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Saturday, October 30, 2004


Best Ann Coulter Insult Ever

"She's a Fascist Party Doll."

-Richard Belzer on Bill Maher, HBO, October 29, 2004

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:04 AM


Friday, October 29, 2004


Zell Is Called to Service

Earlier this week, the Bush-Cheney campaign asked Georgia Senator Zell Miller (D-Ga.) to appear at one of its rallies in Pennsylvania. Since the curmudgeonly Miller may well be asked to speak at other swing-state rallies, I thought it was worth posting this article (an oldie but goodie) about Bush's newest "go-to" friend. The article was written back in the spring by the Gadflyer's Bart Acocella.

Acocella's article reveals that the senator's integrity and sanity are both lying in a lost-and-found box somewhere. Some excerpts are below.
[In 2002], Miller expressed support for the creation of a 9/11 commission with "far-reaching powers," one that will deliver a "full and complete accounting of the circumstances surrounding the attacks." But [in early 2003], he took to the Senate floor to blast Richard Clarke and declare that the Commission will "energize our enemies and demoralize our troops." Miller went on to accuse the President's critics of treason:

It's obvious to me that this country is rapidly dividing itself into two camps: the wimps and the warriors. The ones who want to argue and assess and appease, and the ones who want to carry this fight to our enemies and kill them before they kill us -- this country is being crippled with petty partisan politics of the worst possible kind. In time of war, it is not just unpatriotic; it is stupid, and it is criminal.

Without a whiff of irony or self-awareness, Senator Miller declares in his new book, A National Party No More: The Conscience of a Conservative Democrat, "The political climate of this nation is more hostile and partisan than at any time in recent history." But Miller's current posture is as hostile as any in American politics.

... in defense of a strong military to safeguard freedom, Miller invokes the 18th century Georgia militia and its defeat of the expansion-minded Floridians, a conquest without which, Miller concludes, the South might be speaking Spanish today (whew, that was a close one!).

At his very worst, Miller descends into self-parody, sounding like your slightly unhinged elderly uncle -- crotchety, reactionary and provincial. Crazy Uncle Zell rants about "this rap crap" and "soft-belly peaceniks." He endorses corporal punishment and drug testing for middle schoolers. He believes that convicted child molesters ought to have a microchip tracer implanted in their bodies and that we should "send illegal aliens back to where they came from."
Miller's last suggestion would hardly reassure Latino voters in the swing states of New Mexico and Florida. And to the extent that Bush-Cheney operatives have any hope of holding down Kerry's victory margins among black and younger voters, the man who blasted "this rap crap" is not exactly the ideal politico to help sell the president's re-election. So, by all means, Bushies, send Zell to the podium.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 8:01 PM




Bad Timing

As the election approaches and you are all begging for our profound political insights, many of us here at Demagogue are finding it difficult to post with any regularity - mainly because there is an election approaching.

Oh the irony.

Anyway, it is an unfortunate coincidence but please accept our apologies and we promise to get back on our regular blogging schedule after the election (but not before we put a few bets down on the Yankees to win the World Series this year.)

Hopefully we'll meet again in happier, non-Bush presidency times.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 6:13 PM




I forgot...

that politics can be funny.

This is even funnier because Drudge is running it.
BUSH EVENT IN NEW HAMPSHIRE: Event workers had been told to fire off confetti pods when Bush said, 'God Bless'... his normal closing line. But 5 minutes before the end of his speech, Bush offered a "God Bless" to Arlene Howard, mother of George Howard a Port Authority of New York/New Jersey Police Officer killed in the World Trade Center... BLAM!!!!! Everyone first ducked -- hard -- then looked up to see confetti falling. Bush looked momentarily stunned, then plain unhappy, then just went on with his speech as the confetti rained to the floor of the Verizon Wireless Arena... Developing...


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:03 PM




100,000

The Lancet is the leading peer-reviewed medical journal in Britain, analogous to our New England Journal of Medicine. It published today a study (pdf; free registration required) of the increase in mortality in Iraq since the war begain in March 2003. The headline conclusions--a conservative estimate of 100,000 "extra" deaths and the finding and that most of the people killed by coalition weapons were women or children--should get some attention in the next few days, along with the slime-and-defend treatment from the administration and its henchmen.

The apparent outrage of the investigators will fuel claims that they have a political axe to grind--though the question should remain whether there is any basis to dispute the facts they report.
US General Tommy Franks is widely quoted as saying “we don’t do body counts”. The Geneva Conventions have clear guidance about the responsibilities of occupying armies to the civilian population they control. The fact that more than half the deaths reportedly caused by the occupying forces were women and children is cause for concern. In particular, Convention IV, Article 27 states that protected persons “. . . shall be at all times humanely treated, and shall be protected especially against acts of violence . . .”. It seems difficult to understand how a military force could monitor the extent to which civilians are protected against violence without systematically doing body counts or at least looking at the kinds of casualties they induce. This survey shows that with modest funds, 4 weeks, and seven Iraqi team members willing to risk their lives, a useful measure of civilian deaths could be obtained. There seems to be little excuse for occupying forces to not be able to provide more precise tallies. In view of the political importance of this conflict, these results should be confirmed by an independent body such as the ICRC, Epicentre, or WHO. In the interim, civility and enlightened self-interest demand a re-evaluation of the consequences of weaponry now used by coalition forces in populated areas.
(emphasis added). But I want to focus on an editorial commentary also published today. It reads, in part:
In planning this war, the coalition forces—especially those of the US and
UK—must have considered the likely effects of their actions for civilians.
Does anyone really think Dubya spent more than a millisecond thinking about this? Is it even conceivable that he would have changed course because too many Iraqi civilians would die?

The alternative to the possibility that we just didn't give a damn about Iraqi civilians' lives ("Operation Iraqi Freedom" indeed) is in some ways more frightening: we did care. If the administration really did care about minimizing civilian casualties, it is even more incompetent than we thought.
And these consequences [for civilians] presumably influenced deployments of armed forces, provision of supplies, and investments in building a safe and secure physical and human infrastructure in the post-war setting. With the admitted benefit of hindsight and from a purely public health perspective, it is clear that whatever planning did take place was grievously in error.
I'm tempted to violate Godwin's Law, but I won't. Let me simply say this: if we elect this gang after what they've been doing for the past four years, we're responsible for what they do next.


posted by Arnold P. California at 11:55 AM




"What the Hell Do You Care?"

Via Atrios, we hear a GOP operative address those words to an Ohio voter whom he'd wrongly tried to remove from the rolls. He might as well have addressed them to the men who literally risked their lives by signing their names to these words:
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed . . . ."
Not to mention the thousands who have marched, petitioned, fought, and died to secure and maintain the vote since then, particularly women and African-Americans.

If you think these bastards will hesitate for a moment to steal the election if they can, you haven't been paying attention. So f**ing pay attention. Eternal vigilance and all that. Or, as Demosthenes put it:
There is one safeguard known generally to the wise, which is an advantage and security to all, but especially to democracies as against despots. What is it? Distrust.



posted by Arnold P. California at 11:41 AM




Daily Darfur

The rebels are now demanding a strict separation of church and state in Sudan
"Firstly, we'll start with the declaration of principles. We want a clear distinction between the state and religion. Right now in Sudan you have a situation where Islam is given prominence over other religions," [said Mahgoud Hussein, spokesman for the rebel Sudan Liberation Movement (SLM).]

"This shouldn't be so. Even though I'm a Muslim, we want religion to be a personal thing with every citizen having the freedom to practice what he believes in," he explained.

The rebel demand was immediately rejected by government negotiators, who insisted that mainly-Muslim northern Sudan, including Darfur, should be governed under the principles of Islamic law.
The U.S. has transported 47 Nigerian troops to Darfur and nearly 100 Rwandan soldiers are scheduled to fly in tomorrow. The US has reportedly allocated $40 million to help with the effort.



posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:04 AM




A Simple Question

The GOP defends its "ballot security" programs by alleging, generally without any evidence, that the Dems are committing "massive" fraud by registering ineligible voters.

To which I say: Fine. You've been running these programs for at least forty years. So tell us what percentage of the voters you've challenged over the years turned out to be ineligible.

