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Friday, October 08, 2004


It's BA-ACK

The gender gap, oh how we've missed you...

Before:
Pre-debate, the TIME Poll found women split evenly, 44% Kerry, 43% Bush.

Now:
Females now support Kerry over Bush by 12 points, 50%-38%...Bush is now up 16 points among males, 51% Bush, 35% Kerry.





posted by Zoe Kentucky at 4:08 PM




About That "Solid Growth"

Just to amplify Arnold's point, consider the gap between the Bush administration's spin on today's job numbers and economic reality. Greg Mankiw, the chairman of the president's Council of Economic Advisers, appeared this afternoon on WhiteHouse.gov's "Ask the White House."
R.D. writes: Dr. Mankiw, your thoughts on today's job figures? Is the economy truly expanding and growing as the President claims it is? The job numbers still seem a bit weak, why? Thanks a lot

Greg Mankiw: Hi R.D. - Today's jobs figures confirm that the economy is continuing to grow and add jobs .... Yes, the economy is certainly expanding and growing. Over the past year, GDP has grown at a 4.8 percent annual rate, one of the fastest rates in nearly twenty years. Private forecasters see continued solid growth in the remainder of 2004 and in 2005."
"Continued solid growth" in our economy? Not according to the New York Times:
The United States economy added 96,000 jobs in September ... a weaker total than expected and a development that Senator John Kerry will surely try to exploit when he debates President Bush on domestic policy tonight. The figures showed that the employment rate held steady in September at 5.4 percent, with 8 million people unemployed, but the increase in jobs fell short of Wall Street's expectations of 148,000 ..."
148,000 - 96,000 = 52,000 short.

If falling far short of expectations is "solid growth," then what would Mankiw have said if the economy's job numbers had simply met expectations?

"Holy supply-side economics, Batman! Our economy is in hyper-drive!"


posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:27 PM




Sabato the (Un)Magnificent

After tonight's presidential debate, Larry Sabato is one of the predictable media whores whose image undoubtedly will appear on your television screen. Sabato is director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, but judging from the amount of time he spends with TV appearances, someone else must be directing the day-to-day work of that Center.

As for the quality of political commentary that Sabato offers in his TV interviews, consider this gem -- offered by Sabato soon after the first Kerry-Bush debate:
"Anyone who declares a winner in this debate is a predictable partisan. They both did beautiful."
The correct adverb is "beautifully." But Sabato seems to be the only person in America outside the Republican Party who would use any form of the word "beautiful" to describe Dubya's dismal performance.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:08 PM




Note to Media: Why Are You Still Reporting that the "Strong Economy" Is a Plus for the Bush Campaign?

I noted earlier how badly stockholders have done under this administration. Today's jobs numbers underscore what has long been obvious, namely that people who want to work have done really, really badly. Not only has the economy lost millions of jobs under Bush, but the wages and salaries paid for the jobs that do exist are lower than they were when he arrived. And let's not forget the utterly disastrous performance on the fiscal deficit and the current-accounts balance--these are bad for many reasons, the least of which is that it makes it hard for expats to settle in Europe because the dollar is so weak (cry me a river, Arnold P.).

Yeah, there was a serious stock market bubble in the late 90s, and although some air had gone out of it in the 10 months before Bush's inauguration, a major correction was still in order. And although the administration's attempts to redate the beginning of the recession to Clinton's term are laughable, it's hard to blame Bush for the onset of a recession that began within two months of his arrival.

But these numbers are horrendous. Anyone old enough to remember the bad economy under Carter? This is worse. And Bush isn't the first guy to face difficult circumstances. Clinton inherited a recession and an unemployment rate over 7%. Nixon, Ford, and Carter all had to deal in some way with oil embargoes (1973 and 1979), global "stagflation," and Congresses that were hostile to their policies (even Carter, who had a Democratic majority). Truman had a to handle serious post-war inflation and a recession.

But none of them had a worse economic record than Dubya. This is the worst performance since Herbert Hoover. And Bush has gotten almost everything he wanted when it comes to tax and budget policy, after repeatedly assuring us that his tax cuts would stimulate the economy.

If I were at the "town hall" tonight, I'd ask: Mr. Bush, how bad would things have to get before you didn't deserve reelection--or do you believe you should be reelected no matter how poorly you do? It's a catch-all question, as applicable to foreign policy as to the economy. This guy is just a disaster no matter how you look at it.

Update: As usual, Jobwatch.org is all over the new numbers and explains in understandable terms just how bad the president's job-destruction record is.


posted by Arnold P. California at 11:16 AM




Not So Fast
"... we're four days away from a democratic election, the first one in history in Afghanistan. We've got 10 million voters who have registered to vote, nearly half of them women. ... We've made enormous progress in Afghanistan, in exactly the right direction ..."

Dick Cheney, vice-presidential debate, 10-5-04

"I'm Laura Bush, and I'm delivering this week's radio address to kick off a world-wide effort to focus on the brutality against women and children by the al-Qaida terrorist network and the regime it supports in Afghanistan ... That regime is now in retreat across much of the country, and the people of Afghanistan -- especially women -- are rejoicing."

First Lady Laura Bush, weekly radio address, 11-17-01
Excuse me for letting reality interfere with a good story, but here are excerpts from a column Nicholas Kristof wrote this week for the New York Times:
I had an inspiration about where Osama bin Laden might be hiding. But when I visited the women's detention center in Kabul, there was no sign of him.

I did meet Ellaha, a bold 19-year-old prisoner who startled me by greeting me in English. ... She had been attending college as a refugee in Iran when her family pulled her out, alarmed that education might corrupt a young lady's morals.

Her family returned to Afghanistan, and she found work in a U.S. construction company, where her bosses were so impressed that they began arranging a scholarship for her to go to Canada to study. That horrified her family because the patriarchs had decided that she would marry her cousin.

... "When it was almost time for me to go to Canada, and I was asking about flights," she added, "they tied me up and locked me in a room. It was in my uncle's house. My father said, 'O.K., beat her.' I'd never been beaten like that in all my life. My uncle and cousins were all beating me. ... They broke my head, and I was bleeding."

Ms. Ellaha's younger sister, who had been pledged to another cousin, was facing the same treatment. After a week of being tied up, the two sisters agreed to marry their cousins.

... The two sisters [escaped by moving] into a cheap guesthouse as they prepared to flee Afghanistan. But their family learned where they were hiding, and the police came to arrest them. On what charge?

"It's because their lives were in danger," said Rana, the head of the detention center. Ms. Ellaha agrees that her family was pretty close to killing her. The sister is apparently back home, but I was not allowed to interview her.

... The entire jail is a kaleidoscope of woe. It's been two years since President Bush declared that in Afghanistan, "Today, women are free." But that's news to the inmates.

... Inequality is so deeply embedded in this society that there are no easy solutions. In a new opinion poll in Afghanistan, 87 percent of those surveyed said women needed to ask their husbands' permission to vote. There was little difference in the answers of men and women.

