Image
Demagoguery
"Repetition does not transform a lie into a truth."

Franklin D. Roosevelt


Regular Reads
Eschaton
Tapped
Daily Kos
The Liquid List
Matthew Yglesias
Talking Points Memo
Slacktivist
James Wolcott
Michael Berube
Political Animal
How Appealing
MaxSpeak, You Listen!
Tbogg
TalkLeft
Rittenhouse Review
Neal Pollack
Suckful
Cursor
John Moltz
Southern Appeal
Nathan Newman
The Poor Man
NRO's "The Corner"
Pandagon
Wonkette
Legal Fiction
Sugar, Mr. Poon?
Carpetbagger Report
Balkinization
Happy Furry Puppy Story Time w/ Norbizness
This Is Not Over


Contact Us
Eugene Oregon
Noam Alaska
Helena Montana
Frederick Maryland
Zoe Kentucky
Arnold P. California


Mutual Admiration Society
DCCC's The Stakeholder
Abolish the Death Penalty
Busy Busy Busy
Uggabugga
New American Empire
Staunch Moderate
A La Gauche
The Moderate Voice
The Sneaky Rabbit
Bluegrassroots
Political Strategy
Cutting to the Chase
Acrentropy
The Blue Bus
American Monkey
Restless Mania
Your Right Hand Thief
Naked Furniture
Dimmy Karras
The Department of Louise
Torvus Futurus
HellaFaded
Live From the Nuke Free Zone
Proof Through the Night
No More Apples
Slapnose
PoliGeek
Irrational Bush Hatred
The Slugging Southpaw
I Voted for George
Nosey Online
Donna's Place
Schadenfreude
Resource.full
wordsimageslife
The Bully Pulpit
Lying Socialist Weasels
TJ Griffin
To The Barricades
Omni-Curious
Eat Your Vegetables
Stoutdem
Suddenly Routine
The Story So Far
Skimble
Marstonalia
The Lefty Directory
ZipSix
ReachM High Cowboy Network
John Hoke's Personal Asylum
Riba Rambles
The Bone
Fables of the Reconstruction
The Modulator
Planet Swank
Scoobie Davis Online
Single-Minded
World Phamous
The Good Life
Something's Got To Break
Upside-down Hippopotamus
Damfacrats 2004
The Fulcrum
BeatBushBlog
archy
Yankee From Mississippi
It's A Crock!
Red Wheelbarrow
Apropos of Nothing
Political Parrhesia
The Mahablog
Mousemusings
Restlessgeist
Galois
Muise in Gradland
American Leftist
Political Blog Directory
Boiled Meat
John Costello
Skydiver Salad
The Game & How We Played It
Soupie's BBQ and Daycare
Odd Hours
Nebraska Liberal
The American Street
Approximately Perfect


If you have linked to us and don't see your name, please send us an e-mail and we'll add you.


Recommendations
















Archives:


-- HOME --



This page is powered by Blogger. Why isn't yours?
Friday, August 06, 2004


Keyesnote

Now that it seems inevitable that Alan Keyes is going to run for Senate in Illinois, I have a proposal for the GOP. The Democrats gave their candidate for the Illinois Senate seat, Barack Obama, the keynote slot at their national convention last month. It seems only fair that the Republicans offer their position of honor to Keyes. It would surely be a keynote--or should I say keyesnote?--to remember.

If they do, I suggest that the Republicans give Keyes the slot right before Arnold Schwarzenegger. Last year, Keyes has this to say about the Terminator:
On all the matters that touch upon the critical moral issues, Arnold Schwarzenegger is on the evil side. This is a fact. A mere list of the positions he supports is enough to make this plain: abortion as a ‘right,’ cloning of human beings, governmental classification of citizens by race, public benefits for sexual partners outside of marriage, disrespect for property rights against environmental extremism, repudiation of the right to bear arms - no more need be said to show that this candidate is wrong where human decency, human rights and human responsibility bear directly on political issues.
For more choice Keyes quotes, go here.


posted by Noam Alaska at 5:27 PM




Darfur

If you want to understand the forces at work behind the Janjaweed and the genocide in Darfur, I recommend that you read these two articles, both of which explain that much of what is happening can be traced to a struggle for control of the country between Sudan's president Omar al-Bashir and Hassan al-Turabi, the one-time leader of the country's Islamist party and speaker of the National Assembly.
"Sudan's Osama: The Islamist roots of the Darfur genocide"

and

"Counter-Insurgency on the Cheap" which I linked to earlier, but wanted to recommend again.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 3:06 PM




Why Use Numbers When You Can Fool People With Percentages?