If, in the past, you've been wrong most of the time, you cannot justify the massive onslaught you're planning for Tuesday--which, as you know, will create delays and disorder and thereby prevent legitimate (and unchallenged) voters from voting.
A federal judge in Columbus blocked Republican efforts to force county election boards to review tens of thousands of new voter registrations. Before the ink was dry on the judge's order, the Ohio GOP's top lawyer said the action meant the GOP would challenge such voters at the polls on November 2. "We wanted to have all these questions resolved this week," said attorney Mark Weaver. "Now they won't be resolved until Tuesday, when all of these people are trying to vote. It can't help but create chaos, longer lines and frustration."
From New Donkey--go and read the whole thing for a perceptive analysis of the GOP strategy to create an impression of moral equivalence between its cynical disenfranchisement strategy and other folks' counter-efforts to defend the right to vote.

And remember, when it happens, that the GOP deliberately used tactics it knew would "create chaos, longer lines and frustration." Even assuming that the GOP honestly believes (which it doesn't) that there is a significant number of ineligible voters--giving it the benefit of every possible doubt--the party's actions clearly imply that it's better to disenfranchise (say) five black voters than to allow one ineligible black person to vote.

Lincoln wept.


posted by Arnold P. California at 9:36 AM


Thursday, October 28, 2004


Scary, But Not Likely

Mark Moller has an interesting piece in Slate regarding the possibility that the election might end up before the Supreme Court at a time when there is a vacancy that he could fill via recess appointment
Election law professor Rick Hasen has identified at least five different "doomsday" scenarios, in which the Supreme Court could decide this razor-thin election. Imagine that one of those scenarios comes to fruition, and the election is thrown into the court—and Chief Justice Rehnquist is wholly incapacitated. With Rehnquist out of service, any ensuing election litigation could deadlock in a 4-4 tie at the Supreme Court. But now imagine if Rehnquist resigned: Bush would be free to make a recess appointment, of someone who would then be in the position to break any high court tie in the president's favor.

The resulting outcry would make the national disagreement over Bush v. Gore seem like a high-school Lincoln-Douglas debate.
That is actually a very frightening possibility, but not a very likely one.

From what I understand, Congress is already scheduled to return to DC on November 16th for a lame-duck session following the election to work on the 9/11 overhaul and other things.

Considering that in 2000, the first round of the Bush v. Gore legal fight didn't even make it to the Supreme Court until December 7th, I don't imagine that any similar case will move much faster this time.

I guess there is always the possibility that the election could result in various lawsuits and Rehnquist could resign before November 16th and Senate Republican leaders could cancel the lame-duck session in order to provide Bush with an opportunity to fill the seat via a recess appointment - but I don't think it is very likely.

If the first two parts of this perfect political storm do play out, I can't imagine that the Republicans would try, or ever be able to get away with an attempt, to cancel the session. And if Rehnquist were to resign after the lame-duck session had commenced, there is simply no way the Democrats would ever allow the Senate to recess simply in order to ensure that Bush does not appoint someone.

That said, if there is a Rehnquist vacancy, the result of any lawsuit would probably come out 4-4, if Bush v. Gore is any indication. And it is my understanding that any tie decision automatically upholds the lower court's decision.

And given Bush's relative success in confirming judges and Republican domination on the majority of the appellate courts, it is quite likely that we could see this all play itself out in front of yet another, albeit lower, court filled Republican, or even Bush, appointees.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 6:22 PM




At Least the Error is Consistent

Last night "60 Minutes II" did a piece on the potential problems with electronic voting machines. There was nothing in there that would be surprising to anyone who has been paying much attention to the issue, but I was absolutely floored by LA County Registrar Conny McCormack's illogical answer regarding the inability to conduct recounts on electronic voting machines
"You're essentially running the same data through the same software on the same computer, you’re gonna get the same answer every time," says Pelley.

"You are gonna get the same answer every time," says McCormack.

"Is that a recount?"

"Oh, I think it's a recount. And you know, do people really want to get a different answer? What we saw four years in Florida was a recount that was done, where people got a different answer, chad fell out and the numbers were different," says McCormack.

"This shocked people. The recount doesn't match, and yet, in electronic, the recount matches and everybody's critical of that. So I don't think there's anything in between. It's either gonna match, or it's not gonna match. There's criticism at either level."
People don't really want to get a different answer? Um ... yeah we do, especially if the first answer is wrong. We're not so concerned about getting "different answers" as we are about getting "wrong answers." If one of the tabulations is wrong and then we recount it and get a different answer - a right answer - I think most people would be pretty happy with that.

McCormack must be a Republican - for only Republicans see being wrong repeatedly and consistently as a virtue.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 3:57 PM




Embedded Regrets?

When the Bush Administration came up with the idea of "embedded" journalists, it was nothing short of a stroke of genius. The Bush Administration invited all these journalists and their video crews to cover and promote the U.S. invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. While it was a way for the rest of us to get a in-the-trenches view of the war, ultimately was a prophalatic measure against media criticism of the war, after all, journalists were living among the troops, became part of the story themselves, which ultimately making them far less likely to criticize the war effort.

But the Bush Administration never would have predicted that their concept of "embedded" journalists would come back and bite them in the ass a mere five days before the 2004 election. While the Bush Administration and the military try to spin the Al Qaqaa story scandal into oblivion, a group of Midwestern journalists may end up exposing what irresponsible manipulators they are, for all the world to see.
A 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS crew in Iraq shortly after the fall of Saddam Hussein was in the area where tons of explosives disappeared, and may have videotaped some of those weapons.
...
President Bush says no one knows if the ammunition was taken before or after the fall of Baghdad on April 9, 2003 when coalition troops moved in to the area.
...
Using GPS technology and talking with members of the 101st Airborne Division, 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS has determined the crew embedded with the troops may have been on the southern edge of the Al Qaqaa installation, where the ammunition disappeared. The news crew was based just south of Al Qaqaa, and drove two or three miles north of there with soldiers on April 18, 2003.

During that trip, members of the 101st Airborne Division showed the 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS news crew bunker after bunker of material labelled "explosives." Usually it took just the snap of a bolt cutter to get into the bunkers and see the material identified by the 101st as detonation cords.

"We can stick it in those and make some good bombs." a soldier told our crew.

There were what appeared to be fuses for bombs. They also found bags of material men from the 101st couldn't identify, but box after box was clearly marked "explosive."

In one bunker, there were boxes marked with the name "Al Qaqaa", the munitions plant where tons of explosives allegedly went missing.

Once the doors to the bunkers were opened, they weren't secured. They were left open when the 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS crew and the military went back to their base.
Clearly these troops were not given any priority orders to secure this site, and several signs point to the fact the footage the news team has is from the controversial Al Qaqaa site.

I think this means that Al Qaqaa is an offical "October Surprise." Or as an Indian newspaper headline succinctly puts it: Bush in Danger from Al Qaqaa, not Al Qaeda.

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:13 PM




German Humor

The German Academic Exchange Service, which coordinates millions of euros worth of academic programs around the world to promote the German language and good relations between students and scholars from Germany and those from other countries, is about to launch an essay contest for British university students.

The name of the contest? "Don't Mention the War."




posted by Arnold P. California at 11:34 AM




Things We Lost in the Looting

David Kay says that is probably what happened to the 400 tons of explosives - from the WSJ
David Kay, a former U.S. official who led the weapons search in Iraq in 2003, said his team believed the stockpile was looted after the U.S. invasion and not moved before the war by Iraqi officials loyal to Mr. Hussein. "The assumption was that it had disappeared in the looting," Mr. Kay said.

[edit]

Inspectors with the United Nations' International Atomic Energy Agency left Iraq in mid-March 2003, days before the U.S. invasion, after verifying during a spot check that the explosives were under seal in bunkers at Al Qaqaa, according to an IAEA official.

The first U.S. weapons-inspection team checking on the explosives arrived on May 27, 2003. That team, which was part of the 75th Exploitation Task Force, a unit charged with searching for banned Iraqi weapons and components, found that the IAEA seals were broken and the high explosives were missing.

Several other U.S. units passed through the site in April on their way to Baghdad, but stayed only briefly and didn't check or secure the explosives, Mr. Kay and others said. Looters already were at work in the area by the time the 101st Airborne Division's 2nd Brigade arrived soon after the April 9 fall of Baghdad.
Also, via Tapped, we see that a local ABC affiliate out of Minneapolis that had a crew embedded with the 101st Airborne claims to have video of explosives at Al Qaqaa.

And, just for good measure, the Carpetbagger catches Bush-surrogate Rudy Giuliani blaming the troops
Asked about the missing explosives in Iraq, Giuliani said: "The president was cautious. The president was prudent.... No matter how you try to blame it on the president, the actual responsibility for it really would be for the troops that were there. Did they search carefully enough? Didn't they search carefully enough?