The best route to change is new schools, new clinics and more economic opportunity -- and those steps are just what the lack of security is blocking in much of southern Afghanistan ... Mr. Bush urgently needs to bolster security in rural areas in the south, so reconstruction projects can go ahead there. The liberation of Afghanistan from the Taliban was crucial, but only a first step.
On the one hand, it's not reasonable to assume that the Bush administration and/or a U.S. military presence in Afghanistan will somehow vanquish the deeply embedded cultural practices that oppress women over there. On the other hand, the administration should stop painting a false picture that the life of a woman in Afghanistan today is filled with laughter and opportunity.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 9:56 AM




Daily Darfur

Yesterday, the U.S. House voted nearly unanimously for a resolution that declares the violence in Sudan's Darfur region to be genocide, endorses sanctions against the Khartoum government, and provides some humanitarian assistance for refugees.

At a conference yesterday in Ethopia, British Prime Minister Tony Blair announced plans by his country to train 20,000 African peacekeepers over the next five years to strengthen the continent's capacity to respond to conflicts like the ongoing one in Darfur. Great news, but in making the announcement, why did Blair feel the need to say this:
"The international community should be supporting Africa's own solutions to its problems, as we are in Sudan."
Why is this genocide considered its problem? I must have missed something, but I thought the great legacy of the Holocaust was that genocide would never again be viewed as a "local" or "regional" concern. Silly me.

Meanwhile, Kofi Annan has named a five-person panel to investigate whether genocide is taking place in Darfur. Colin Powell, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, John Kerry and even our so-far-behind-the-curve president have all acknowledged that what's happening over there is a genocide, but Kofi just wants to make sure -- hence, the committee approach.

I am reminded that Soviet premier Leonid Brezhnev's last official act before he died was to establish a committee to study why Russian consumers had to contend with so many long lines.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 9:25 AM




Oops
AMSTERDAM — A top justice official was left red-faced on Thursday after it emerged he had put his computer out with the trash. A taxi driver found the PC, got it working and accessed "extremely sensitive" information about criminal investigations in Amsterdam.

[snip]

The taxi driver took the computer to television crime reporter Peter R. de Vries, who is going to feature the unusual find on his television programme on SBS 6 at 8.30pm on Thursday.

[snip]

The OM [prosecutor's office] tried to dampen the news by claiming the information on the laptop was at least 18 months old. But a spokesperson admitted the incident was "very stupid."
Check out the full article for details of the recent scandal in which a Dutch prince lost his right to the throne for marrying without the legislature's permission. Turned out his fiancee had once been the lover of a drug kingpin and lied about it. No big deal, really; it's not as if the prince was first in line or anything.

posted by Arnold P. California at 8:58 AM




What a Buzzkill

Why are gays and lesbians so bitter? With the economy having turned the corner and steady improvement in Iraq, this is the best of all possible worlds, and the U.S. is the best of all possible countries. It's really inconsiderate of people demanding special rights to be so ungrateful and try to make the rest of us feel bad.


posted by Arnold P. California at 8:47 AM




"Not even a successful capitalist"

I haven't posted for a week or so, having been in Germany over the weekend and then in London early this week. While in London, I picked up the current issue of Private Eye, the British paper that uniquely (I think) consists of a combination of satirical (i.e., fictional) articles and investigative (i.e., factual) reporting. It's great stuff, and I've decided to subscribe. I'd recommend it highly to anyone who follows British politics and news; if you don't know who's who in Britain, a lot of the material is difficult to comprehend.

Anyway, in the middle of a column about the sentences handed down to white-collar criminals in the UK and USA is a small item under the heading "Stock Horror," which is subtitled "Not even a successful capitalist." It consists of a bar graph showing "Wall Street during the first terms of..." and bars labelled as follows:
Nixon +16%
Carter +26%
Reagan +39%
Bush I +67%
Clinton +82%
Bush II -16%
I'm not sure how they're defining "Wall Street," but I checked out a historical chart of the S&P 500, and their figures seem to be pretty close to that. Interesting that the first-term performance of the market has increased under each president since Nixon (don't know about LBJ and before).

posted by Arnold P. California at 3:53 AM


Thursday, October 07, 2004


Polls, Schmolls

While we can all agree that polls are especially meaningless these days (or anytime, really) it's still nice to see this from the AP:
Among 944 likely voters, the Kerry-Edwards ticket led Bush-Cheney 50 percent to 46 percent. The Oct. 4-6 survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
I think this is the first time Kerry is ahead outside the margin of error, if ever so slightly.

It also contains this great quote:

Eric Schlichting, a suburban Chicago inventory manager who tends to vote Republican, said Iraq is troubling him.

"Up until the last 18 months, I was leaning toward Bush, but the more that happens the worse it gets," Schlichting said. "He sticks to his guns, but his aim is so far off that sticking to his guns is not paying off."
What does this poll mean, if anything? The media may stop reporting on Kerry/Edwards like it's a lost cause and may help endow Kerry/Edwards with the one thing everyhing is after these days-- the "big mo'."


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 5:14 PM




Beyond the Bounds of Acceptable Conduct

The key passages from the House Ethics Committee's letter to Tom DeLay
We note that your response to the Committee’s decision of last week included the statement, "During my entire career I have worked to advance my party’s legislative agenda." Your actions that are addressed in this letter, as well as those addressed in the Committee’s decision of last week and in prior Committee actions, are all ones that, in a broad sense, were directed to the advancement of your legislative agenda. Those actions are also ones that your peers who sit on this Committee determined, after careful consideration, went beyond the bounds of acceptable conduct.

As you are aware, it does not suffice for any House Member to assert that his or her actions violated no law, or violated no specific prohibition or requirement of the House Rules. The House Code of Official Conduct broadly requires that every House Member, officer and employee "conduct himself at all times in a manner that shall reflect creditably on the House." It is particularly important that members of the House leadership, who are the most publicly visible Members, adhere to this requirement scrupulously. The fact that a violation results from the overaggressive pursuit of one’s legislative agenda simply does not constitute a mitigating factor.
I love that last line. Obviously, the "overaggressive pursuit of one's legislative agenda" is not a mitigating factor. If anything, it ought to warrant enhanced penalties.

The DCCC has more - including this prime little nugget.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:37 PM




Keyes Gets Some Vital Support

Despite the fact that Alan Keyes is on his way to a 50-point loss ass-whoopin' in Illinois, he has managed to secure the support of a key demographic: bigots
Debbie Dammann, from nearby Loves Park, was in heaven. She said Keyes was striding down the same path as President Bush.

"They stand for Christian leadership and putting down the disgusting rights of queers. It's going to be a great day when they shoot that down," Dammann said.
Christian leadership and shooting down the disgusting rights of queers - what more could you ask for in a Senator (or President, for that matter)?

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:57 AM




"Meaningless"

From Newsweek
Without any public explanation, President George W. Bush last week increased the estimate of Al Qaeda leaders who have been killed or captured after receiving a revised U.S. intelligence analysis delivered the day before his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention, NEWSWEEK has learned.

In his nationally televised speech to the convention last Thursday night, Bush for the first time claimed that “more than three quarters of Al Qaeda’s key members and associates have been detained or killed.”

For the past year, the president and senior administration officials have repeatedly used a lower figure to measure the U.S. government’s progress in the war on terror. Bush in his State of the Union speech last January asserted that “nearly two thirds” of Al Qaeda’s “known leaders” had been captured or killed.