Via the Carpetbagger we see the Republicans crowing about just how diverse their convention will be this year
Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie, former U.S. Treasurer and 2004 California delegate Rosario Marin, and Maryland Lt. Gov. and 2004 delegate Michael Steele today announced a 70 percent increase among minority delegates compared to the 2000 Republican convention. With President George W. Bush leading the ticket, African- American representation is up an estimated 65 percent and Asian-American representation is up nearly 40 percent. This month, Hispanic delegates will be the largest minority group represented, adding another 15 percent to the 100 percent surge the Republican Party saw between the 1996 and 2000 delegations.

[edit]

The Republican National Committee recently completed certification of the 2,509 delegates and 2,344 alternate delegates who will make up the most diverse Republican delegation in the party's history. In 2004, minorities make up 17 percent of total delegates and women make up 44 percent. In 2000, minorities made up 10 percent of total delegates and women made up 36 percent. In 1996, minorities made up 6.3 percent of total delegates and women made up 33 percent.
That is all probably true, but the fact that Republicans insist on talking about how much the percentage has increased instead of talking about how many actual minorities will be in the building is pretty telling.

Considering that back in 2000, African Americans will made up grand total of 4.1 percent of the total number of delegates to the Republican National Convention, meaning that a mere 85 of the 2,066 delegates were black, I'm not surprised that they prefer to talk about the fact that the number of black delegates is 40% higher than four years ago instead of saying, more accurately, "a mere 140 of our 4800 delegates are black."

Taking a look at the RNC's own web-site you can see that there are no actual numbers presented at all, making it totally impossible to figure out what all these percentages actually mean in terms of real numbers.

This, my friends, is what we in the business call some top-quality spin.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:40 PM




It's Fun to Play "What If?"

What if a former Democratic Judiciary Committee staff member were under a federal investigation for improperly accessing and leaking internal Republican documents regarding judicial nominations. Do you think the Washington Times would still run his op-eds?

Anyway, since they are going to let Miranda pollute their pages with his claptrap, could they at least do a little editing so that I don't have to read awkward paragraphs such as
Such past statesmanship only adds to the current disgust one has over the toxic culture of the Senate Judiciary Committee and New York Sen. Charles Schumer's effort to corrupt judicial selection with ideology. While Sen. Orrin Hatch, Utah Republican, bears responsibility for the partisanship, if only by his consistent surrenders to the bullying of Sen. Patrick Leahy, Vermont Democrat,Democratshave stepped well beyond that pale. Liberals under Sen. Tom Daschle, South Dakota Democrat, are attacking constitutional supremacy itself and the independent judiciary that John Adams so carefully crafted.
And finally, if they are going to identify Manuel Miranda as having "served as counsel to Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch and Majority Leader Bill Frist" could they at least mention that he no longer serves in this capacity because he was ... you know ... fired for improperly accessing and leaking internal Democratic documents?

Wait ... I guess I answered that question in my first paragraph.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:42 AM




A Soft Patch or a Sink Hole?

Ron Scherer of The Christian Science Monitor writes:
It's time to worry about the economy, again.

Consumers are balking about pulling out their wallets, particularly to buy new cars. Paychecks for low-wage workers are not keeping up with inflation. And the price of crude oil has spiked up yet again to a new record high of $43.85 a barrel.

... If the economy doesn't kick into a higher gear, it won't have enough oomph to create more jobs, and the unemployment rate might actually begin to climb. The slower-paced economy, which will be especially noticeable in the industrial Midwest, also gives the Democrats room to criticize President Bush. And it may call into question how fast the Federal Reserve raises interest rates this year.

The impetus for the new economic worries came last Friday when the Commerce Department reported the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 3 percent annual pace, a number that economists considered to be disappointingly soft.

... "The soft patch is deeper and bigger than we anticipated," says [Wells Fargo Banks chief economist Sung Won] Sohn.
Today's jobs report for July suggests that John Kerry can stop beating his chest a little bit and start talking more about the disappointing state of the economy. ABC News reports:
The nation's payroll growth slowed dramatically in July with a paltry 32,000 jobs being added a potentially troubling sign that the rough patch the economy hit in June could spread.

The unemployment rate, however, dipped down a notch to 5.5 percent last month, from 5.6 percent in June, the Labor Department reported Friday. The new jobless rate was the lowest since October 2001.

The payrolls figure and the unemployment rate can sometimes go in different directions because they are derived from two separate statistical surveys. Economists, however, look more closely at the payroll figure as a better barometer of the health of the jobs market.

The 32,000 net jobs added in July represented the smallest gain in hiring since December .... Analysts were expecting the economy to add anywhere from 215,000 to 247,000 jobs in July. They were predicting the jobless rate to hold steady at 5.6 percent.
In baseball parlance, the economic analysts went 0-for-2 in July.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 11:36 AM




Should Our Readers Sign a Loyalty Pledge?

It sounds like such a nifty idea, and the credit goes to the wise folks who organized campaign events for Dick Cheney in New Mexico and Wyoming. These officials required all voters who wanted a ticket for these Cheney speeches to sign a pledge endorsing the Bush-Cheney ticket.