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:46 AM




Daily Darfur

A coalition of religious leaders is urging Kofi Annan to do more and to begin releasing daily reports of the death toll.

The UN says that the rebels are responsible for the deaths of two aid workers earlier this month.

The rebels continue to refuse to sign any agreement that would allow humanitarian access to the region until the government agrees to disarm the Janjaweed. They are, in essence, holding several hundred thousand starving people hostage to their demands.

Angelina Jolie, serving as the goodwill ambassador for the United Nations refugee agency UNHCR, says the situation in Darfur "is just the worst thing I have ever seen."

The World Food Program says that almost 22 percent of children under the age of five are malnourished and close to half of all families do not have enough food.

The Sudanese government is threatening to close the U.S. embassy in Khartoum or take other measures against U.S. diplomatic interests unless it is allowed to open up a bank account in Washington.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:23 AM




More on Vote Suppression

I must have been unconsciously receiving Democratic Party talking points through the ether when I posted on GOP vote suppression tactics yesterday. The issue seems to have exploded throughout the lefty blogosphere and other usual suspects on the same day.

A couple of items for anyone who wants to do something about it. You can download a pdf of a sheet of four "election protection" cards, giving voters information about how to ensure that they are able to cast their votes and have them counted and also listing phone numbers to call if things go wrong on Tuesday. From 10 to 12 today in front of RNC headquarters in D.C., the Leadership Conference on Civil Rights and other groups are holding a press conference and calling on the RNC to refrain from minority vote suppression tactics that it seems to be putting in place. Head on over if you're in Washington and want to help draw attention to what the RNC is up to. LCCR is also calling on people to call RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie or e-mail the RNC and politely urge them to desist. They list the phone number as 202-863-8500 and also provide a web-based form, with suggested text that you can edit, for sending an e-mail.

Meanwhile, over on the listserv for practitioners and law professors in the field of election law, Professor Frank Askin notes that the RNC is still subject to a consent decree that it entered into in the 1980s to settle a DNC lawsuit over Republican "election security" programs, and that some of the reported RNC efforts around the country right now at least appear to violate the decree.

Finally, you can check out the RNC's response to the BBC article on targeting black voters in Florida. As I wrote yesterday, I thought the article overdramatized the facts it reported and insinuated more than those facts proved, and I think the response is mostly reasonable. But, not satisfied with that, the Republicans then pull out their usual tool when obfuscating these issues: allegations of "massive" Democratic voter fraud. My favorite bit of the RNC message is this: "In a year when reporters are under heavy scrutiny for showing political leanings toward the Democratic Party . . . ." Nothing like being mau-maued by the GOP, which will continue to whine about liberal media bias no matter how often the press corps looks the other way when Dubya out-and-out lies about indisputable facts.


posted by Arnold P. California at 9:01 AM




Too Late for an October Surprise

I mailed my absentee ballot today. If something causes me to switch to the Bush side, I won't be able to change my vote.

Not that big a problem, apparently; Bush seems not to be interested in getting votes from expats.

By the way, did you know there are actually other races on the ballot besides Bush-Kerry? I voted for candidates from four different parties. In alphabetical order: Democratic; Green; Libertarian; Republican. Noticing this, I had a bit of an identity crisis, so I went to The Political Compass to see if I'd drifted into "swing voter" land in the mushy middle.

Not a problem, though the outcome suggests I should have voted for someone other than Kerry. Darned false consciousness!


posted by Arnold P. California at 6:51 AM


Wednesday, October 27, 2004


Everybody Loves the Packers

One more reason to root for Green Bay this weekend
Since the Redskins became the Redskins in 1933, the result of the team's final home game before the presidential election has correctly predicted the White House winner. If the Redskins win, the incumbent party wins. If they lose, the incumbent party is ousted.
Green Bay plays Washington at 1pm Eastern on Sunday.

Go Pack!


posted by Eugene Oregon at 5:38 PM




Peering Beneath the Surface

Between this and things like this, Bush is totally toast.

I'm especially hopeful after reading things like the excerpt below because I think a lot of us white political junkies just don't know what to expect on November 2nd. But if Bush loses due to an unprecedented, historic minority voter turnout the irony will be stupefying. Try to imagine the exquisite irony of the African-American community in American saving America from being so blind to the danger posed by a second Bush II Administration. The oppressed rise to dethrown our crooked, insipid leader. From Salon, a young black writer tells it like he sees it:
Get Ready for a November Surprise

First, let me just say prepare for the death of polls, as that will be the dominant story coming out of election night. First blacks. I saw Ann Coulter on some show where she was literally speaking for black America. Being that she is an aging white chick with poorly dyed roots, she obviously got it wrong. Those polls saying how Bush will get 16 to 18 percent of the black vote are just wrong. To quote ODB, "Nigga please." Since black people aren't really polled, here is a bit of insight. Although we aren't that excited about Kerry, he has nothing to worry about with the African-American community. We as a whole don't like Bush, period. Yes, Democrats take us for granted and regardless of which party, we are at the bottom of the totem poll, but we realize that Democrats talk to us, try with us, are down with us, and give us a seat at the table. We are gamed to what the GOP do, or rather don't do for us.
...
You just don't realize how pissed we are from Florida last time. Bringing out Clinton won't hurt, but Kerry shouldn't worry about us African-Americans.
...
Next, us young'ns. We aren't as stupid as people think. Simply put, we are in Iraq fighting or we know someone there, we have no health insurance, no jobs, and are generally pro-human rights (not for the gay marriage amendment, PATRIOT Act, etc.). We aren't going to vote for Bush, period. Kerry will take about 70 percent of the young vote. I am predicting, collectively there will at least 20 million more voters from these two groups, young'ns and blacks. You maybe think "yeah the fuck right" -- but trust me. On average 30 percent of African-Americans vote. Expect a minimum of 50 percent this time, maybe close to double. That is anywhere between 7 to 9 million more blacks voting. Young'ns will have a similar margin. Again, we at most vote at a 40 percent rate. Young'ns will easily double their numbers, going from 18 million to about 36 million.


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 3:58 PM




Who Said This?

No one, we presume, supposes that any change in public opinion or feeling ... in the civilized nations of Europe or in this country, should induce the court to give to the words of the Constitution a more liberal construction in their favor than they were intended to bear when the instrument was framed and adopted. Such an argument would be altogether inadmissible in any tribunal called on to interpret it. If any of its provisions are deemed unjust, there is a mode prescribed in the instrument itself by which it may be amended; but while it remains unaltered, it must be construed now as it was understood at the time of its adoption. … Any other rule of construction would abrogate the judicial character of this court, and make it the mere reflex of the popular opinion or passion of the day.
It is from the Supreme Court's "Dred Scott" decision.

The Center for American Progress has a very good essay on Bush's paradoxical misunderstanding of the case. Despite the fact that Bush cited this case as an example of the sort of judge he would not appoint to the Supreme Court, the authors point out that the type of "strict constructionist" judges he favors share the same philosophy that formed this decision.

Arnold also had a very good post on this same topic a few weeks ago.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:21 PM




New Terror Warning: Right On Cue?

Matt Drudge breaks story of a terror warning video. Hmmmm. No word from ABC, CNN or anyone else about it yet, it's either a leak or a hoax.
ABCNEWS HOLDS TERROR WARNING TAPE

**Exclusive**

In the last week before the election, ABCNEWS is holding a videotaped message from a purported al Qaeda terrorist warning of a new attack on America, the DRUDGE REPORT has learned.

The terrorist claims on tape the next attack will dwarf 9/11. "The streets will run with blood," and "America will mourn in silence" because they will be unable to count the number of the dead. Further claims: America has brought this on itself for electing George Bush who has made war on Islam by destroying the Taliban and making war on Al Qaeda.
...
The terrorist's face is concealed by a headdress, and he speaks in an American accent, making it difficult to identify the individual.
...
The disturbing tape runs an hour -- the man simply identifies himself as 'Assam the American.'


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 2:11 PM




Fraud and Vote Suppression

Dems claim the GOP is trying to disenfranchise voters likely to vote for Democrats, mostly racial minorities. The GOP claims the Dems are encouraging fraud by people who are not eligible to vote. The media, of course, report the story in classic "On the one hand . . . but on the other hand" fashion. The press reports the accusations, but doesn't shed much light on which is more likely to be true.

That is unfortunate, because the evidence overwhelmingly suggests that the GOP is indeed trying to suppress the African-American vote in particular, using means that vary from the arguably unethical to the downright illegal--as it has done in the past. And the countercharges of voter fraud appear to be a smokescreen, based again on current evidence and past performance.