[edit]

White House and U.S. intelligence officials declined to provide any back-up data for how they developed the new number—or even to explain the methodology that was used, which they said was classified. The absence of any explanation, as well as the timing, prompted some counterterrorism experts to deride the figure as “meaningless” and predict the revision could fuel allegations that the administration is massaging terrorism data for political purposes.
Apparently nobody in this administration can say how many "known leaders" al-Qaeda has. As Matthew Yglesias says
If the intelligence community knows anything, it ought to know the number of al-Qaeda leaders it knows about.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:21 AM




Can the Kudos

During Tuesday night's vice-presidential debate in Cleveland, Dick Cheney repeated his position that he personally disagreed with President Bush on the issue of a proposed constitutional amendment that would ban same-sex marriage. Moderator Gwen Ifill had reminded Cheney that, four years ago, he had endorsed allowing states to legalize same-sex marriage and had stated, "Freedom means freedom for everybody."

Back in August, when Cheney first referred to his lesbian daughter, Mary, and distinguished his position on gay marriage with the president's, an Orlando Sentinel columnist wrote, "Cheney showed grace and courage in a firestorm. He gave a piece of his heart." Last night, a radio talk-show host was getting the public's reaction to Tuesday night's debate, and I heard a caller praise Cheney as "courageous" for "standing by his daughter."

But where is the grace in Cheney's holding a position that he didn't care enough about to speak out this year before the Senate cast its vote on FMA? Why is it necessarily considered "courageous" to take a position in which you or your family has a direct interest? "Courageous" would better describe someone who opposed FMA simply because they felt it ran counter to fundamental principles of equality -- not simply because one's son or daughter might be on the losing end.

On Tuesday night, even John Edwards joined the kudos-for-Cheney party, saying he had "respect for the fact that they're willing to talk about the fact that they have a gay daughter, the fact that they embrace her."

Judging from Edwards' remarks, you wouldn't know whether Mary Cheney were a lesbian or a serial killer. Aren't parents supposed to love their children unconditionally? What does it say about our society that we're led to believe that a parent who doesn't banish a gay son or daughter deserves a nice round of applause?

Hey, I'm glad that Cheney spoke out on this issue -- honest I am. But I just don't believe the Veep has quite earned the accolades that some have showered upon him for his FMA position.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 10:57 AM




The Media Divide

Just take a look at the varying headlines regarding Charles A. Duelfer's final report on Iraq's pre-war weapons capability
The New York Times: "U.S. Report Finds Iraqis Eliminated Illicit Arms in 90's"

The Washington Post: "U.S. 'Almost All Wrong' on Weapons"

The Wall Street Journal: "Report Disputes U.S. Assertions On Iraqi Weapons"

The LA Times: "Iraq's Illicit Weapons Gone Since Early '90s, CIA Says"

The Chicago Tribune: "Report on Iraq arms undercuts president"

The Philadelphia Inquirer: "Inspector: Iraq had no stockpiles"

The USA Today: "Final report: Iraq had no WMDs"

The Boston Globe: "Probe finds no illicit Iraq arms"

The Miami Herald: "Inspector: No proof Iraq had weapons"

The Dallas Morning News: "Report: Iraq's WMDs gone by '96"
And then there is the GOP's favorite news source
The Washington Times: "Saddam worked secretly on WMDs"


posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:47 AM




A Good Week

It has been an exciting week for those who despise the World's Biggest Asshole.

Last Friday, the House Ethics Committee admonished DeLay for his attempts to strong arm Rep. Nick Smith to change his vote on the Medicare bill.

And yesterday, they rebuked him again
The House ethics committee rebuked Majority Leader Tom DeLay for the second time in a week for questionable conduct, sternly warning the Texas Republican to temper his behavior.

The committee late Wednesday admonished DeLay for creating an appearance of giving donors special access on pending energy legislation and using the Federal Aviation Administration to intervene in a Texas political dispute.

[edit]

The panel told DeLay that he created an appearance of favoritism when he mingled at a 2003 golf outing with executives of Westar Energy of Kansas.

[edit]

DeLay also raised "serious concerns'' by contacting the Federal Aviation Administration in 2003 to chase down a Texas Democrat's private plane. State Democratic legislators were fleeing Texas to prevent Republican state lawmakers from passing a DeLay-engineered redistricting plan.
So, for the record, that is three separate incidents for which DeLay has been rebuked in one week. And let's not forget that three of DeLay's associates are currently under indictment for corruption.

Of course, DeLay's lackeys are brushing them all off as "politically motivated attacks" - and indeed they are: some politicians don't like sharing the House floor with power-mad, unethical asshole. Go figure.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:40 AM




Daily Darfur

The AP reports that Tony Blair met with leaders in Khartoum and got them to agree to a "joint withdrawal of government and rebel forces in the strife-torn region of Darfur and will accept a large increase in international cease-fire monitors." We'll see.

New refugees say that Janjaweed continue to attack their villages.

Knight Ridder is running this story
Every time she walks down the dirt path that snakes toward the woods, Zenab Abdallah's heart races with fear. In August, she was gang-raped by pro-government Arab militias in her village of Yassin.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:15 AM


Wednesday, October 06, 2004


The Free Press

On Monday, Scott McClellan made this announcement
One scheduling update, on Wednesday, the President -- we announced that he was going to Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. That event was scheduled for a focus on medical liability with President Bush. That has been postponed, but we will still be going to Wilkes-Barre. The President will give a significant speech on our nation's two highest priorities: the war on terrorism and the economy. The President will talk about the clear choices and real differences facing the American people on these big issues.
Calling something a "significant speech" is code for "the media had better cover this because it is important."

And, of course, the media did cover it today. And what did they get? This
My opponent and I have a very different view on how to grow our economy. Let me start with taxes. I have a record of reducing them; he has a record of raising them.

AUDIENCE: Booo!

THE PRESIDENT: He voted in the United States Senate to increase taxes 98 times.

AUDIENCE: Booo!

THE PRESIDENT: That's a lot. (Laughter.) He voted for higher taxes on Social Security benefits.

AUDIENCE: Booo!

THE PRESIDENT: In 1997, he voted for the formula that helped cause the increase in Medicare premiums.

AUDIENCE: Booo!
The White House basically cast Bush's basic anti-Kerry stump speech as a "significant speech" simply in an attempt to get some free, uninterrupted press coverage.

That is truly pathetic.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 5:01 PM




I'm Leaning Towards Pathological...

on the subject of Cheney's lying.

It turns out that Cheney told a double whopper last night. First Cheney lied when he said he'd never met Edwards before and he then lied when he said that he presided over the Senate "most Tuesdays." It turns out that in 2004 Cheney has presided over the Senate TWICE this year-- exactly the same amount of times Edwards presided over the Senate in his absence.

Folks, I'm leaning towards pathological, seriously. Not only had he met him several times before, but it appears he has a similar absentee problem when it comes to fulfilling his duties. Frankly, the weirdest thing about this is that it's a stupid attack. It sticks easily to all of them. They're all high-ranking public servants who had to spend much of their time campaigning over the past year or more. That is the way our system is set up. They don't take sabbatical to run for office. So I can forgive them for that, but Cheney's taunts were lies. For pete's sake, at least make them about something that counts, like actual policy. Oh, wait, he lies about that too.

Apparently Cheney attempted to attack Edwards' credibility last night by further undermining his own-- by lying with aplomb.