Debate and discussion are overrated. Why bother trying to convince people who are undecided? They might not even bother to vote. The Bush-Cheney folks are on to something: campaigns should just be a series of feel-good rallies for those who are already sold on the good guys.

What a great way to weed out people who might not agree with you. Dissent is, like, soooo 1969. Perhaps we at Demagogue should take the Bush-Cheney approach one step further. We'll get readers to sign pledges that say how much they love everything they read on our site and then distribute pre-approved comments that readers would be obliged to choose from. Some modest suggestions include:

Four More Posts!
Four More Posts!
Four More Posts!

O Sage of the Web, your words bring me great hope and tranquility.

Our president makes America safer.
You make America wiser.
Mission accomplished!

You 'du man!

This post was almost as inspiring as listening to Josh Grobin sing, "You Raise Me Up."




posted by Frederick Maryland at 10:40 AM




Daily Darfur

President Bush signed a $417 billion defense bill yesterday that included $95 million in relief aid for Darfur. Here is what he said during the signing ceremony
That's why this bill provides $95 million to help the people of Darfur, in western Sudan. Brutal militias there are causing human suffering on an immense scale. The new funding will provide famine relief, assistance for refugees and other humanitarian aid. Yet not amount of aid can substitute for true and lasting peace. The Government of Sudan must stop the violence of Janjaweed militias, and all parties must respect the cease-fire and allow the free movement of humanitarian workers and supplies.
The UN and the Sudanese government officials have apparently agreed on steps to disarm the Janjaweed, improve security in Darfur and address the humanitarian crisis but they wouldn't release details until Sudan's Cabinet approves them.

At the same time, the Sudanese government says there is no popular support in Sudan for foreign military intervention in Darfur that falls outside of cease-fire monitoring activities and they won't support attempts to increase the number of monitors from 300 troops to 2000.

Passion of the Present points us to this really good Alex de Waal piece called "Counter-Insurgency on the Cheap" in which he argues
The atrocities carried out by the Janjawiid are aimed at speakers of Fur, Tunjur, Masalit and Zaghawa. They are systematic and sustained; the effect, if not the aim, is grossly disproportionate to the military threat of the rebellion. The mass rape and branding of victims speaks of the deliberate destruction of a community. In Darfur, cutting down fruit trees or destroying irrigation ditches is a way of eradicating farmers' claims to the land and ruining livelihoods. But this is not the genocidal campaign of a government at the height of its ideological hubris, as the 1992 jihad against the Nuba was, or coldly determined to secure natural resources, as when it sought to clear the oilfields of southern Sudan of their troublesome inhabitants. This is the routine cruelty of a security cabal, its humanity withered by years in power: it is genocide by force of habit.
In the "genocide makes strange bedfellows" category, Southern Appeal is now on the case, highlighting this National Review post
The Bush administration is, of course, occupied with many things, including the prosecution of a supremely important war against terrorists. But the President's "heart for Africa" is well-known; and the prevention of genocide in the Sudan deserves a place high on the list of his priorities
And in a first here at Demagogue, I am linking approvingly to the Family Research Council
It is time for the world to do something about this. The actions of the Sudanese regime and its militia allies violate universally accepted norms of law - their actions violate the Geneva Conventions, the Genocide Convention, and the Anti-Slavery Conventions. During the past decade, the world has acted against other instances of ethnic cleansing, of slavery, of political rape. Why is the government of Sudan permitted, through its militia stooges, to commit such atrocities? Is it because the victims are Africans? It is time to convene war crimes tribunals to try the murderers and rapists in Sudan. The victims cry out for justice. Can you hear them?
And finally The Independent tells the refugee's tales
The refugees tell the same story: first comes the attack from the air, and then the Janjaweed militia arrive to mop up. Women are raped in front of their sons, their fathers, their husbands. Families are chained together and burnt alive.

Ibrahim Salim Musa and his family arrived in Nayala from a village outside Ta'asha in the north-east three weeks ago. Their home, and those of their neighbours, was burnt down, he said, by the Janjaweed. About 10 people, including two children, were killed. The rest fled.

Mr Musa, 37, his wife Safeera and their four children aged between three and 12 live in a room in a half-built house with shattered windows. They share with four other families. Mr Musa said of the attack: "We had heard there would be trouble. These men were boasting they were going to get rid of the Zurghas (a pejorative term for blacks)so we were prepared to get out quickly.

"It was very late; the children were asleep. We heard a lot of shouting and then rifle-firing. They were mostly on foot, but there were trucks and some had horses. They were dressed in white; we knew who they were.

"We ran. We were lucky because our house was towards the end of the village. We looked out from the trees; homes were burning. Later we heard who died.''