You've read (maybe even on Demagogue) about some of these shenanigans, notably Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell's ongoing campaign to become the consensus Political Hack of the Year. But here are a few more tidbits:
  • Most explosive. "A secret document obtained from inside Bush campaign headquarters in Florida suggests a plan - possibly in violation of US law - to disrupt voting in the state's African-American voting districts, a BBC Newsnight investigation reveals." Reading the article closely, I'm not sure the reporter has really uncovered anything more than business as usual; it's a nasty business, to be sure, but I'm not sure that the charge of racial targeting is made out any more strongly here than in other instances that are already known about, e.g., the remark about suppressing the Detroit vote or the concentration of GOP voter challenges in urban areas in Ohio and elsewhere. Judge for yourselves. I think it stinks either way, but it's political dynamite if, as the article insinuates, there is direct evidence of a conscious effort to target African-American voters rather than just targeting Dems, who happen to be disproportionately African-American, as GOP officials claim whenever the issue is raised).

  • Most systematic (pdf). A Rice University professor offers a 106-page report entitled "Republican Ballot Security Programs: Vote Protection or Minority Vote Suppression—or Both?" The report discusses partisan "ballot security" operations going back to 1964, in which GOP operatives who don't live in the precinct (and therefore aren't likely to know individual voters or have any idea which of them is eligible to vote) are sent for the ostensible purpose of challenging ineligible voters.
    [F]orays by white, affluent pollwatchers or challengers into minority neighborhoods that the same whites would almost never go into otherwise, in the name of “ballot security,” [have] been a prominent feature of Republican political strategy for at least fifty years. On many occasions these forays on Election Day have also been accompanied by other measures, such as posting at the polls uniformed men, sometimes with badges or guns, who are intended to look like law enforcement officers; posting off-duty police officers at the polls; photographing or videotaping voters; aggressive, hostile questioning of potential voters or polling officials in ways that can embarrass or humiliate; spreading false information about voting requirements, candidates, and the election date in the days before the election; challenging voters on the basis of inaccurate registration lists that disproportionately winnow out low-income people; or a combination of these tactics. When successful, these measures are a form of vote suppression, which is a polite term for the disfranchisement of eligible minority voters.
  • Broadest. Demos has posted studies of several issues concerning voter fraud and the disenfranchisement of eligible voters (as well as some related topics). You can read about the provisional ballots we've been hearing about lately, as well as inaccurate "purges" of voters from the rolls and the incidence of election fraud. Among other things, Demos finds that "problems with individual voter fraud are a distraction from the more important issue of systemic problems including widespread voter suppression, partisan election officials, and improperly compiled 'purge lists' among others."

  • Most politically on point. A Columbia University professor wrote the Demos report on fraud by voters (e.g., voting when not eligible or voting twice), including participating in conspiracies to have many voters cast fraudulent votes. She writes:
    [T]he evidence of voter fraud I've been able to find is extremely thin. I do not believe that the thin evidence is due to the fact that voter fraud is difficult to prove, or because the authorities don't investigate and prosecute it, as defenders of making unsubstantiated claims like to argue (I would put Mr. John Fund in this category). My study of the procedures in place in some states to catch fraud and my interviews with election law enforcement personnel suggest the opposite. Rather, the evidence is thin because voters just don't commit much fraud these days . . . . Moreover, it is important to understand that there is a political agenda behind alleging fraud without evidence. The undue and unfortunately powerful influence of Senator [Kit] Bond [R., Mo.] in the crafting of HAVA [the Help America Vote Act] is testimony to this - his allegations of fraud in St. Louis during the 2000 election have never been proven, and, in fact, there is evidence to the contrary. And yet, as I recall, Senator Bond was able to get new ID requirements into HAVA while the bill was in conference because he ranted on and on about fraud that never happened in St. Louis. . . . I should also point out, that when the Democrats scream about voter intimidation and dirty tricks to prevent eligible voters from voting they are on much firmer ground, so this isn't a tit for tat political game.
  • Most partisan (pdf). Finally, the Democratic Party's own entry, a new lawsuit against the pathetic Mr. Blackwell and others, asking for an injunction against Blackwell's plan to send notices to tens of thousands of voters that each of the recipients will be the subject of a hearing on his or her eligibility--deciding which voters to pick out for special scrutiny on a basis that the Dems claim is prohibited by federal law.
Read. Enjoy. Pass them on.

Update: Ugh. I swear I wrote this before receiving today's Progress Report, which also mentions some (but not all!) of these sources.


posted by Arnold P. California at 1:45 PM




Rove's Freudian Slip is Showing

In response to Kerry's criticism of the Bush Administration's handling of lost weapons in Iraq, Karl had this to say:
"Kerry, by so rapidly embracing the story, is going to end up being tarnished by it," Rove said. "What would he do as president? Get up every morning and say, 'I'm going to govern based on what I find in the newspapers?'"
The simple answer to that question is HELL YEAH!

The alternative is that President Kerry could do what President Bush has always done-- not read newspapers, rely entirely on his advisors to keep him informed and spoonfeed him opinions, ignore any information that don't jive with his pre-set beliefs, surround himself with yes-men and delude himself into believing that everything is hunky-dorey.

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 11:38 AM




Faith-healer for President!


Now if only he had an oversized ring to kiss...

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 11:19 AM




True Enough

President Bush yesterday
You might remember, when they asked him about the vote, he said this. He said, "I actually did vote for the $87 billion, right before I voted against it." History has shown that Senator Kerry was right, then wrong, then briefly right, then wrong again. (Laughter and applause.) They finally kept pressing him -- they finally kept pressing him. He said the whole thing about the $87 billion was a complicated matter. My friends, there is nothing complicated about supporting our men and women in combat.
And there is nothing complicated about equipping our troops BEFORE you send them to war.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:04 AM




Bush is Bi

I think Zoe's comment on Dubya's brand of flip-floppery deserves to be elevated into a post.


posted by Arnold P. California at 10:52 AM




"He has erred too much on the side of neutrality and independence."

A new article explains the politicization of the Department of Justice more succinctly than my long-winded post on the subject.

There are a number of candidates who could be tapped to replace John Ashcroft as attorney general if President George W. Bush wins re-election. But perhaps the most obvious choice, Deputy AG James Comey, almost certainly will not be.

. . . Comey has had a strained relationship with some of the president's top advisers, who feel that Comey has been insensitive to political concerns.

According to several former administration officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity, tensions were sparked when Comey appointed a special prosecutor to take over the investigation into whether a White House official leaked a Central Intelligence Agency operative's name to the media. . . .

Distrust of Comey deepened after some of his early staff picks were vetoed by the White House for not having strong Republican credentials, sources say.

". . . Anyone who resists that political loyalty check is regarded with some suspicion," says one former Bush administration official. "The objective in staffing is never to assemble the best possible team. It is to assemble the best possible team that supports the president."

Earlier this year, after the disclosure of internal administration memos that seemed to condone the torture of suspected terrorists overseas, Comey pushed aggressively for the Justice Department's memos to be released to the media and for controversial legal analyses regarding the use of torture to be rewritten. . . .

"[Comey] has shown insufficient political savvy," says the former official. "The perception is that he has erred too much on the side of neutrality and independence."

As I think about it, this is also a pretty succinct underscoring another of my recent long-winded posts--the one on this administration's operational incompetence.


posted by Arnold P. California at 10:30 AM




Daily Darfur

Sudan is requiring that every AU soldier entering the country produce a certificate proving he is not infected with the HIV virus.

Sudan is also refusing to allow AU soldiers to enter into the country on US planes.

The UN Security Council has decided to hold a meeting in Africa next month to focus attention on the North/South peace process and Darfur.

The UNHCR is warning that a large refugee camp in eastern Chad is fast running out of water, and that water shortages in the region are hampering the establishment of new camps to house the 200,000 people who have fled Darfur.

Joanne Mariner documents the use of rape as a weapon.

Anna Quindlen has a column on Darfur in Newsweek.

A UN envoy will travel to Darfur to check on the government's claim that 70,000 IDPs have voluntarily returned to their homes.

Aid groups are calling on Bush to do more.

Jan Pronk says a broad political agreement in Darfur might be possible towards the end of the year.

In his latest analysis, Eric Reeves accuses the UN and the international community intentionally misrepresenting the dire situation in Darfur
Of course, genocide in Darfur has been neither prevented nor halted; in retrospect, Annan's empty words on this somber occasion carry the stench of his previous failure as head of UN peacekeeping during the Rwandan genocide, when he colluded with the Clinton administration to ensure that Romeo Dallaire would not receive the 5,000 intervening troops he so urgently requested.

