003 would be about $88 billion. I've got a very strong feeling that we'd have to cook the numbers pretty hard to get there; the "foreign assistance" request in State's budget is for less than $750 million, but presumably there is additional overseas development spending not included in that category.

Gonzales' Advocates: They Know Nothing!

Right-wing commentators have circled the wagons around Bush's attorney general designate, ridiculing and misrepresenting the concerns Gonzales' detractors have regarding his connection with the torture memos. Some general themes have emerged among the conservative punditry. Here's an overview:

It Isn't Really Torture
Is it torture to convince a detainee that he is drowning or to go after him with unmuzzled dogs? Not to our friends at the National Review. Writes Jonah Goldberg,


Being forced to sit in a cramped area until you give up valuable intelligence is rough, but this ain't beanbag. Being draped with an Israeli flag or even being ‘waterboarded’ - where a detainee's face is surrounded with a wet blanket and he's made to feel like he's drowning isn't torture either. Our own cadets at the Air Force Academy have been water-boarded in training. The war against torture should begin at home!

I'm not sure where he got the innocuous "wet blanket" image, but from what I've read, waterboarding involves strapping down a victim and lowering him into water until he feels drowning is imminent. And why, Jonah, do you think that they "water-board" some U.S. special forces? To help them resist torture should they be captured by the enemy.

Gonzales Is the One Being Tortured
While denying that the abuses documented at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo constitute torture, the Right does see one victim here--Gonzales himself. In her column "The Gonzales Hearing: An Exercise in Torture," Concerned Women for America's (CWA) Jan LaRue suggests that what happened in the Senate Judiciary hearings last week was worse than anything committed at the hands of Lynndie England:

[T]he President ordered that terrorists are to be treated in accord with the Conventions except for the provisions regarding legal rights. Torture, of course, is forbidden. It should also be forbidden in Senate Judiciary Committee hearings—as in Bork, Thomas, Ashcroft, Estrada, Pickering and Gonzales.
This is a classic "I'm rubber, you're glue" defense. Take Gonzales' biggest weakness--his links to torture--and turn it on its head. His accusers are the torturers. That LaRue mentions controversial Bush judicial nominee Thomas Pickering here is particularly appropriate, because CWA used similar tactics to defend him. After Pickering was accused of going easy on someone convicted of a racially motivated hate crime, CWA argued that the judge had been lynched by his critics.

Opposing Gonzales = Coddling Terrorists
This is perhaps the most common distortion of the arguments against Gonzales: rather than giving terrorists the torture necessary to defend our freedom, liberals want to make nice with Osama. According to the National Review's Andrew McCarthy, Gonzales' opponents want to make peace treaties with al Qaeda and have "never met a terrorist they wouldn't coddle." The Wall Street Journal's James Taranto takes this one step further, arguing that those who would defend civil liberties by being "nice" to terrorists actually threaten civil liberties:


Democrats' obsession with treating terrorists nicely bespeaks a dangerous moral vanity. They seem to think it is worth increasing the risk of another 9/11--or worse--in order for America to avoid the taint of being accused by the likes of the Red Cross of acts ‘tantamount to torture,’ whatever that means.

There is a variant on the "terrorist coddling" argument that I call the Hogan's Heroes corollary. Both Kay Daly at the Coalition for a Fair Judiciary and the National Review's Rich Lowry reference the '60s comedy about a World War II prison camp (a truly bizarre concept for a sitcom) when discussing liberals' respect for the Geneva Conventions. Here's Lowry:

Those who believe -- apparently as a theological matter -- that Geneva applies to al-Qaida must believe that its terrorists are entitled to dormitories, sports equipment, pay allowances and pretty much anything you remember from ‘Hogan's Heroes.’

Of course, Gonzales' detractors aren't suggesting that we offer terrorists at Guantanamo throw pillows or espresso machines or even LeBeau's delicious apple strudel. Some argue that our interrogation methods are immoral, others that such hardball tactics are ineffective (even Sec'y Rumsfeld has questioned the accuracy of intelligence gained through torture). Still others point out that, according to the Red Cross, the vast majority of detainees are nothing but common criminals.

