Crystal Ball Gazing

Friday, August 11, 2006

Crystal Ball Gazing

Keeping in mind that the November 7th is a mere 88 days away, Carpetbagger points out things just aren't looking too good for the GOP.
An Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted this week found the president's approval rating has dropped to 33 percent, matching his low in May. His handling of nearly every issue, from the Iraq war to foreign policy, contributed to the president's decline around the nation, even in the Republican-friendly South.

More sobering for the GOP are the number of voters who backed Bush in 2004 who are ready to vote Democratic in the fall's congressional elections — 19 percent. These one-time Bush voters are more likely to be female, self-described moderates, low- to middle-income and from the Northeast and Midwest.

Two years after giving the Republican president another term, more than half of these voters — 57 percent — disapprove of the job Bush is doing.
The number of voters who say their congressional vote this fall will be in part to express opposition to the president jumped from 20 percent last month to 29 percent, driven by double-digit increases among males, minorities, moderate and conservative Democrats and Northeasterners.
So, let me get this straight, considering the recent polls that show a growing anti-incumbent mood, and the fact that Bush's name isn't on the ballot, it appears there is an increasing liklihood that anyone with a (R) behind their name risks losing their job in his stead?

No, I'm not holding my breath, but it's an interesting theory.

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