In another room, an old woman in a black chador sat rocking, locked in her private misery. Another woman shouted out: "They killed her sons, her brother. They want to kill us all. They are devils, just devils."
And then there is this - via Care


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:45 AM


Thursday, August 05, 2004


"Stupid Letter of the Month" Award

While viewing some Web pages at Congress.org, I stumbled on this letter, which was sent by a Dunbar, W.V., constituent of Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito. My favorite excerpt is in bold:

July 14, 2004

To: Rep. Shelley Moore Capito

I am not sure what your position is on gay marriages but I am asking you to PLEASE vote AGAINST gay marriages.

I have worked hard at my marriage, something I value tremendously. I feel if gay marriages are approved, then everything I have worked for was useless. I have friends who are gay, however, I do not believe they should be married. A marriage is between a man and a woman. Marriage is special.

If you were unlucky enough to be this person's spouse, how insulted would you be to know that as soon as gay couples are permitted to marry, your spouse would cease to value his/her marriage to you?

I wholeheartedly agree with this individual: marriage is "special." So is home ownership. In fact, our fearless president has called home ownership "an important part of the American dream."

Doesn't it just get under your skin that homosexual couples are actually buying homes together -- i.e., acting like a real married couple? If all of those gay couples had to live alone and/or just rent, then maybe home prices wouldn't be rising so fast. Y'know, driving up housing prices is probably a major part of the gay agenda.

Someone should get on the phone right away and call up the Family Research Council, Eagle Forum and other groups that protect "special" things from being cheapened or ruined by gay couples.

Why isn't Sen. Rick Santorum drafting an amendment to fight off this assault on home ownership? Sure, those queers will probably claim that owning property together is their "right." But we, the defenders of faith and family, won't let all of that high-minded talk about civil rights get in our way of plans to write an amendment that keeps gay couples from owning property together.

Let's see. We'll call it the Federal Home Ownership Amendment. Kind of catchy, isn't it?


posted by Frederick Maryland at 4:00 PM




Israel Ups the Ante

In a tight presidential election, small shifts of voters from D's to R's (or vice-versa) can make the difference. One wonders if Israel's newly announced and quite outrageous settlement plans are an attempt to exploit President Bush's desire to win the votes of the AIPAC crowd -- hawkish U.S. Jews who are hardline supporters of the Likud policies in Israel.

The Associated Press reports:
Israel is planning to build thousands of housing units in the West Bank settlement of Maaleh Adumim in an attempt to link it to Jerusalem, Israeli officials said Thursday. The plan is apparently meant to ensure a large Jewish majority in Jerusalem to counter a high Arab growth rate. Maaleh Adumim is four miles east of Jerusalem.

The United States publicly condemned a smaller plan to expand Maaleh Adumim earlier this week, but Israeli officials said they will seek U.S. approval for this and other similar expansion projects.

U.S. officials said Washington opposes all settlement construction. Another U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said Mideast envoy Elliot Abrams will discuss the Maaleh Adumim plans during a meeting in Jerusalem later Thursday with Prime Minister Ariel Sharon.
So far, the Bush administration has correctly voiced its opposition to plans for expanded settlements in the occupied territories. Let's hope that Bush won't let politics dissuade him from opposing this newest -- and even more outrageous -- proposal by the Sharon government.

The fact that the Bush administration chose avid neo-con Elliot Abrams as its envoy to the region makes me worry that the White House might cave. This article from CounterPunch.org offers some reasons why Abrams was a highly questionable choice.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 2:22 PM




George Bush Wants to Rape Your Son

So says hate-filled idiot Michael Savage
When you hear "human rights," think gays. When you hear "human rights," think only one thing: someone who wants to rape your son. And you'll get it just right. OK, you got it, right? When you hear "human rights," think only someone who wants to molest your son, and send you to jail if you defend him. Write that down, make a note of it.
Apparently Bush and Congress are so pro-son raping that they dedicate a whole week to celebrating it every year.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:01 PM




ISO: A Senate Candidate in IL

In his post this morning, Eugene exposed Alan Keyes' hypocrisy as he seriously considers the same act of political carpetbagging that he found so objectionable four years ago when Hillary Clinton ran for the U.S. Senate in NY. My brother, a journalist and Chicago-area resident, sent me this e-mail. In it, he reviews the intrigue, shenanigans and comic relief that is the Illinois Senate race:

On Tuesday:

Since we last visited the Illinois Senate race, much has happened.

The Democratic nominee, Barack Obama, has become a national celebrity after giving the keynote address at the Democratic convention. His ancestors are working-class whites from Kansas and black goat herders from Africa. That puts even John Edwards' mill-worker background to shame. Nothing beats the descendant of goat herders, especially when he's second in his class at Harvard Law School. The national media loves him. Pundits predict a run for president in 2012.

The Republican nominee, Jack Ryan, whose divorce files indicated that he tried to get his wife (now ex-wife), actress Jeri Ryan, to perform sex acts with him in front of strangers at sex clubs, has finally officially quit the race -- something that he'd promised to do a month earlier. Republican officials were nervous that he was lying about quitting the race, since he'd told them before the primary that there was nothing at all embarrassing in his divorce
files.