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 4:25 PM




"Hallelujah, Doc, I Can See!"

The world's greatest asshole got an "eye job," according to the Washington Post's Al Kamen. Just how smarmy is Tom DeLay? Consider the reason he gave for the plastic surgery:
People on the Hill had been talking about how House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Tex.) is looking different these days. Something about his eyes.

Turns out he has had plastic surgery to touch them up a bit. The Hammer has "joined the nip-and-tuck club," Roll Call reports, and everyone says he looks great.

"I had my eyes checked by my ophthalmologist," he told the paper's "Heard on the Hill" column. His upper lids had become so heavy, as apparently they are prone to do with age, that they were "blocking my vision."
Okay. I've seen some droopy eyelids before, but DeLay wants us to believe that the only reason he did this was because his eyelids were literally blocking his vision!?

Why didn't he just ask his televangelist friends to pray his eyelids back into their proper place?


posted by Frederick Maryland at 2:18 PM




You know someone has a problem when...

they lie for no reason.

While watching last night's debate I thought it peculiar that Cheney said that he had never met Senator John Edwards before tonight. I'm not sure why, but it just seemed unlikely.

Then I came across this that proves that he lied and I started to wonder-- is Dick Cheney a pathological liar or merely a habitual liar? Apparently Cheney and Edwards have met at least three times before, including attending an event where they sat next to one another for a few hours.

Why would someone lie in a debate about whether or not they had ever met before? It would have been just as effective for Cheney to point out that he hasn't seen much of Kerry or Edwards in the Senate, but to say that the debate was the first time he had met Edwards? It didn't even sound like a throwaway line, it sounded rehearsed.

It's a minor example, but I think it suggests that Cheney a bigger problem. Has gotten so accustomed to lying and distorting that he does it even when it isn't remotely necessary? Or is he a pathological liar who can't seem to discern truth from fiction?

posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:55 PM




First, Lie ... Then Lie About Lying

In her post above, Zoe uncovered a new-fangled lie by Dick Cheney. Well, pardon me for returning to an old Cheney lie ("that's soooo 2003"), but he did it again. In last night's debate in Cleveland, Dick Cheney said this:
"It’s important to look at all of our developments in Iraq within the broader context of the global war on terror. And after 9/11, it became clear that we had to do several things ... we had to go after the terrorists wherever we might find them, that we also had to go after state sponsors of terror, those who might provide sanctuary or safe harbor for terror.

"... The concern about Iraq specifically focused on the fact that Saddam Hussein had been for years listed [as a] state sponsor of terror, that he had established relationships with Abu Nadil, who operated out of Baghdad ... and he had established relationship with Al Qaeda ..."
But, then, within the next hour of the debate, he said this:
"The senator’s got his facts wrong. I have not suggested there’s a connection between Iraq and 9/11."
Really? Earlier in the debate, he'd used 9/11 and Iraq practically in the same breath. And, of course, there are a host of Cheney remarks from the past couple of years that he would like to ignore:
"In making the case for war against Iraq, Vice President Cheney has continued to suggest that an Iraqi intelligence agent met with a Sept. 11, 2001, hijacker five months before the attacks, even as the story was falling apart under scrutiny by the FBI, CIA and the foreign government that first made the allegation."

The Washington Post, Sept. 29, 2003
And the vice president also seems to have forgotten that on NBC’s "Meet the Press" (9-14-02), he used these words to describe Iraq:
"the geographic base of the terrorists who have had us under assault for many years, but most especially on 9/11."



posted by Frederick Maryland at 1:39 PM




No Record

While reading over this Washington Post article
President Bush, in biting criticism of his Democratic challenger, said Wednesday that Sen. John Kerry has "a strategy of defeat" for Iraq and an economic program that would imperil America at home.

[edit]

Of Kerry, Bush said, "My opponent's endless back-and-forth on Iraq is part of a larger misunderstanding. In the war on terror, Senator Kerry is proposing policies and doctrines that would weaken America and make the world more dangerous."
I was struck by how the entire Bush campaign seems dedicated to smearing Kerry and saying that he is unfit for the office rather than touting this administration's accomplishments and explaining why they deserve to be re-elected.

And then I read this other Washington Post article and understood why that was
The government's most definitive account of Iraq's arms programs, to be released today, will show that Saddam Hussein posed a diminishing threat at the time the United States invaded and did not possess, or have concrete plans to develop, nuclear, chemical or biological weapons, U.S. officials said yesterday.

The officials said that the 1,000-page report by Charles A. Duelfer, the chief U.S. weapons inspector in Iraq, concluded that Hussein had the desire but not the means to produce unconventional weapons that could threaten his neighbors or the West. President Bush has continued to assert in his campaign stump speech that Iraq had posed "a gathering threat."
I guess that it is hard to run on your record when your biggest accomplishments have been monumental failures.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:55 AM




Timeline

President Bush and Vice President Cheney both sought to attack Sens. Kerry and Edwards during their respective debates over the latter's votes "against" providing funding to our troops in Iraq.

Here was Cheney last night
You also have a situation where you talk about credibility. It's awfully hard to convey a sense of credibility to allies when you voted for the war and then you declared wrong war, wrong place, wrong time. You voted for the war and then you voted against supporting the troops when they needed the equipment, the fuel, the spare parts and the ammunition and the body armor.
Bush and Cheney have been hammering away at this point for months and I want to know why no one from the Kerry camp ever responds by asking just what the troops were doing in Iraq without equipment, fuel, spare parts, ammunition and body armor in the first place.

Bush started the war on March 19, 2003.

Kerry and Edwards didn't voted on the supplemental appropriations bill until October 17th, 2003.

That is seven months. It took Bush seven months after he had sent the troops into war to get Congress to appropriate the funds necessary to equip them.

Bush didn't even sign the supplemental appropriations bill until November 6, 2003.

Since Bush and Cheney are going to continue to try and paint Kerry and Edwards as flip-floppers unwilling to properly equip our troops, it might behoove the Kerry camp to start pointing out that Bush is the one who sent the troops to war without providing the equipment beforehand.

In fact, the President own's words during the signing ceremony are pretty damning, if you think about them
We will purchase ammunition for our weapons, and fuel and spare parts for airplanes and helicopters and vehicles. We will replace equipment lost or damaged in combat. We'll acquire vital new equipment, such as armored humvees and body armor and communications gear. Our service men and women are carrying out their missions with skill and honor, and they deserve the finest equipment and best weapons we can provide.
Bush is essentially admitting that it wasn't until 7 months after he had committed troops that he saw to it that money was available to "acquire vital new equipment, such as armored humvees and body armor and communications gear."

I want to know why our troops had already been in Iraq for eight months without these things to begin with.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:41 AM




Daily Darfur

The UN is warning that it will not be able to cope with the refugee situation in Darfur if security does not rapidly improve.

Tony Blair is touring Africa and claims to have handed the Sudanese government a list of demands aimed at ending the conflict and the humanitarian crisis in Darfur.

Sudan is telling the US to put up or shut up by challenging the government to send troops to Darfur if it really believes a genocide is taking place.

The UN says that it might take until early next year to deploy a 4,000-strong African Union force to Darfur.