It would be nice if these folks would address the real arguments, rather than knocking down straw men all day.

--------------------------------
UPDATE: Demagogue reader Bill points us to a piece by Anne Applebaum in today's Washington Post addressing the myth of torture's effectiveness.

Tuesday, January 11, 2005

Losing Advice

Amy Sullivan has written this interesting article in Washington Monthly about the incestuous relationship between the Democratic Party and campaign consultants. In "Fire the Consultants," Sullivan writes:
Pollster Mark Mellman is popular among Democrats because he tells them what they so desperately want to hear: Their policies are sound, Americans really agree with them more than with Republicans, and if they just repeat their mantras loud enough, voters will eventually embrace the party.

As Noam Scheiber pointed out in a New Republic article following the great Democratic debacle of '02, Mellman was, perhaps more than anyone else, the architect of that defeat. As the DSCC's recommended pollster, he advised congressional Democrats to ignore national security and Iraq in favor of an endless campaign about prescription drugs and education. After the party got its clock cleaned based on his advice, Mellman should have been exiled but was instead .... promoted. He became the lead pollster for John Kerry's presidential campaign, where he proffered eerily similar advice—stress domestic policy, stay away from attacking Bush—to much the same effect.

... the poster boy of Democratic social promotion [is] Bob Shrum. Over his 30-year career, Shrum has worked on the campaigns of seven losing presidential candidates—from George McGovern to Bob Kerrey—capping his record with a leading role in the disaster that was the Gore campaign.

Yet, instead of abiding by the “seven strikes and you're out” rule, Democrats have continued to pay top dollar for his services (sums that are supplemented by the percentage Shrum's firm, Shrum, Devine & Donilon, gets for purchasing air time for commercials).

Although Shrum has never put anyone in the White House, in the bizarro world of Democratic politics, he's seen as a kingmaker—merely hiring the media strategist gives a candidate such instant credibility with big-ticket liberal funders that John Kerry and John Edwards fought a fierce battle heading into the 2004 primaries to lure Shrum to their camps.

Ultimately, Shrum chose Kerry, and on Nov. 3, he extended his perfect losing record.

Memories of a Reagan Remark

The Washington Post story about the deaths last week of six soldiers from a small Louisiana town concluded with this ironic paragraph:
The recruiting poster in the (local National Guard) armory has its appeal, too. “You can” is written above a photograph of a soldier rappelling. Beneath, it says: “and still make it home for dinner.”
Iraq, of course, has destroyed that notion for guardsmen.

Hearing of that poster made me think of the macho-cowboy statement that Ronald Reagan made the year before he was elected governor of California. Taking aim at LBJ’s Vietnam policy, Reagan said:
“It's silly talking about how many years we will have to spend in the jungles of Vietnam when we could pave the whole country and put parking stripes on it and still be home for Christmas.”

Interview with the Fresno Bee, Oct. 10, 1965
Actually, we tried Reagan's approach. Months before Reagan spoke, LBJ had given the order for Operation Rolling Thunder, in which a huge force of U.S. bombers attacked North Vietnamese targets.

During the entire Vietnam War, the U.S. military dropped nearly 8 million tons of bombs on North Vietnam or Vietcong targets – this was four times the tonnage dropped during all of World War II. In fact, it was the largest use of firepower in the history of human warfare.

Oh, wait. I almost forgot – Reagan was a kind and great man, a national treasure. Sorry, disregard this post. In fact, shouldn't we rename our blog after him?

Tsunami Sidebar

File this one under "conventional wisdom, upended." You know how every time there is a natural disaster, there's always a rush to perform mass burials for fear of disease? We've seen versions of this paragraph about a thousand times in the tsunami coverage of the past few weeks.
In a field outside Banda Aceh, the Indonesian town devastated by the tsunami in the Indian Ocean, over a thousand dead bodies were unceremoniously bulldozed into a mass grave at the end of December...."We're facing a major health hazard if we leave them lying around," says Azwar Abu Bakar, acting governor of Aceh.