The Republican central committee has groveled to find a candidate. Former Bears coach Mike Ditka said no. So did a Cook County commissioner who nobody ever heard of. Sammy Sosa is busy, and is not an American citizen.

That brings us to today, when the GOP central committee held a meeting to interview candidates for the office. Fourteen people were talked to, including a Florida man wearing a George Washington-style powdered wig. The only hopeful who was barred was a guy dressed in lederhosen and waving a Bavarian flag. He stood outside the meeting and protested his exclusion. I am not making up any of this.

Among the candidates considered at the last minute: Alan Keyes, who has run for president twice, and for the U.S. Senate from Maryland twice. He's a smart, telegenic, energetic candidate. Two problems: He's never won anything, and he is a carpetbagger, having never lived in Illinois. (This is not New York. Illinoisans have this funny idea that their senator ought to live in their
state.)

The Republicans, unable to settle on a candidate, picked two finalists today: Keyes and former DEA deputy director Dr. Andrea Grubb Barthwell. She, like Keyes, is African American, which guarantees that Illinois will have a black senator, unless the Libertarian, a white high school teacher with a $500 campaign fund, rockets to the lead.

... In a particularly inappropriate piece of metaphor, the GOP state chairman declares, "We don't quite have white smoke yet." It's a reference to the ritual of choosing a pope, but black residents of Illinois have seen a lot of "white smoke" over the years.

... According to [a DEA] employee complaint, [Barthwell] questioned the sexual orientation of a male subordinate and used a kaleidoscope to make sexual gestures. The complaint called it "lewd and abusive behavior," but Barthwell called it "lighthearted humor." While admitting "an error in judgment," she denied any inappropriate use of the kaleidoscope during the office party.
Obama, being a smart politician, has not yet cackled in public.

On Wednesday:

... if Keyes says no ... [t]he Repubs will have wasted four more days and will probably have to go begging to the woman they rejected today -- former DEA deputy chief Andrea Barthwell, the woman who has denied performing an offensive sexual gesture with a kaleidoscope at an office party. Even more offensive to the GOP are revelations that she's really a Democrat, if you look at her campaign contributions and her primary voting. If Keyes says no, she may not even be a viable alternative, and this whole Diogenean exercise may progress from comic to pathetic.

Keyes will be fun to watch, but the carpetbagger thing will kill him here. The state law is lax -- he'd only have to establish residency before taking the oath of office -- but the electorate will not accept him.

Plus, one of his big issues is his opposition to "murder in the womb," which makes him the favorite of a passionate 10 percent and maybe 25 or 30 percent more less passionately. That does not add up to a majority.




posted by Frederick Maryland at 10:30 AM




Daily Darfur

Colin Powell took to the pages of the Wall Street Journal to highlight everything the US has done to address the crisis in Darfur. You can read it here.

Jan Pronk, the UN's special representative to Sudan, says the crisis in Darfur cannot be solved in 30 days, but that Khartoum can make substantial progress toward increasing security and stemming the violence.

Khartoum claims that it will begin disarming the Janjaweed next week.

Young women captured by the Janjaweed claim they were kept as sex slaves and servants.

Sky News' Africa Correspondent Stuart Ramsay traveled to various refugee camps and offers this description
In the past weeks, I have witnessed and visited dozens of camps throughout Darfur. I estimate I have seen the homes of a quarter of a million people. It is truly staggering.

Some of the camps are not bad by refugee standards, but too many are horrendous. Huts too close, no toilets, no running water the stench of human waste mingles with the rotting carcasses of dogs and donkeys.

It was a dreadful breeding ground for disease before the seasonal rains hit - now it's a viral and bacterial feast - and humans are the main course.
Darfur in pictures - via CARE


posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:16 AM




How To Justify Your Hypocrisy

In 2000, when Hillary Clinton was running for the Senate from New York, Alan Keyes had this to say when asked if he would abandon his own presidential bid and run against her
I deeply resent the destruction of federalism represented by Hillary Clinton's willingness to go into a state she doesn't even live in and pretend to represent people there. So I certainly wouldn't imitate it.
Of course, it is now four years later and Keyes is apparently no longer concerned with the "destruction of federalism" since he is poised to become the GOP senate nominee in Illinois - a state in which he has never lived.

So how does he justify it? But pretty much admitting that he is a hypocrite
"I do not take it for granted that it's a good idea to parachute into a state and go into a Senate race," he said before meeting the Republican leaders. "As a matter of principle, I don't think it's a good idea."
So, on principle, he doesn't think it is a very good idea - but he is going to do it anyway.