Jan Pronk says Sudan is making no progress
"There was no systematic improvement of people's security and no progress on ending impunity," he said. "In September, on security, ... there were still breaches of the cease-fire from both sides, attacks and counterattacks, revenge and retaliation. ... (and) the government still fails to bring the perpetrators of atrocities to justice."
Janjaweed members say that they were armed and hired by the Khartoum government
A handful of the fighters interviewed under scrutiny of their field commanders and Sudanese military officers variously said they were part of civil patrols, known as mujahedeen — holy warriors — or part of the regular military.
The International Crisis Group warns that "War could soon break out again across Sudan unless the negotiations between the government and the rebel Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army (SPLA) that resume on 7 October produce a quick and conclusive peace agreement."

USAID announced that it has "approved a $600,000 grant to the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (UNHCHR) to double the number of human rights monitors in Darfur, Sudan. This is in keeping with UNHCHR head Louise Arbour's recent call to increase the number of human rights observers from the current eight to 16." Wow, 16 whole human rights monitors for an area the size of Texas? That works out to about 1 monitor for every 12,500 square miles. So that ought to really help.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:41 AM


Tuesday, October 05, 2004


That What I Was Saying!

Yesterday I wrote a post taking issue with Bush's insistence that he and Kerry saw the same intelligence before Kerry voted to authorize the war in Iraq.

And now, via the Carpetbagger, I see that Kerry's surrogates are making the same point
"Kerry did not have access to the same intelligence," former U.N. ambassador Richard Holbrooke, a foreign policy adviser to the Democrat, said on ABC's "This Week" program. Mr. Holbrooke said the president had the advantage of 'unique intelligence,' which he said was significant since the Congress was not made fully aware that all administration experts did not believe the tubes were intended to produce a nuclear weapon.

Spokesman Joe Lockhart made the same point on CBS's "Face the Nation."

"Let me make one correction on what the president said during the debate, and this is something that's widely known in Washington," said Mr. Lockhart. "United States senators don't have access to the same intelligence that the president does."
I'm going to ignore the fact that Lockhart and Holbrooke both made that point the day before I did, and just pretend that the Kerry campaign is reading this blog.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 4:14 PM




"And One Nation, Under Halliburton ..."

John R. MacArthur, the publisher of Harper's magazine, wrote an op-ed column for the Providence (R.I.) Journal today in which he urges Kerry to get even tougher in his attacks on Bush. Kerry, suggests MacArthur, should focus his attacks on the financial corruption that Bush and his cronies have encouraged or permitted writes.

MacArthur says that one of Kerry's targets should be Halliburton's mysterious venture in Iran, a country that Bush himself included within the "axis of evil" and one that is believed to be developing nuclear weapons. Excerpts of MacArthur's column:
... I think that the fundamental corruption (and political vulnerability) of the Bush family involves money: how they and their friends acquire it.

... Halliburton is where Bush greed and Bush political hypocrisy meet felicitously for the Kerry campaign. Remember the "axis of evil" -- Iraq, Iran and North Korea? In August, French TV 5 aired a documentary exposé of corrupt Islamic religious "foundations" that really operate as for-profit cartels. Nothing shocking there, but in their reporting, the producers stumbled across a Halliburton installation of storage tanks on the Iranian island of Kish, a "free-trade zone" in the Persian Gulf.

I asked Wendy Hall, of Halliburton public relations, how such a venture squared with the U.S. embargo on Iran. She tersely replied by e-mail that "Halliburton's business in Iran is clearly permissible under U.S. law."

The Treasury Department says this is true in a hair-splitting legal sense -- the Iran operation apparently functions behind a Cayman Islands-based front called Halliburton Products and Services Ltd., which has neither employees nor building. But this surely spits on the spirit of the embargo. And it gives the lie to Bush's assertion that his war against "evil" is uncompromising.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:49 PM




The Power of Ellipses

You have to hand it to Bush's allies in the right-wing press. In an effort to support their guy's phony assertion that Kerry would give the UN--or worse yet France--veto power over American foreign policy, they're employing everything tool in their arsenal, including punctuation. Here's an example from the Hudson Institute's Anne Bayefsky on today's National Review Online. Bayefsky characterizes Kerry's statement on a "global test" for preemptive action like this:
Any use by a president of the option of a "preemptive strike" must be done "in a way...that passes the global test where...you can prove to the world that you did it for legitimate reasons."
Through Bayefsky's strategic use of ellipses, she describes a Kerry Doctrine which is pretty much the opposite of what he actually said, much in keeping with recent Bush campaign ads. Here's the full text of Kerry's statement. The words Bayefsky chose to quote are in bold:

The president always has the right, and always has had the right, for preemptive strike. That was a great doctrine throughout the Cold War. And it was always one of the things we argued about with respect to arms control.

No president, though all of American history, has ever ceded, and nor would I, the right to preempt in any way necessary to protect the United States of America.

But if and when you do it, Jim, you have to do it in a way that passes the test, that passes the global test where your countrymen, your people understand fully why you're doing what you're doing and you can prove to the world that you did it for legitimate reasons.

Oddly, not everything that Bayefsky says about Kerry is negative. For example, at one point, she writes: "Kerry...should be commended for...his...honest...approach...to build[ing] a community of peaceful, democratic nations."




posted by Noam Alaska at 3:44 PM




A Business Leader Blasts FMA

In today's Wall Street Journal (subscription req'd), Howard Paster, the former chairman and CEO of Hill & Knowlton, argues that the Federal Marriage Amendment is bad for business. Perhaps this is the best way (or only way) to get through to Republicans who are otherwise beholden to the Religious Right. Excerpts from Paster's column in which he says Corporate America is a sector that "does not need to be protected from marriage for same-sex couples":
... It's good to see that members of the House and the Senate, which rejected [FMA] in July, are gradually catching up with corporate America, which has been recognizing a growing number of gays and lesbians in the workplace for more than two decades.

... the Village Voice, the nation's first alternative weekly, was also the first employer in America to offer health insurance to its employees' domestic partners in 1982. That benefit, offered by a small, progressive employer in the Northeast has ballooned into what today includes 40% of the Fortune 500 companies. It includes oil giants Shell Oil and BP, the Big Three auto makers, Lockheed Martin, General Electric, Coca-Cola and so on.

Bottom-line, business decision-making explains it: Respected employees perform better and stay longer and these benefits cost very little.

Corporations have added domestic-partner benefits even though the Internal Revenue Service considers them taxable income to the employee. This means that both federal-income and payroll taxes are levied on health-insurance premiums paid to cover a domestic partner. The same is true for income tax levied in all but three states. While this doesn't raise insurmountable costs, it does place an administrative burden on companies that need to set up one payroll system for married heterosexual couples and another for partnered gay couples.

The proposed Federal Marriage Amendment could label any benefit that employers extend to same-sex couples -- from group health insurance to family leave to bereavement leave -- as unconstitutional.

... One unexpected consequence of the legalization of gay marriage in Massachusetts is that small businesses are actually more competitive. Now that gay partners who marry meet the definition of "spouse," smaller employers no longer have to wrangle with insurers and struggle to make benefits available to their employees that large self-insured companies have always done with ease. The result is that smaller firms are better positioned to compete for talent against larger firms that can entice gay employees with fully comparable benefits plans.