Well, it turns out that may be a crock. Nature reports:
It is widely believed that swift burial is the only way to prevent the spread of diseases such as cholera. But that is a myth, the PAHO report reveals. Cholera does not appear spontaneously in the body of a person who did not have it to begin with. And although harmful bacteria or viruses in a corpse can in theory be spread by rats, flies, fleas and other animals, that doesn't tend to happen in practice.

The temperature of a body falls rapidly after death, so even the most resistant bacteria and viruses die quickly in an animal that has died, according to PAHO. Past experience shows that unburied dead bodies pose a negligible risk to those who do not come into physical contact with them. Handling of bodies by relief workers does, of course, require protective clothing.

So, we basically have subjected the already devastated to further trauma out of plain ignorance. The PAHO also links to a useful myth/fact sheet about disasters. I learned a lot from it.

Who Is Kathryn Jean Lopez ?

Kathryn Jean Lopez, or "KJL" as she likes to be called, is undoubtedly one of the worst contributors to the The Corner (or to the National Review, for that matter) - and that is saying something.

Tbogg calls her the NRO Den Mother, and given her penchant for "live blogging" things as mundane as the People's Choice Awards, says it is no wonder that she lives alone (probably).

For my part, I have long been intrigued by the fact that there seem to be no known photos of Lopez.

Considering that she is an editor at the National Review and a relatively well-known pundit, how can it be that no photos of her seem to exist?

Well, I need wonder no more, for this recent post told me all I needed to know.

I present to you Kathryn Jean Lopez.

If You Expect to Be Alive After the Year 2042 ...

... and you reside in Connecticut's 2nd congressional district, you had better start looking out for yourself. The Republican congressman who represents that district is Rob Simmons. And Simmons isn't too keen on Bush's proposed Social Security reform or, it appears, any kind of reform.

Today's Washington Post offered Simmons' blunt take on Social Security reform:
"Why stir up a political hornet's nest ... when there is no urgency?" said Rep. Rob Simmons (Conn.), who represents a competitive district. "When does the program go belly up? 2042. I will be dead by then."
I have always felt that the word "future" is one of the most abused by political consultants and their clients. This view is only confirmed when a highly paid congressman like Simmons tells us he can't be bothered to worry about consequences that won't actually occur until after his life ends.

Just for the record, I'm annoyed with the way Bush is approaching Social Security reform. Indeed, it's horribly deceptive for the administration to consider funding the conversion costs of its reform proposal "off the books."

Having said that, even I feel that Bush deserves a smidgen of credit for at least raising the issue. Whatever Social Security reform you prefer, Simmons' out-of-sight, out-of-mind attitude is lazy and extremely provincial.

It makes me wonder: why does Simmons bother maintaining this kids' page on his official website? Why is he concerned at all with the kind of adults they'll grow up to be? Won't he be dead by then?

I Wonder Why That Is

The most recent USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup poll asked 1,000+ adults the following question
In the past few weeks, which news story would you say you have followed more closely: the tsunami disaster in Asia or the situation in Iraq?
Not surprisingly, the results were as follows
Tsunami - 72%

Iraq - 21%
I wonder if the constant media coverage of the tsunami might have anything to do with the fact that the vast majority of people report having followed the story more closely.

A search of media reports since December 26th shows that there have been 68363 newspaper and magazine articles or television and radio programs mentioning the tsunami versus 24548 mentioning Iraq. (During the same period, there have been 1755 stories mentioning Darfur.)

Do you think that the fact that the media has run nearly three times more stories on the tsunami than on Iraq might have anything to do with this?

Man, I hate polls(ters)!

"And Like a Good Neighbor ...."

In today's St. Louis Post-Dispatch:
The nation's largest car insurer disclosed Monday that it had mistakenly resold some 30,000 cars, SUVs and trucks without disclosing that they had been in wrecks.

State Farm Insurance also said it would pay $40 million in damages -- once it finds the drivers who bought those vehicles.

... If an appraiser declares that a damaged vehicle is totaled, the insurer gives a check to the owner and takes the car. If the car can be repaired, the insurer sells it to a wholesaler or auctioneer. A damaged car is worth less.

... Nearly every state requires that such vehicles get titles showing that they have been "damaged" or are "salvage." That sounds simple, but State Farm says the problem is that state laws differ on when to declare a car a wreck. The company said it had been aware that it was making some mistakes and decided last year to review its handling of wrecks.