In 1999, while railing against Bill Clinton, Keyes said
If, in spite of that media blitz [the Republicans] stand with integrity for what they believe to be right, a lot of people are gonna have to go, "Ooh, well gotta give it to those Republicans. They took all this political rift just to stand with the truth. Party of principle." And on the other hand, what would we have with the Democrats? "Well, you know those Democrats, they circled the wagons around this guy, sacrificed what we knew to be true and decent and principled, all for the sake of political power. We know what kind of party they are now." And I think that that impression--Democrat Party, party of power politics without principle, Republican Party, a party that at the end of the day even after much to-ing and fro-ing and shilly-shallying still ends up on the side of principle and integrity.

This contrast between a party of principle and a party without principle, a party of integrity and a party of no integrity, it will tell as the months pass.
Indeed it will.

Despite the fact that Keyes' entire political reputation to date has been based on the idea that he is a rare man of principle, his eagerness to sacrifice his principles in the pursuit of power does not come as much of a shock.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:45 AM


Wednesday, August 04, 2004


Trusting Those You Are Polling

I've made no secret of my dislike of polls and today, Slate's Brendan Koerner examines one feature of polling that I especially despise: allowing people to identify themselves as "likely voters"
Some pollsters, for example, will ask only whether the voter showed up for the last election and whether they plan on doing so again. Since many people feel slightly guilty about not voting, or want to appear more politically engaged than they really are, such polls tend to dramatically overstate the number of likely voters. Pollsters refer to this approach as a "soft screen."
Politics, like church, is something that many people don't take very seriously and understandably feel a bit guilty about it if put on the spot. If pollsters asking about religion gave people the option of identifying themselves as "occasional churchgoers," I have no doubt that the vast majority of people who hardly, if ever, actually attend church would identify themselves as such simply because they would be uncomfortable admitting that they never go to church. Claiming that you are an occasional churchgoer is a lot easier than admitting you are pathetic lazy-ass who is probably going to Hell. But as it is, allowing people to identify themselves in this manner is not particularly accurate, or even useful.

The same issue plagues this sort of question
1. How much thought have you given to the upcoming election for president -- quite a lot, or only a little?
The options given are "quite a lot," "some," "only a little," and "none." And in this USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll, 73% say they have given the election "quite a lot" of thought. And maybe these people really do believe they have given the election a lot of thought - but that is all relative. If they never pay attention to politics, reading a few newspaper articles or hearing a few news reports on the election might qualify as giving the issue a lot of thought, but that doesn't mean they have any real understanding of anything that is going on. I could probably claim that I know "quite a lot" about the Khmer Rouge and the Cambodian revolution because I read a book about it once - and I might even know more than the majority of people - but that does not mean I know a lot about it. In fact, I only know what I managed to remember - and that is not very much.

With this in mind, I would just like to reiterate my hatred of polls and take the opportunity to plead with pollsters (on the slim chance that any ever read this blog) to take these problems into consideration when releasing results. Asking what a bunch of self-proclaimed "well-informed" people think the US should do about North Korea's nuclear weapons programs is not particularly useful information.

If you are going to ask questions like that, the least you can do is, once you have asked all your poll questions, is to give each person a short quiz on current events. Ask them a series of questions of varying difficulty, from "who is the Vice President of the United States?" to "who is the leader of North Korea?" to really arcane things like "who is the Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee?" Then provide their scores just like you do poll numbers, i.e. 76% identified Dick Cheney as the Vice President, 19% identified Kim Jong Il as the leader of North Korea, 2% identified Pat Roberts as the Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee.

At least that way, if you someday release a poll showing that 54% of Americans think the US should invade North Korea, we know that only 1 in 5 can even name the leader of North Korea and we can treat their views accordingly.

I realize that the North Korea question is slightly far-fetched and a lot more specific than most polls are ever likely to get, but I think this rule can be applied to all the basic questions about which candidate or party is better on taxes or defense or the environment.

Knowing where a majority of American voters stand on a certain issue might be valuable to those trying to tailor their campaign message, but that tailoring of the message to suit uninformed opinions makes it exceedingly difficult to ever formulate public policy that can adequately address complicated issues.

Oh, and one final thing: if you ask this question
Would you say you approve or disapprove of the 9/11 Commission's report about the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, or haven't you heard enough about it to say?
And get this response
Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 10%
Haven't heard enough to say - 52%
Don't ask these sorts of follow-ups
As you may know, a proposal has been made to extend the 9/11 Commission's work for another 18 months while Congress and the president consider the commission's recommendations. Do you favor or oppose this proposal?

Which comes closer to your point of view about the 9/11 Commission's recommendations: They require urgent action and Congress and the president should enact them immediately, or they are important, but Congress and the president should take the time they feel they need to adequately review and enact them?
The majority of people already admitted that they hadn't heard enough about it to know whether they approve or not. Why would you then ask them their views regarding the Commission's specific recommendations?