... A proposed change to the federal Constitution -- if it were to reach the states -- would cause a nationwide disruption to workplace productivity and to corporate America's efforts to build successful teams that honor and respect human diversity.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:08 PM




Republicans WANT You To Steal

So long as you are rich.

From the New York Times
Despite widespread agreement that abusive tax shelters are costing the federal government billions of dollars a year, House Republicans are working to eliminate or dilute provisions in a new corporate tax bill aimed at cracking down on illegal shelters.

[edit]

One crucial Senate provision, for example, would greatly increase penalties on people who spin complex transactions that serve no other purpose except to avoid taxes.

Supporters of the Senate bill say it would address a glaring weakness of the system: even when a court finds that a tax deal is abusive, it rarely imposes penalties beyond making a company or a person pay back taxes.

[edit]

The nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation, which provides the revenue estimates on proposed tax bills, estimated that just one of the disputed provisions would raise about $15 billion over the next 10 years.

But House Republicans oppose that measure. Representative Bill Thomas, chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, said two weeks ago that the provision was unnecessary and would have a chilling effect on legitimate business deals.
Um, pardon me but how is outlawing "complex transactions that serve no other purpose except to avoid taxes" going to effect "legitimate business deals?" By definition, the things the law outlaws are NOT legitimate business deals.

The only "business deals" that are going to be negatively impacted by outlawing this are those done between business lobbyists and the Republicans they buy off.

So, once again, I will recommend that you read David Cay Johnston's "Perfectly Legal: The Covert Campaign to Rig Our Tax System to Benefit the Super Rich - and Cheat Everybody Else"

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:28 AM




Um, That's Kinda The Point


From The Hill
Senate Republican leaders are retooling a proposal to change GOP conference rules to ensure more party discipline, and will put the idea up to a vote next month.

[edit]

Several GOP centrists have expressed concern that the majority leader would use the new powers to keep them off key committees, stacking panels with party loyalists and increasing partisanship in the Senate.

"I'm against them," said Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), who routinely bucks party leaders and votes with Democrats on prominent issues. "The status quo is fine, and we’re not the House of Representatives."
You are not the House and that is exactly the problem. If the ultra-conservative Republicans are ever going to impose their agenda on this country, they need to get the moderates out of the way - and that is exactly what they are trying to do.

For a glimpse of what the future might hold for the Senate once this Republican purge is fully implemented, just take a look at this Boston Globe series to see what they have done to the House.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:04 AM




Should Voting Precede Debating?

Those of us who support John Kerry were undoubtedly pleased to see that Americans as a whole had the same view of last Thursday night's presidential debate as we did -- Kerry was the hands-down winner. Newly released polls show the race is tightening. A friend who e-mailed me Monday wrote:
This should give Kerry a lot of momentum. Thank God the election isn't until Nov. 2.
Well, not exactly. In 29 states, voters may cast their ballots early without providing a reason. As it turns out, at least a half-dozen of the most closely contested states have laws allowing early voting.

A full week before the Sept. 30 presidential debate, Iowa officials mailed ballots to tens of thousands of state residents who had requested them. It's likely that at least some of these voters received their ballots, marked them and then dropped them in the mail before Thursday night's debate aired. In Arizona, presidential voting began last Thursday -- several hours before the debate began.

How many of them will have voted before any of the presidential debates occurred? We may never know, but it seems deplorable that, in the words of this USA Today article, "tens of thousands of Americans already will have cast their ballots before the candidates even clear their throats" at the first debate.

Four years ago, most voters in Washington State and nearly one out of four in New Mexico cast their ballots using absentee or early-voting procedures.

I'm all in favor of states extending voting hours on Election Day, permitting absentee balloting for those who are home-bound or will be traveling, and even allowing some limited degree of early voting (perhaps one week in advance of Election Day). But it troubles me to think that so many people are voting in advance of all or most of the presidential debates and before allowing the campaign to play out.

We're still learning a little more about these candidates each and every day of this campaign. Debates are a time for seeing Bush and Kerry in a unique environment, under considerable pressure. Sure, each of them is working mostly from a set of talking points, but (as Bush's lackluster debate performance proved) reciting the same talking points can only take you so far. Janet Brown, executive director of the Commission on Presidential Debates, has said there is
"no question that the very large number of people who watch the debates and the fact that they learn from the debates ... makes them an extremely important piece of the general election process."
If this is so (and I believe it is so), it's unthinkable to me that any state would consider it appropriate to allow voting before these debates occur.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 10:59 AM




Coulter on Islam

It seems like ages ago that Ann Coulter got into hot water when she wrote of Muslims that "We should invade their countries, kill their leaders, and convert them to Christianity." At the time, Coulter claimed that she was taken out of context and slandered by the liberal media. Well, in case there's any doubts as to her true feelings, here's an exchange from last night's Hannity & Colmes [sorry no link available]:

COLMES: Would you like to convert these people all to Christianity?

COULTER: The ones that we killed, yes.

COLMES: So no one should be Muslim. They should all be Christian?

COULTER: That would be a good start, yes.

COLMES: So, in other words, you wouldn't respect their religious beliefs? You would just want them all to be Christian.

COULTER: The point is, I mean, I suppose if I were a Muslim, I might say, "Oh, they are not practicing true Islam." What we must convert them to is true Islam, but the point is, a conversion must take place. They think they are practicing religion when they fly planes into our skyscrapers and kill thousands of people, and to act like this isn't a problem of religion -- whether it is true Islam or not -- is just sticking your head in the sand.

COLMES: But you're talking about a group of extremists who misuse Islam and aren't practicing true Islam. But would you like to convert all of these countries to Christianity. Should they all become Christian nations? Because that's what your...

COULTER: Yes, that would be terrific.

COLMES: ... remarks suggest.

COULTER: That would be terrific, yes.

COLMES: Really?

COULTER: Yes.

COLMES: So we should just -- they should all be Christians. You don't respect the fact that there are this many Muslims in the world, and the world would be a lot better if they were all Christians instead of Muslims?

(CROSSTALK)

COULTER: To be honest, I didn't really care, until they started flying planes into our buildings...




posted by Noam Alaska at 10:58 AM




The Well-Informed American Voter

Results from today's Washington Post poll
How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? (likely voters)

Very closely: 55%
Somewhat closely: 36%
Not too closely: 6%
Not closely at all: 3%
Allowing people to self-report this sort of thing is probably misleading, as people are inclined to exaggerate just how closely they have been paying attention. So, just for the sake of argument, let's say that approximately 50% of those polled have truly been following the campaign "very closely."

Keep that in mind as you check this out
I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? (likely voters)

Absolutely certain to vote: 100%
It is good to know that, even though a substantial portion of the population can't be bothered to actually pay attention to the race, they are going to do their duty and cast their uninformed vote anyway.

God bless our lazy American democracy.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:07 AM




Daily Darfur

Kofi Annan says that Sudan has made "no further progress" since the passage of the last UN resolution.
"Today, still increasing numbers of the population of Darfur are exposed, without any protection from their government, to hunger, fear and violence," Annan said.

"The numbers affected by the conflict are growing and their suffering is being prolonged by inaction," he said. "In a significant proportion of the territory the security conditions have worsened."
William Garvelink, deputy assistant administrator of USAID, says that the death toll could rise six-fold by the end of the year, hitting 300,000.