Daily Darfur

Jan Pronk, says he thinks the UN Security Council will adopt a resolution soon authorizing a 10,000 strong peacekeeping mission to help implement the North/South peace agreement.

Human Rights Watch says that, while the peace agreement is welcome, it has a major problem
There is, however, an important flaw in the deal. Under the terms of the Naivasha agreement, senior members of the Sudanese government responsible for heinous policies and abuses in southern Sudan get off scot-free.
HRW also says that, if the UN determines that genocide is taking place, those responsible ought to be prosecuted in the International Criminal Court - but warns that the Bush administration, given their hatred of the ICC, might try to veto such action.

Sen. Russ Feingold is touring Africa, including refugee camps in Chad housing thousands of refugees from Darfur.

Passion of the Present informs us that PBS's "FRONTLINE/World" will be airing a story on Darfur tonight
In "The Quick and the Terrible," FRONTLINE/World reporter Amy Costello travels to Sudan, where war in the western region of Darfur has claimed more than 70,000 lives and produced more than two million refugees. Costello travels with troops from the African Union (AU)—the only peacekeeping force operating in Sudan. She also tours Darfur’s sprawling refugee camps, meets with the Janjaweed, Arab nomad militias who have been accused of raping and killing innocent civilians and burning their villages, and later meets members of the Sudanese Liberation Army, who are battling Sudan’s government. Back in the capital of Khartoum, Costello interviews Sudanese Foreign Minister Mustafa Osman Ismail about the charge of genocide.

As the crisis escalates, Costello tours a refugee camp recently bulldozed by the Sudanese government, who say they want the refugees to return to their villages. Walking the ruined landscape of the Al Jeer camp, Costello says, “It is hard to imagine any words, even one as powerful as genocide, fixing such a broken place."
The Wall Street Journal offers this editorial
Rather than serving "as an inspiration and model" for negotiating peace in Darfur, as Mr. Powell advocated, Sunday's deal might actually have the opposite effect. Some observers fear it might be nothing but a diplomatic smokescreen, designed to confuse Sudan 's critics and to make it harder for the U.S. to call for tough U.N. action against the regime.
Senators John Corzine and Sam Brownback offer this op-ed in the Washington Post
While we are rightly focused on one of the worst natural disasters ever, the tsunami tragedy, we cannot afford to divert our attention from one of the worst man-made tragedies of our lifetimes: the genocide in Darfur. It has been five months since Congress declared that genocide was occurring in that region of western Sudan. Since then, however, the situation has deteriorated. The fighting between the government in Khartoum and the rebels in Darfur has escalated. Peace talks have collapsed, and even relief organizations such as Save the Children have pulled out of the region. There is now a real risk of its falling into chaos. Hundreds of thousands of displaced persons are cut off from humanitarian assistance. There has been no progress in controlling the militias carrying out raids on civilian populations; violence against these people, including the rape of women and girls, continues with impunity.

Monday, January 10, 2005

The Pope's Pathetic Priorities

It would be sufficiently annoying to stumble upon an Associated Press article whose first paragraph was the following:
Pope John Paul II put alleviating the hunger of millions around the globe at the top of the Vatican's agenda for 2005 and also urged politicians in prosperous nations Monday to do more to lobby against gay marriage.
But, no, this isn't how the AP article actually reads. Here is the real first paragraph from the AP story:
Pope John Paul II put lobbying against gay marriage at the top of the Vatican's agenda for 2005 and also urged politicians in prosperous nations Monday to do more for the millions of hungry people around the globe.
Now there's a man who knows how to set his priorities.

If I were homeless and hungry, and I asked my parish priest where I could find something to eat, the pope seems to believe that priest should step around me and reply, "Can I get back to you on that? I'm off to the statehouse to lobby against gay marriage."

Heritage's Words Ring Hollow, 7 Years Later

More than seven years ago, the Heritage Foundation blasted the proposed Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) as an “unprecedented assault on American liberty, sovereignty, and national security.” President Clinton’s argument that CWC wouldn’t hurt and might help reduce the dangers posed by these weapons was mocked