The only reason I can think of is that you are trying to piss me off.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:04 PM




Berkeley Springs: Hell Ain't No Better 'N This

With this article, New York Times reporter Elisabeth Rosenthal takes us on a magical journey to the gentle town of Berkeley Springs, West Virginia -- population 663.
Charlie Crouse, who works in an auto parts shop, said he felt that President Bush had "lost character and lied about Iraq," adding that he was embarrassed by the vicious oratory of presidential politics this year. ... But Mr. Crouse said he was American, patriotic, and religious, too, so he would vote on Nov. 2 -- for Mr. Bush.

"This is a Republican county," Mr. Crouse joked as he watched his granddaughter being crowned "Prettiest Baby'' recently at the Berkeley Springs Volunteer Fire Department's Annual Fair. "They couldn't care if you had Khrushchev on the ballot, if he was a Republican we'd check it off."
Bush is of questionable character, and he's a liar. But what the hell? He's our guy. Let's hear it for small-town values. But there's more:
"Sure, I'm voting for Bush; I feel much more secure about terrorism with George Bush around," said Richard Jenkinson Jr., a retired Vietnam veteran who works in a junk store in this Civil War town that has not changed much in the last 100 years.

As Mr. Jenkinson offers a tour of his issues, it is easy to see why George Bush is his man. He believes that invading Iraq was a wise move, because "Saddam Hussein was a Hitler-type character, who needed to be taken out." He is opposed to abortion, except to save a woman's life. A gun owner and National Rifle Association member, like almost everyone else here, Mr. Jenkinson considers owning guns a civil right and "part of home protection."
I guess Mr. Jenkinson hasn't read Berkeley Springs' website, which dismisses the fears of any homeowner with these four, straight-forward words: "Berkeley Springs is safe." But there's a little more to learn about Mr. Jenkinson.
On weekends, he and his friends shoot at pictures of Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden. "It's a way of handling hostility, I guess," Mr. Jenkinson said, with a shrug.
Uh, yeah, right. Don't mind us, Mr. Jenkinson. We were just leaving town.

Rumor has it that Jenkinson will audition for the role of Colonel Kurtz in the Berkeley Springs Community Theater production of "Apocalypse Now." Meanwhile, back to the town ....
Greg and Pat Rawlings of Chambersburg vote always, and always vote Republican, explained Mrs. Rawlings, who works as a clerk for Target. They are soft-spoken, well-informed people who bemoan the incursion of roads and teenage drug use into their orderly world, where signs on the main street must now warn: "No Cruising. Anyone who passes this spot more than three times in two hours will be fined." They sent their children to Christian school and are sick that Pennsylvania has recently decided to allow slot machines in to the state.

"Here, being a Republican is a question of faith," said Mr. Rawlings, who makes dental hardware. "There are a lot of life-and-death issues this year, like the war. I think if we didn't go in to Iraq, they'd be here taking our buildings down. Also, every life is important; to us that means no abortion."
Yes, every fetus is important. But life? Hmmmm ... that all depends. Apparently, the lives of the 900+ soldiers who have been killed in Iraq are not so important -- or at least easily justified by Rawlings.

While we're on the topic of what's important, consider the issue of dissent in America. Well, let's just say John Ashcroft would feel right at home here.
Bill Earley, a libertarian who owns Chambersburg's bookstore, said that when he and 17 others organized an antiwar demonstration in front of the courthouse, people stopped their cars and screamed, "Get out of this country."

"It's all about God, family and loyalty here," Mr. Early said.
Early left out one other thing: guns.
It is the love of guns, however, that will keep many in the Republican camp. In Berkeley Springs, schools are closed for the first week of deer-hunting season, in November.
That may help explain the rather underachieving state of affairs in West Virginia's public schools.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 1:00 PM




What Would Jenna Fly?

The Washington Post's "Names & Faces" column reported yesterday:
Amid the mess over the weekend for travelers flying from Boston to Washington (lost luggage, delayed flights, etc.), those aboard Saturday's 7 p.m. US Airways shuttle from Logan International Airport -- which had been held up for 20 minutes because of luggage problems -- were surprised when the pilot announced that the plane would make a quick hop to Albany on its way to Reagan National.

"We land in Albany, and the doors open and in come Jenna and Barbara [Bush] and several Secret Service agents," our spy, who declined to be named "for fear of going to Gitmo," told us. "I kept thinking, I haven't heard of anybody diverting planes for all these other people being inconvenienced. This doesn't fit in the norm of airline travel."

But before blame goes to the first daughters, it turns out that it's not unusual for US Airways to make such diversions. "Yes, there are times when we will divert an airplane to pick up passengers off of another canceled flight. We do that when we have no other way to accommodate those customers," said airline spokesman David Castelveter. In addition to the Bush twins, 22 other beleaguered passengers also boarded in Albany.
As someone who has taken 400+ airline flights in his life, I beg to differ. It might not be unheard of for an airline to make an unscheduled stop for non-mechanical, non-weather reasons. But it is very "unusual."