The Heritage Foundation says
To alleviate the current crisis in Darfur, the United States should encourage an international response that reflects the lessons learned in curbing the regime's previous repression of the south. Unless massive international pressure is mobilized to threaten what the regime values most--its ability to maintain itself in power and its vested economic interests, particularly its fledgling oil industry--then the Sudanese regime will continue to hinder humanitarian aid efforts, cover up the atrocities of its militia surrogates, and crush resistance through the deliberate starvation and expulsion of non-Arab groups.
CARE is warning that security is worsening and that refugees will not be able to return to their homes unless security is restored.

AllAfrica offers a good history lesson on Sudan, saying that the current crisis was "25 years in the making."

And just in case you didn't read Romeo Dallaire's op-ed in yesterday's New York Times, here is an excerpt
Each day the world is confronted by new reports of atrocities in the Darfur region of Sudan. President Bush, in his address to the United Nations General Assembly last month, referred to the situation as "genocide," and he and Secretary General Kofi Annan pledged support for sanctions against the Sudanese government and a Security Council resolution to expand the African Union force on the ground there. But I am afraid that moral condemnation, trade penalties and military efforts by African countries are simply not going to be enough to stop the killing - not nearly enough.

I know, because I've seen it all happen before.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:15 AM




Did I Flip Flop? Yes. Do I Care? No.

Donald Rumsfeld on Monday regarding possible links between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda:

"To my knowledge, I have not seen any strong, hard evidence that links the two."

Rumsfeld a few hours later:

"A question I answered today at an appearance before the Council on Foreign Relations regarding ties between Al Qaeda and Iraq regrettably was misunderstood. I have acknowledged since September 2002 that there were ties between Al Qaeda and Iraq."


posted by Noam Alaska at 9:02 AM


Monday, October 04, 2004


How In the Hell Did I Miss This?

Romeo Dallaire has an op-ed on Darfur in today's New York Times.

Considering that I am obsessed with Darfur AND Gen. Dallaire and am constantly scouring the news for articles on them both, I am at a loss to explain how I totally missed this.

Read it.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:30 PM




A Footnote on Abramoff

I didn't cover all of the bases in my earlier post on Jack Abramoff. Although I mentioned that less than 1% of his Capitol Athletic Foundation funds actually went to youth athletic programs, I forgot to mention something else, which was cited in a good post by Eugene last week.

Abramoff reportedly diverted proceeds from his foundation for various pet projects and political causes. Citing a Washington Post article, Eugene wrote:
Aside from spending $248,742 buying a house and $150,225 on a golf trip to Scotland aboard a private jet, Abramoff also spent "$500 to help finance a memorial dinner two years ago in honor of the Angolan rebel Jonas Savimbi," who was killed in February 2002.
Most Angolans considered Savimbi a terrorist, as did many international observers. The Institute for Security Studies states that Savimbi was "a man who had repeatedly failed to comply with his own commitments" under internationally brokered peace or disarmament accords.

Does this sound like someone worth honoring?

posted by Frederick Maryland at 2:26 PM




... And Another Thing

Zoe just made a nice post debunking Bush's claim that the U.S. has helped to train 100,000 police, military and other law enforcement personnel in Iraq.

Well, let me amplify her point. Assuming Bush's claim were correct -- "There's going to be 125,000 trained by the end of this year" -- even this wouldn't be enough to secure the nation and restore order.

Remember my post from last Tuesday about the Iraqi police force? It cited a Washington Post article in which a U.S. government official in Iraq said that the country needed at least 135,000 police to stabilize Iraq. The Post reported:
A senior U.S. official in Iraq said in an interview last week that the new goal for 135,000 officers may not be reached for two more years under the best of circumstances. Officials point, among other things, to a lack of qualified personnel and appropriate training facilities.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 2:09 PM




Bush is a L-I-A-R

During last week's debate Bush said:
There's 100,000 troops trained: police, guard, special units, border patrol. There's going to be 125,000 trained by the end of this year.
Um, that's a big fat lie.

Says who? An unreliable, freedom-hating source, obviously. Right?

Nope, try the Pentagon. From Reuters:
[Pentagon] documents show that of the nearly 90,000 currently in the police force, only 8,169 have had the full eight-week academy training. Another 46,176 are listed as "untrained," and it will be July 2006 before the administration reaches its new goal of a 135,000-strong, fully trained police force.

Six Army battalions have had "initial training," while 57 National Guard battalions, 896 soldiers in each, are still being recruited or "awaiting equipment." Just eight Guard battalions have reached "initial (operating) capability," and the Pentagon acknowledged the Guard's performance has been "uneven."

Training has yet to begin for the 4,800-man civil intervention force, which will help counter a deadly insurgency. And none of the 18,000 border enforcement guards have received any centralised training to date, despite earlier claims they had, according to Democrats on the U.S. House of Representatives Appropriations Committee.

They estimated that 22,700 Iraqi personnel have received enough basic training to make them "minimally effective at their tasks," in contrast to the 100,000 figure cited by Bush.
Kerry might be too polite to call Bush a liar to his face, but I'm not. He's a big fat liar. Or just too stupid to know the difference between a goal and reality.


posted by Zoe Kentucky at 1:29 PM




We Saw The Same Intelligence

During the debate, President Bush tried to hammer away at the point that he and Kerry had both seen the same intelligence regarding Iraq and had both come to the same conclusion: the Iraq must be disarmed
My opponent looked at the same intelligence I looked at and declared in 2002 that Saddam Hussein was a grave threat.

[edit]

The intelligence I looked at was the same intelligence my opponent looked at, the very same intelligence. And when I stood up there and spoke to the Congress, I was speaking off the same intelligence he looked at to make his decisions to support the authorization of force.

[edit]

You know, we looked at the same intelligence and came to the same conclusion: that Saddam Hussein was a grave threat.

And I don't hold it against him that he said grave threat. I'm not going to go around the country saying he didn't tell the truth, when he looked at the same intelligence I did.
Obviously, Bush was trying to reinforce the notion that Kerry is a flip-flopper who initially supported the war but now opposes it.

But if you read the lengthy New York Times piece "How the White House Embraced Disputed Arms Intelligence" you see that that is simply not true
From April 2001 to September 2002, the agency wrote at least 15 reports on the tubes. Many were sent only to high-level policy makers, including President Bush, and did not circulate to other intelligence agencies...

Several senior C.I.A. officials insisted that those reports did describe at least in general terms the intelligence debate. "You don't go into all that detail but you do try to evince it when you write your current product," one agency official said.

But several Congressional and intelligence officials with access to the 15 assessments said not one of them informed senior policy makers of the Energy Department's dissent. They described a series of reports, some with ominous titles, that failed to convey either the existence or the substance of the intensifying debate.

[edit]

A National Intelligence Estimate is a classified document that is supposed to reflect the combined judgment of the entire intelligence community. The last such estimate had been done in 2000.

Most estimates take months to complete. But this one had to be done in days, in time for an October vote on a war resolution. There was little time for review or reflection, and no time for Jaeic, the joint committee, to reconcile deep analytical differences

[edit]

Nevertheless, the estimate's authors seized on the Energy Department's position to avoid the entire tubes debate, with written dissents relegated to a 10-page annex. The estimate would instead emphasize that the C.I.A. and the Energy Department both agreed that Mr. Hussein was rebuilding his nuclear weapons program. Only the closest reader would see that each agency was basing its assessment in large measure on evidence the other considered suspect.