Nor were Annan's demands of April 7, 2004 for "full access...without further delay" greeted with anything but contempt from Khartoum---the same contempt that has greeted his demand that the regime disarm the Janjaweed. This more than anything explains Annan's attempt to deflect blame from himself by setting up an absurd straw-man on the issue of genocide in Darfur: "[it is believed in some quarters that] if you were only to label Darfur genocide things will fall in place." Such disingenuousness is increasingly the hallmark of Annan's statements and actions on Darfur, and does much to explain why he refuses to characterize honestly the prospects for an African Union force without a peacekeeping mandate (the word "peacekeeping" is assiduously avoided by Annan and others).

To be sure, Annan has plenty of company. Javier Solana, Jan Pronk, the British Foreign Office---and the US administration. A White House statement of October 21, 2004 declares:

"This [US] support, combined with that of other countries, has made it possible for at least some assistance to reach 90 percent of Darfur." (Statement by the White House Press Secretary, October 21, 2004)

This "90% figure" is transparently false, and represents yet another shameful effort to evade responsibility for presiding over genocide.
Finally, the United Nations System in the Sudan has released its most recent Darfur Humanitarian Profile.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:41 AM


Tuesday, October 26, 2004


Brokaw's Understatement

Perhaps it was an attempt to depress turnout by gay voters. But, whatever it was, as Zoe noted in this post earlier today, President Bush broke with his party's platform and specifically endorsed gay civil unions.

On the one hand, it's nice to hear Bush say anything that has the potential to piss off so many hateful people who were otherwise planning to vote for him. On the other hand, given that Bush was conspicuously silent as the GOP platform committee debated and then adopted its anti-gay marriage/anti-civil unions language, it is difficult to view Bush's statement on Sunday as principled.

As I read a transcript of his interview with ABC's Charles Gibson, I thought about the confusing, tip-toe-around-reality answers that Bush had given over the preceding months about gay marriage and civil unions. This summer, even First Lady Laura Bush seemed hell-bent on using verbal sleight of hand to avoid taking a straightforward position on this issue.

Soon after she gave her primetime speech at the GOP convention, Laura Bush was interviewed by NBC's Tom Brokaw. Here is the question that Brokaw asked, followed by Laura Bush's tortured response:
Tom Brokaw: "There was a little buzz, as you know, in the last week or so when Vice President Cheney and Mrs. Cheney said they really prefer the states to handle the question about civil unions and the whole question about homosexual marriage. It's a little hard for me to determine just where you stand."

Laura Bush: "Well, I'll tell you what a constitutional amendment debate will do. It'll give people in the United States a chance to debate the issue, to talk about it, on both sides. If each state takes it up and discusses it and either chooses to have the amendment or not have the amendment. And I think that's really what this issue needs. And there are people who feel very, very strongly, as you know, on both sides. But as there is a debate -- we all need to be sure that we're careful and that we're very considerate of the feelings of everybody involved."
After reading the First Lady's answer, Brokaw's last sentence seemed like an enormous understatement: "It's a little hard for me to determine just where you stand."

Laura Bush apparently thought -- perhaps even still thinks -- that it's good for Congress to pass a constitutional amendment and then refer it to the states because it will "give people ... a chance to debate the issue." It never occurred to silly 'ole me that one needed to draft a constitutional amendment before the public would feel comfortable enough to start discussing an issue.

Laura Bush's closing line was especially pathetic: "... we all need to be sure that we're careful and that we're very considerate of the feelings of everybody involved."

Translation: It's okay to hurt their rights, but not their feelings. How comforting. But, given the president's statement on Sunday, is it possible that Dubya kind of, sort of, maybe thinks that rights might be just as important as feelings?


posted by Frederick Maryland at 8:12 PM




Free Speech in Western Wisconsin

Early this morning, President Bush was in Onalaska, Wisc., addressing a crowd of supporters -- we know that, of course, because of the "oaths of support" that the Bush-Cheney camp demands from all who wish to attend.

Onalaska is just a stone's throw from the city of La Crosse, where I was busily doing my part to end Bush's reign of error. As I checked out of my hotel, a desk clerk informed me that a policeman had told her that the Secret Service had ordered local law enforcement agents to remove any Kerry-Edwards signs that happened to be along the route of President Bush's motorcade.

For the Bush entourage, Kerry-Edwards signs may be an eyesore, but since when have they been deemed a security threat? I suppose this another example of how President Bush is making us all so much safer ....... from free speech.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 7:06 PM




Rewarding Bad Behavior

Kevin Drum takes issue with the Armed Liberal's decision to vote for Bush. In his typically reasonable Drummian way, he takes a look at Bush's "risk axis" and lays out 5 important shortcomings.

He then makes this point
Put all this together, and it points in one direction: the mistakes Bush has made in his first term are likely to be amplified in a second, not reined in. In a crisis, it's likely that he will rely on his gut, refuse to recognize ground truth from dissenters, ignore foreign leaders, and fatally fail to recognize the real sources of danger.
The only thing I have to add to this is that it is far more than "likely" that Bush will continue to make the same mistakes in his second term if he is re-elected.

It is guaranteed.

From the moment Bush "won" the election in 2000, he was acting like he had a mandate to institute all of the policies that the majority of the voters rejected. Despite the lack of any real mandate, Bush acted as if he had one and, for the last 4 years, we've seen the results.

If Bush is re-elected despite all that he has done, he genuinely will have a mandate - one that endorses every unilateral, reckless, idiotic and unnecessary decision he has made thus far.

Even without a mandate, Bush has overseen, in the words of Matthew Yglesias,
the Sinclair incident, the threatening letter to Rock The Vote, the specter of the top official in the House of Representatives making totally baseless charges of criminal conduct against a major financier of the political opposition [shades of Mikhail Khodorovsky], the increasing evidence that the 'terror alert' system is nothing more than a political prop, the 'torture memo' asserting that the president is above the law, the imposition of rigid discipline on the congress, the abuse of the conference committee procedure, the ability of the administration to lie to congress without penalty, the exclusion of non-supporters from Bush's public appearances, etc.
Oh yeah, and he managed to start a war.

Just imagine the damage he'll do if he actually gets one.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 5:14 PM




Bad, Bad Puppet Government

Hmmm...sometimes interesting things happen when you remove your hand from a puppet.
Allawi Blames U.S. for 'Gross Negligence'

In rare criticism of U.S.-led forces in Iraq, interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi on Tuesday blamed foreign troops helping secure the country for "gross negligence" in the massacre of 49 Iraqi National Guard recruits last weekend.

Allawi, in a weekly address to the Iraqi National Assembly, said his government had launched an investigation into the deaths of the U.S.-trained soldiers, who were lined up and executed by insurgents shortly after sunset Saturday near the main training base in Kirkush, 75 miles northeast of the capital.

"A terrible crime was committed in which a large number of the ING were martyred," Allawi said. "We think this shows, in addition to gross negligence on the side of some of the multi-national forces, it shows the kind of insistence to hurt Iraq and its people."


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 4:32 PM




Have I Mentioned That I Hate Polls?

Just in case I haven't, let me do so here.

I hate polls
Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? (likely voters)

Right direction - 41%
Wrong track - 55%

If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats? (likely voters)

Bush and Cheney - 48%
Kerry and Edwards - 49%


posted by Eugene Oregon at 3:25 PM




Fox News: "We Kiss Ass. You Decide."

An interview is an activity in which a reporter or news anchor asks interesting questions of a elected official. These questions need not be combative, but should at least challenge the individual to give complete and accurate explanation of his/her views, record in office, etc.

Now, I'm going to invent a new term: brownview. A brownview is an interview in which the media figure is a complete brown-noser, asking softball questions and/or asking questions that set up ready-made, predictable attacks by the interviewee. As an example, consider Sean Hannity's recent "interview" with President Bush:
HANNITY: ... I want to ask you a little bit about the debates, because in this campaign, there's so much emphasis on it. Some people thought maybe you were a little flat in the first one. You did a lot better in the second and third. Did you -- do you think that was a fair analysis and do you think we put too much emphasis on it?

BUSH: No, the debates are an important part of any campaign. The incumbent -- an incumbent president is at a little bit of a disadvantage simply because, by allowing an opponent on the stage, they are able to appear somewhat presidential ...

HANNITY: Particularly in the second and third debates, you really sort of stamped his forehead with the Massachusetts liberal. What does that mean to you and what do people -- you even said to him at one point he was the conservative senator from Massachusetts. What does that mean?