On Oct. 2, nine days before the Senate vote on the war resolution, the new National Intelligence Estimate was delivered to the Intelligence Committee. The most significant change from past estimates dealt with nuclear weapons; the new one agreed with Mr. Cheney that Iraq was in aggressive pursuit of the atomic bomb.

[edit]

According to the committee, the passages on the tubes, which adopted much of the C.I.A. analysis, were misleading and riddled with factual errors.
The administration was repeatedly warned that the nuclear tubes were not for centrifuge use, but Bush and company repeatedly insisted that they were. And all the dissents and internal reports disputing this fact were stripped out of the NEI presented to Congress before the vote to authorize the war was held.

So Kerry and Bush DID see the same pre-intelligence - after the administration had stripped that intelligence of anything that could have undermined their case for war.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:26 AM




None Dare Call It AWOL

All true Americans love this war - except these terrorist-loving cowards
The Army is getting a grudging response — or none at all — from hundreds of former soldiers it ordered back into uniform for duty in Iraq and Afghanistan, although none has been declared AWOL.

Army officials said Friday that 622 people, about one-third of the 1,765 Individual Ready Reserve members who were supposed to report for duty by Sept. 28, failed to show up. Some requested more time. Others wanted to be excused entirely. Some have not responded at all.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:40 AM




The World's Next-Greatest A**hole

Have you been following the investigation into the Jack Abramoff-Mike Scanlon tribal lobbying scandal? (Abramoff is a high-powered GOP lobbyist who has been a close ally of the world's greatest asshole and a top Bush fundraiser; Scanlon is a former aide to DeLay.) Essentially, here's what Congressional investigators assert. Abramoff encouraged political allies to foment trouble in Congress (and elsewhere) for Indian tribes -- after which Abramoff would approach the tribes and sell his services as a Washington lobbyist.

The Sept. 30 issue of Roll Call included some e-mails that Abramoff wrote to Scanlon, revealing just how greedy, crude and heartless Abramoff is.

Barely two months after 9/11, most political types in Washington were pondering the whereabouts of bin Laden and considering how the nation would strengthen its borders against the threat of terrorism. But not Abramoff.

What follows is a series of e-mails in December 2001 that were sent between Abramoff and his friend and public relations ally, Mike Scanlon. The "project" to which Abramoff refers is his proposal not only to steer tribal money into his own hands, but also to press a particular tribe to approve a lucrative contract with Scanlon:
From Abramoff to Scanlon, Dec. 17, 2001, 3:51 p.m.

Just spoke with Chris (Petras, a former employee of the Saginaw Chippewa tribe) ... Chris said they are voting on the project today!! Can you smell money?!?!?!


From Scanlon to Abramoff, Dec. 17, 2001, 4:11 p.m.

Did we win it (the project)?


From Abramoff to Scanlon, Dec. 17, 2001, 4:56 p.m.

The f'ing troglodytes didn't vote on you today. Dammit.


From Scanlon to Abramoff, Dec. 17, 2001, 7:16 p.m.

What's a troglodyte?


From Abramoff to Scanlon, Dec. 18, 2001, 7:12 a.m.

What am I a dictionary? :) it's a lower form of existence basically.
The tribal lobbying scandal isn't the only reason to be disgusted with Abramoff. The Washington Post recently reported that records from Abramoff's Capital Athletic Foundation indicate that less than 1 percent of its revenue has been spent on sports-related programs for youths

Yes, there is the usually garden variety of influence-peddling in Washington, which can make you want to hold your nose from time to time. But Jack Abramoff is in a league all by himself. He sold his services to Indian tribes as the person to alleviate legal and bureaucratic problems that he himself had helped to orchestrate.

And, as if that isn't sufficiently disgusting, consider this: even as Abramoff is pocketing huge sums of money from Indian tribes, he shows his utter contempt and bigotry toward the very people who have trusted him and paid him millions of dollars.

Troglodyte would be too kind a word for Abramoff. Maybe pond scum. Or maybe the world's next-greatest asshole. Care to suggest another?


posted by Frederick Maryland at 10:36 AM




I Wonder Why That Is?

Yesterday, on ABC's "This Week" Condoleezza Rice defended the administration's belief that the aluminum tubes Iraq had purchased were to be used to its nuclear weapons program
RICE: But George, the tubes were alongside a lot of other evidence about experts being kept together, about balancing equipment being brought in, about how these procurement efforts were being funded.

When you're a policy-maker, you're sitting there looking at assessments that say that Saddam Hussein is reconstituting his nuclear weapons program. That's the key judgment. Secondly, that he can have a nuclear weapon likely by the end of the decade if something is not done about his program.

Those are assessments that cannot be ignored...
Rice twists herself around trying to explain why the administration believed this even though the State Department and the Energy Department repeatedly informed them that the tubes could not be used in a nuclear centrifuge and were more likely intended for use in rockets.

George Stephanopoulos tries to cut through the spin and get a straight answer
STEPHANOPOULOS: That's not precisely what I'm asking. Do you accept today that these tubes were likely for rockets, not nuclear weapons?

RICE: George, as I understand it, people are still debating this. And I'm sure they will continue to debate it.
Yea, people are still "debating it," mainly because you refuse to admit that you were wrong.

The experts keep saying the tubes were for rockets, and you keep saying that they might have been able to use them in a nuclear centrifuge - I guess you could call that a "debate."

I call it lying.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:25 AM




Daily Darfur

Robert I. Rotberg says
If the world wants to stop this continued genocide, Washington and the United Nations need to squeeze Sudan much harder. The nice-guy approach is clearly not working.
The New York Times analyzes the "differences" between Arabs and Africans in Darfur.

Eric Reeves has an op-ed in the Boston Globe
THE WORLD has finally awakened to the horrors of genocidal destruction in the Darfur region of western Sudan, but an effective response is nowhere in sight.

[edit]

By default, international response has taken the form of increasing humanitarian assistance and supporting the deployment of an expanded African Union force with a robust mandate of civilian protection. Both efforts are failing. Despite heroic efforts by some humanitarian organizations, there is far too little aid on the ground, and it has arrived not simply too late, but in the midst of the region's paralyzing rainy season.
The Center for American Progress has posted parts four and five of Gayle Smith's eyewitness analysis of the situation in Darfur.

And finally there is this, about which I only have to say: "this is absolute crap and the Guardian ought to be ashamed for running it"
American warnings that Darfur is heading for an apocalyptic humanitarian catastrophe have been widely exaggerated by administration officials, it is alleged by international aid workers in Sudan. Washington's desire for a regime change in Khartoum has biased their reports, it is claimed.

[edit]

Concern about USAID's role as an honest broker in Darfur have been mounting for months, with diplomats as well as aid workers puzzled over its pronouncements and one European diplomat accusing it of 'plucking figures from the air'.

Under the Bush administration, the work of USAID has become increasingly politicised. But over Sudan, in particular, two of its most senior officials have long held strong personal views. Both Natsios, a former vice-president of the Christian charity World Vision, and Winter have long been hostile to the Sudanese government.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:36 AM



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