BUSH: Ted Kennedy was the conservative.

HANNITY: Ted Kennedy was the conservative senator, right.

BUSH: Well, it means to me, on the domestic front, raising taxes. That's what that means and I'm actually convinced he will. He proposed over $2 trillion in spending and he's going to have to pay for it and he can't pay for it by his so-called taxing the rich ...

HANNITY: In the final weeks now in this campaign, John Kerry, John Edwards, they have been out there saying that you were going to do certain things if you're reelected and they say you have a January surprise to privatize Social Security ... Do you think that when he says these things, John Kerry, your opponent, you were in these three debates with him, do you think he knows he's not telling the truth? I mean...

BUSH: I'm not sure Sean.

HANNITY: You've been pretty clear on the issue, but yet he continues to go out there and say it. When I think of old people that I know that say to you, uh oh, somebody is going to take my Social Security and that scares them.
Boy, that's a really tough "question" to get when you're a political candidate: does your opponent just lie or does he knowingly lie? The suspense is killing me; which is it, Dubya?

If Fox News wants to publish a "conversation" between Hannity and Bush, fine. But the term "interview" suggests that there might possibly be one thoughtful, provocative question among the many that are asked.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:25 PM




O'Reilly the Mythmaker

On his syndicated radio show today, conservative talk-show blowhard Bill O'Reilly complained that John Kerry has yet to explain why he voted against the 1990 Senate resolution authorizing the first President Bush to take military action against Iraq. Didn't it bother Kerry, O'Reilly asked, "that Saddam Hussein goes into Kuwait and commits atrocities" when he invaded his eastern neighbor in 1990?

Perhaps the answer is that those "atrocities" -- reports, for example, that Iraqi soldiers were dumping infants out of maternity ward beds -- were fictional and have long since been established as a myth.

Meanwhile, columnist Margaret Carlson writes that the sexual harrassment scandal in which O'Reilly is embroiled may soon fall from the public radar screen. Why?
...the O'Reilly scandal lacks one critical factor to drive it forward: constant coverage on The O'Reilly Factor. There's no bigger scold or sterner values enforcer on TV than O'Reilly -- he feasted on Bill Clinton like no other -- and ordinarily he'd be on top of such a story. But this time he is the one sitting in the eye of the storm.

To be fair, right after he filed a pre-emptive extortion claim against Mackris and her lawyer, he briefly mentioned his predicament on his show, without denying the charges or pressing himself on whether they were true.

Otherwise, a hush has fallen over the Fox News commentariat, and its brothers and sisters in arms. Apparently, there are no morals police to police the morals police.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:00 PM




Bush Bucks GOP Platform on Civil Unions

I can't believe this-- a week before the election Bush has come out in favor of civil unions, taking the exact same stance on gay marriage/civil unions as Kerry-Edwards.
In an interview on Sunday with Charles Gibson, an anchor of "Good Morning America" on ABC, Mr. Bush said, "I don't think we should deny people rights to a civil union, a legal arrangement, if that's what a state chooses to do so." ABC, which broadcast part of the interview on Monday, is to broadcast the part about civil unions on Tuesday.

According to an ABC transcript, Mr. Gibson then noted to Mr. Bush that the Republican Party platform opposed civil unions.

"Well, I don't," Mr. Bush replied.

He added: "I view the definition of marriage different from legal arrangements that enable people to have rights. And I strongly believe that marriage ought to be defined as between a union between a man and a woman. Now, having said that, states ought to be able to have the right to pass laws that enable people to be able to have rights like others."

Mr. Gibson then asked, "So the Republican platform on that point, as far as you're concerned, is wrong?"

"Right," Mr. Bush replied.
What?!?! Perhaps Bush really doesn't want to win, perhaps it is just too much hard work. Maybe he has decided to lose by suppressing the anti-gay, right-winger vote along with all the other garden variety Republican homophobes. Go Bush! I can't wait for Family Research Council and their "pro-family" friends to go nuclear over this.

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:11 PM




Why Take the Risk?

The Bush campaign has released a lot of rather lackluster ads, but their latest has got to be the laziest, most pathetic ad they've run thus far.

Here is the script from "The Choice" - you can see the ad here
President Bush and Congressional allies: strong leadership to protect America; tax relief; common sense health care; strengthen and protect Social Security.

John Kerry and liberal allies: higher taxes; voting to tax Social Security benefits; government-run health care; a record of slashing intelligence; and reckless defense cuts.

Alone in the booth, why take the risk?

I'm George W. Bush and I approve this message.
Did they run out of money or something? Has the communications department just completely given up? Or have they simply decided to revert to the lowest, laziest common denominator during the last week of the campaign?

Just off the top of my head I can come up with an equally pointless, uninformative and hacktastic ad - for none of the cost
President Bush and his Congressional allies: God, patriotism, capitalism, heterosexuality, guns, terrorism .. did we mention God?

John Kerry and his America-hating allies: Taxes, gays, communism, abortion, cowardice, "God" ... did we mention taxes and gays?

Alone in the booth, remember taxes and gays.

I'm George W. Bush, and I approve this message.
I'm hereby making my advertising skills available to the Bush campaign for FREE for the remainder of the campaign. God knows they need the help.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 1:02 PM




Bush's Own Coulter

Bush has Dick Cheney out on the campaign trail lobbing rhetorical firebombs
In Vice President Cheney's final push before next Tuesday's election, talk of nuclear annihilation and escalating war rhetoric have blended with balloon drops, confetti cannons and the other trappings of modern campaigning with such ferocity that it is sometimes tough to tell just who the enemy is.

[edit]

"I'm delighted with where we are now, heading into the final home stretch of this campaign. We're going to take the fight to our adversaries, wherever they may be. We're going to carry Pennsylvania!" Cheney told the roaring crowd.

It was the kind of dual-use dig that has come to define Cheney's style and strategy in this campaign. Dangerous leaders must be defeated, whether Abu Musab Zarqawi, the Jordanian blamed for kidnappings, beheadings, car bombings and other attacks in Iraq, or Kerry in Massachusetts.
I also thought this was interesting
During the campaign, Bush often dispatches his jabs with mocking humor and incredulous expressions; Cheney and his advisers, including wife Lynne -- who helps write many of his sharpest lines -- tend toward more sweeping pronouncements that can evoke alarm.
Mentioning that her daughter is a lesbian? Not fair. Comparing Kerry to a terrorist? Perfectly fine.

And while I see Cheney as little more than a prettier but slightly less masculine Ann Coulter, Mary Matalin sees him as America's Winston Churchill
"It's like when you look back to Winston Churchill and appeasement. Everyone thought Winston Churchill was crackers," said Cheney adviser Mary Matalin, adding that Cheney is a realist. "He's just an American pragmatist when it comes to . . . how we use our might around the world," Matalin said. "If you think that's fear-mongering, you don't have a realistic view of the challenges we face."
I guess it is just a difference of opinion. But, for what it is worth, my opinion isn't clouded by lies and I happen to live in the "reality-based community." So take your pick.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:55 AM




Daily Darfur

The rebels are demanding a security agreement with Khartoum before they are willing to sign any accord guaranteeing humanitarian access to the region. That same demand led the last round of talks to fail.

Richard O'Brien, former director of the Center for the Prevention of Genocide, has this op-ed in today's Washington Post
So the lesson after Rwanda is that with moral conviction and decisive action, genocide and resulting humanitarian disaster can be stopped in their tracks. And yet the situation in Darfur continues. The massacres have ebbed, but the humanitarian catastrophe is likely to cost hundreds of thousands of lives because the unthinkable is happening: The world community, with the United States at the helm, seems to have forgotten how to react.

America, defender against communism, fascism and terrorism and the creative beacon of freedom and human rights, has called what is happening in Darfur genocide -- but it has failed to stop it. The United States is uniquely positioned to provide the armored personnel carriers and equipment to enable those African Union troops to get into Darfur to stop the killing and famine. Not finding the will to act is genocidal indifference.

With the sense of urgency befitting a great nation that acts to eradicate genocide, we should ensure that the planes are in the air, that the red tape is cut and that U.S. aid becomes a fact, not a political platitude.

Calling it genocide is half the answer. The United States must now move with the moral imperative to end the genocide in Darfur. Whether it is through Secretary of State Colin Powell or someone else in the administration, the United States needs to step up and get the aid into Darfur. It is unconscionable for a great nation such as ours to do anything less.
The New York Times' Somini Sengupta files this story
Even with the eyes of the world on this burned-out swath of western Sudan, threats of oil sanctions against the government and the trickle of African Union monitors into the countryside, one brutality has apparently continued undeterred: violence against Darfur's women.
And via Passion of the Present I came across this


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:17 AM


Monday, October 25, 2004


Bring it On!

Maybe this is what Bush meant when he said "Bring it on!"

This whole 370 ton explosive issue is really bugging me. Not just for the reasons you might think. First there's the incomptenece factor, then there's the "why would they do that?" factor.

So here's my latest tin-foil-hat club PEAD-induced theory:

Going into Iraq perhaps Bush & Co. wanted the playing field to be level, you know, they wanted to counteract the soft bigotry of low expectations. So it wouldn't be like the Hulk picking a fight with Elmer Fudd, they actually left all those explosives for people to take on purpose. Y'think? I mean, what other explanation is there for us to leave 370 tons of explosives totally unprotected, ready and waiting for others to use against us and our Polish allies? Why? Why don't they care about supporting our troops in ways that actually matter?

Yes, yes, yes, this political junkie has overdosed. Only 8 more days then I can sleep again. Maybe.

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 5:10 PM




A Living, Breathing Reminder...

of how next week's election may impact the make up of the Supreme Court.
Chief Justice William Rehnquist has undergone throat surgery after a diagnosis of thyroid cancer, but is expected to be released from the hospital this week, according to the Supreme Court.
...
Fellow Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 71, underwent treatment for colon cancer in 1999, and Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, 74, had a bout with breast cancer that was diagnosed in 1988.
Addendum: While the Supremes get a lot of attention, the impact of lower judicial appointees is equally important, especially when it comes to life-or-death cases like this one:
Paul House, [a] guy in Tennessee who could face execution soon, despite the fact that he is almost certainly innocent...House lost his appeal before the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals on an 8-7 vote. Incredibly -- okay, perhaps not so incredibly -- the 8 justices who voted against him were appointed by Republican presidents (including four by the current Bush). And the seven justices who voted in his favor were appointed by Democrats.


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:40 PM




An Important Story Trapped in the WSJ

Because the Wall Street Journal requires a subscription to access some of their content, I am posting their article on the Bush administration's failure to take out Abu Musab al-Zarqawi here
Still, after the defeat of the Taliban in Afghanistan, President Bush had said he relentlessly would pursue and attack fleeing al Qaeda fighters regardless of where they went to hide. Mr. Bush also had decided upon a policy of pre-emptive strikes, in which the U.S. wouldn't wait to be struck before hitting enemies who posed a threat. An attack on Mr. Zarqawi would have amounted to such a pre-emptive strike. The story of the debate over his camp shows how difficult the policy can be to carry out; Mr. Zarqawi's subsequent resurgence highlights that while pre-emptive strikes entail considerable risks, the risk of not making them can be significant too, a factor that may weigh in future decisions on when to attack terrorist leaders.

Some former officials said the intelligence on Mr. Zarqawi's whereabouts was sound. In addition, retired Gen. John M. Keane, the U.S. Army's vice chief of staff when the strike was considered, said that because the camp was isolated in the thinly populated, mountainous borderlands of northeastern Iraq, the risk of collateral damage was minimal. Former military officials said that adding to the target's allure was intelligence indicating that Mr. Zarqawi himself was in the camp at the time. A strike at the camp, they believed, meant at least a chance of killing or incapacitating him.

Gen. Keane characterized the camp "as one of the best targets we ever had," and questioned the decision not to attack it. When the U.S. did strike the camp a day after the war started, Mr. Zarqawi, many of his followers and Kurdish extremists belonging to his organization already had fled, people involved with intelligence say.

[edit]

According to those who were involved during 2002 in planning an attack, the impetus came from Central Intelligence Agency reports that al Qaeda fighters were in the camp and that preparations and training were under way there for attacks on Western interests. Under the aegis of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, tentative plans were drawn up and sent to the White House in the last week of June 2002. Officials involved in planning had expected a swift decision, but they said they were surprised when weeks went by with no response from the White House.
Over the weekend, Zarqawi's men ambushed and executed 50 newly trained Iraqi soldiers


posted by Eugene Oregon at 1:26 PM




There is no excuse...

good enough to explain this away.

First, Bush says we needed to invade Iraq because they had secret WMDs and that we needed to invade Iraq to make the world safer.

So we invaded Iraq.

But now, because of our invasion, enormous stockpiles of known explosives are now loose in the hands of insurgents who are using them to kill our soldiers and innocent Iraqis. Somehow we failed to do something so basic as to GUARD 380 TONS of powerful explosives. These were weapons we knew about, that were secure before we got there, we were even warned about them, but we left them unguarded because of lack of troops.

There were no secret WMDs, but the weapons that we knew about were left sitting for anyone to take.

On top of that, the Bush Administration has known about this massive theft for a while, it is only leaking out now.

There is no way around it-- this is totally and completely FUBAR.

What part of NON-PROLIFERATION do they not understand? It applies to more than just nukes, it also applies to weapons that could be used to detonate nukes.

George and Laura better start packing their bags, they won't be living in the White House much longer.

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 11:37 AM




Three Mistakes

The news about the disastrous failure to secure RDX and HMX that had previously been under IAEA supervision made me say something I've said often in recent months: can't these guys do anything right?

That made me think about the famous press conference at which Dubya was asked to name a mistake he's made and couldn't think of any, a failure that was compounded at the second debate (when he surely should have been prepared by his handlers for this question) when he couldn't answer a woman who asked him for three decisions he regrets.

What I'm thinking is this: if someone asked me to name three significant things Dubya has done right, could I? Even if you dropped the word "significant," I'd still have a hard time. Yes, I'm a liberal, but considering the range of decisions the government makes, I should be able to come up with three instances of solid, technical competence without having to scratch my head and think about it. But I can't.

On the level of significant decisions, going to war in Afghanistan is the one biggie that I agreed with at the time and still agree with. Even if the administration screwed it up by focusing on Iraq without finishing the job in Afghanistan, the initial decision was right.

But otherwise? Every significant fiscal and economic move has been wrong--not just wrong in the sense that I disagree with the ideology behind it, i.e., that I don't people should be able to inherit $5 million dollars tax-free, but wrong in the sense that it didn't work they way it was supposed to. (Check out the latest from jobwatch.org on how far short of the administration's claims the last round of Bush tax cuts has fallen). On almost anything that has to do with technical or scientific competence, the administration has opted for unreason and obscurantism (or am I just too deeply embedded in the reality-based community?). The big social policy initiatives have been disastrous; again, even if you agree ideologically with the philosophy of No Child Left Behind, the administration's failure to fund it has prevented the law from serving that philosophy; and the prescription drug benefit has combined the worst of everything that conservatives or liberals hate about each other's ideas--higher government spending, market intervention, corporate welfare--without doing anything for seniors. And on what's supposed to be the administration's area of great achievement, homeland security, most of the disinterested experts on the subject have been pointing to gaping holes left by the Bushies for the last three years (e.g., port security), while what they have been doing (e.g., locking up every male Arab or Muslim they can find) has been at best useless and at worst a P.R. nightmare in the hearts-and-minds war we're supposed to be fighting.

But move down from grand policy to the nitty gritty. This administration has shown a remarkable inability simply to execute competently the policies that it has decided to pursue. I was against the Iraq war from the outset, but I didn't imagine it was going to be run by Inspector Clouseau. The failure to safeguard the weapons is only the most recent example, and it probably stems from the same original sins that so many other debacles have: the neocons' faith-based insistence on overruling the generals and sending too few troops, and the utterly inexplicable and ongoing failure to provide those troops enough equipment.

Dubya has so exalted faith over knowledge, loyalty over competence, and ideology over everything that our government's comical ineptitude has become an embarrassment. Europeans can understand disagreements over ideas and policy, but a lot of folks I run into over here can't fathom why Americans--even conservative Americans--would vote to retain someone who has demonstrated so thoroughly his unfitness for the job. Our government is a joke that everyone in the world is in on. Except us.


posted by Arnold P. California at 10:54 AM




Daily Darfur

Two new rebel groups have recently appeared on the scene in Darfur. The first, the National Movement for Reform and Development, is thought to be an offshoot of the JEM. Not much seems to be known about the other, not even their name.

Laughable - from AFP
The United Nations sent a tough message to delegates at peace talks on the civil war in Sudan's western province of Darfur, warning them that the international community would not tolerate mounting ceasefire violations and attacks on civilians.
Given the UN's impotent response to this point, I highly doubt Khartoum or the rebels are taking this "tough message" seriously. Hell, even I don't take it seriously.

The African Union announced that it would start deploying troops to Darfur on Thursday.

The EU is contributing $100 million to help get this force in place.

Peace talks have begun between the rebels and Khartoum. I've lost track of how many times these talks have already been held (four or five) but, thus far, they don't seem to have accomplished much of anything.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:17 AM




Sam Hirsch on Ken Blackwell and John Ashcroft

Sam is a distinguished lawyer who has a Capitol Hill background and whose clients include the Democratic Party, so he's not exactly neutral or apolitical. I think he's also personally involved in some of the provisional-ballot litigation, at least in Missouri if not also Ohio, so be aware of his interest when you read his very good explanation of what's been happening in that litigation around the country. His concluding paragraph, which lauds the Dems for litigating these issues before the election and castigates the GOP for its voter-suppression efforts, should be read in that light--though I think he's right about the latter point, and the Dems' efforts are for the good even if motivated by self-interest rather than a noble attempt to clarify the law in advance.

But there's a paragraph in the middle that makes a point I'd been thinking about blogging, and that should be very troubling. The reference to "HAVA" is to the Help America Vote Act, which contains the provisional-voting requirements at issue.
In what I believe was an unprecedented move, the U.S. Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division had filed with the Sixth Circuit a 40-page amicus brief arguing strenuously that no part of HAVA could be enforced by individual voters filing suit in court. To be perfectly accurate, this was not exactly "unprecedented," as a few days earlier, DOJ had filed very similar briefs in the provisional-voting lawsuits in Michigan and Florida. But prior to this month, I am not aware of any case in which the Justice Department had ever filed a brief arguing that a voting-rights statute could not be enforced through private litigation.
This is a big deal for a couple of reasons. One is that when voting-rights laws, or civil-rights laws in general, are not individually enforceable, they are underenforced. If individuals whose rights are violated can't take action themselves, they have to depend on a government agency, such as DOJ or the EEOC, to act on their behalf, and those agencies simply do not have the resources to prosecute every meritorious case. This is why individuals who are given the right to sue are colloquially known in the law as "private attorneys general," and they have been pivotal to the success of almost every major piece of civil rights legislation, such as the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Fair Housing Act, and--most pertinently--the Voting Rights Act of 1965.

The other reason this is a big deal is that John Ashcroft has completely politicized DOJ; it won't enforce HAVA if that would hurt the GOP, and when its hand is forced by individual litigants who sue states under HAVA, it has come in against the voters and in favor of state Republican officials. Hirsch writes of DOJ's argument that individuals can't enforce HAVA:
That position would leave judicial enforcement ofHAVA entirely in the hands of DOJ, which has managed in the 24 months since Congress passed the bill to bring a grand total of one (1) HAVA lawsuit -- and even that lawsuit invoked HAVA merely to force a small, rural county in northern California to post better signs at polling places.
Say what you will about Janet Reno, but she let the career DOJ lawyers do their jobs and enforce the law. Enforcement priorities change under different administrations, as they should. Thus, Bush's DOJ is much less aggressive about antitrust prosecutions than Clinton's was. This is a matter of policy that should be decided by political appointees. But DOJ has a hard-earned tradition of political independence when it comes to enforcing federal law accurately and evenhandedly. Ashcroft has thrown that away, imposing ideological and party-allegiance requirements even far down into the ranks of DOJ's "line" lawyers, and he's overridden the career lawyers who've had the stomach to stick around. For instance, in the Texas re-redistricting charade, the career lawyers who are the experts in Voting Rights Act "preclearance" applications reportedly recommended that the DeLay map not be precleared because it had a "retrogressive effect," i.e., made things worse for minorities than they had been before (and the career lawyers were right about that). Ashcroft simply overruled them for partisan advantage.

The provisional-ballot cases are more examples of the same. DOJ's position is downright wrong, as the courts (including several conservative judges) have recognized, and it's bizarre for the Civil Rights Division to push a discredited theory aimed at disempowering people who claim their voting rights have been violated.
In the Ohio appeal, DOJ's argument on HAVA's enforceability [by individuals] got as chilly a reception from the Sixth Circuit as it had gotten from the Michigan and Florida district courts, both of which held that HAVA's provisional-voting requirements did confer individual rights [to sue].
Dislike of a nonpartisan civil service and mistrust of their expertise is a hallmark of this administration, seen in everything from its failure to pay any attention to antiterrorism chief Richard Clarke to Bush's dismissal of an authoritative report on the state of science on global warming as "a report put out by the bureaucracy." But Ashcroft is a partisan hack among partisan hacks. I fear it will take DOJ years to recover, even if Bush loses this election.


posted by Arnold P. California at 9:11 AM




Going Easy on John Fund

Those of you who have the stomach to read the Wall Street Journal's op-ed pages know what a hack John Fund is. I'll give just one example off the top of my head. A couple of weeks ago, he wrote one of those plague-on-both-your-houses columns bewailing how negative the campaign has gotten, particularly when the so-called 527s are involved. The lede gave two examples: Swift Boat Vets; and MoveOn.org, which, said fund, ran an ad comparing Bush to Hitler. The latter, of course, is false, and it's been debunked so many times that Fund either knew it was false or has shockingly low fact-checking standards. But the falsehood enabled him to foster the GOP-favoring idea that lying and sliming have been engaged in roughly equally by both sides, when objective observers (e.g., factcheck.org) know otherwise.

Anyway, Fund managed to induce another hack, but one of somewhat greater intellect, to foster another falsehood. As Rick Hasen's blog says:
In George Will's column that I linked to earlier today, George Will refers to John Fund's book on voter fraud, which has serious allegations that need scholarly investigation. One incident mentioned came out of Kenosha Wisconsin. A blog reader writes me to tell me that as far as that incident goes, Fund mentions only the initial charges, but not that a special prosecutor later found the charges were completely without merit. The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel article on the investigation is here and confirms the reader's account. It is very hard to prove election fraud, and even harder in most cases to prove that enough fraud exists to change the outcome of federal elections.
I think Rick is being generous. Yes, it is hard to prove fraud, but it's easy to report that charges were found to be "completely without merit" rather than repeating the charges as if they had some basis. Classic Fund. I'd go easy on Will, though, since it was probably reasonable of him to rely on Fund's book unless he actually knew better.

It would be good for Will to include a correction with his next syndicated column; I'm not holding my breath. The "fraud" canard is the GOP's attempt to obfuscate its voter-suppression efforts. If they were truly concerned about the integrity of the process, they would not only be sending people into hundreds of inner-city Ohio polling places to challenge voters' eligibility, but would be telling their boy Ken Blackwell to stop using every trick he can think of to prevent eligible voters from voting. Since they don't mind disenfranchising eligible voters through Blackwell, it's hard to believe their Democratic-precinct voter challenges aren't meant to intimidate or frustrate eligible voters as well.


posted by Arnold P. California at 8:56 AM


Sunday, October 24, 2004


Ohio Paper Opposes Same-Sex Marriage Ban

In Sunday's edition, the Cleveland Plain Dealer published an editorial critical of the proposed ballot initiative that would write a gay-marriage ban into the Ohio Constitution. The newspaper calls it "a terrible idea." Here are some excerpts:
A Constitution is the set of fundamental laws and principles that enumerate the functions, offices and especially the limits, of government, not the governed.

Insomuch as it speaks to individual citizens, it is as a guarantor, not a limiter, of their liberties. In Ohio's case, the seminal document's Bill of Rights lists some 20 individual freedoms, ending with this one: "This enumeration of rights shall not be construed to impair or deny others retained by the people; and all powers, not herein delegated, remain with the people."

To install in such a document language that not only defines a woman-man marriage as the only union valid in this state, but further bars from any legal recognition "relationships of unmarried individuals that intends to approximate the design, qualities, significance or effect of marriage," is to attempt to reverse more than two centuries of U.S. constitutional practice. It is an affront to the wisdom of the Founders, who properly understood the Constitution's limited role.

It is, however well-intentioned, an act of civic immorality ultimately as distressing to the body politic as the multitude of nontraditional relationships are to those who would enshrine it.

America, and Ohio, once before tried to inject its social mores into their constitutions. The result was Prohibition, which should have served to forever caution successive generations against tampering with a society's fundamental law.

... One need not support nontraditional unions to understand that the Constitution, if it is to remain a preserver of freedom, must not become the tool of state-sanctioned opprobrium. State Issue 1 would do just that. It deserves your unhesitating rejection.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:31 PM



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