By the way, I'm not sure what Mr. Castelveter meant when he suggested there was "no other way" for people in Albany to get to Washington National. As US Airways' website shows, there are three flights in the evening hours (after 5 p.m.) from Albany to Washington National -- one non-stop and two connecting itineraries.

Something tells me that the other 22 passengers, minus the Bush twins, would not have been quite enough reason to compel Useless Airways to make an unscheduled stop.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 12:31 PM




One Sick Puppy

The latest piece by winger columnist Dennis Prager has to be read to be believed. According to Prager, when the Dems yielded the stage to 12-year-0ld Ilana Wexler (you remember--the girl from kidsforkerry.org who suggested that Dick Cheney needed to take a "time out"), it was tantamount to kiddie porn.

Here are some choice Prager nuggets: "Liberals and Democrats are not comfortable with adult-child distinctions. They therefore frequently treat and regard children as adults and frequently treat and regard adults as children." AND "That is why liberals don't worry about protecting children's innocence as much as conservatives do. The early sexualization of children is therefore not a problem to liberal educators." AND, best of all: "Listening to a 12-year-old publicly mock the Republican vice president of the United States brought Democrats almost orgasmic pleasure...."

It seems to me that Prager's article says more about his own issues than it does about those dirty Dems.


posted by Noam Alaska at 11:40 AM




Redeem the Vote

Christian conservatives are gearing up to register millions of "America's young people of faith and engage them into the 2004 election where voters will determine the direction of cultural issues that impact their lives."

Of course, Redeem the Vote bills itself as non-partisan, but considering that it is directly affiliated with Ivotevalues.org, which was founded by Focus on the Family's James Dobson, I'm a bit skeptical - especially when the welcome message reads
I'm sure you recognize that, as a nation, we are standing at a crossroads. Our society's moral decline has accelerated at an alarming rate in recent years, and if trends continue, the America that you and I know and love will cease to exist. Issues critical to the future of the traditional family - abortion rights and same-sex marriage being chief among them - will be influenced by the values of our next president and his cabinet.

[edit]

Never in our history has it been more imperative that Christians bring their values and beliefs to bear upon the world around them by embracing the privilege and responsibility of voting. Those of us who are genuinely concerned about the direction of our great nation must be involved in deciding its future.
I guess that is "nonpartisan," provided that all "young people of faith" are ultra-conservative religious zealots.

Anyway, there is obviously nothing wrong with this attempt to register likely Republican voters under the guise of nonpartisanship, but I was a bit confused by the list of organizations sponsoring the project. You see, along side of American Family Radio, Focus on the Family and the Christian Broadcasting Network, stands "Sean Hannity and Fox News."

It's it good to know that Fox News has now officially abandoned its role as a media outlet and admitted that it is just another GOP front group.

But I am a bit saddened to see that Fox News has been relegated to the position of serving as little more than Sean Hannity's back up band.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:40 AM




Daily Darfur

The African Union may send a 2000 strong security force to Darfur.

Sudanese authorities say they plan to send 1,000 extra police to Darfur, which sounds like a good thing but probably isn't
Under mounting international pressure, the government of Sudan has committed to disarm the “Janjaweed and other armed outlaw groups,” but the government’s interpretation of the term “Janjaweed” is ambiguous. Instead of being disarmed, members of government-backed militias are reportedly being absorbed into police and paramilitary forces operating in Darfur.
More than 100,000 people marched through Khartoum "in a state-orchestrated rally" opposing the U.N.'s deadline for the government to disarm the Janjaweed.

Oxfam says water and sanitation facilities in Darfur are "at [the] breaking point" and could lead to a massive outbreak of cholera.

The International Crisis Group's John Prendergast says the international community is not responding because the people are not seeing graphic pictures of starving/dying refugees, but eventually they will
What's going to start killing them in large numbers, which will then create the dramatic graphics that will - three months from now - instill the kind of emotion necessary for sufficiently robust action, are the diseases that are going to rip through these camps. I think that there will eventually be some form of action, but it just may happen after a couple hundred thousand people who could have been saved will have died.
Darfur in pictures - via CARE



posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:49 AM




What's Up With All the Black Folks?

That is the question that we will be asking a month from now at the Necropublican Convention in New York, just as we were asking it four years ago after every minority with any Republican sympathies was trotted onto the convention stage. Don't the Republicans know the Dems are going to get roughly 90% of African-Americans' votes anyway (and no, that number isn't exaggerated)?

The answer to that question is the same as the answer to why national Republican officials might encourage the Illinois branch to nominate Alan Keyes to run against Barack Obama for the Senate. There's no chance Keyes would win--among other things, as Eugene pointed out, he's insane--but that's not the point. The GOP knows Obama's going to win no matter who they nominate. And the point isn't to convince African-Americans that they have a place in the Party, because running one black candidate isn't going to change things any more than Dubya's appearance at the Urban League did.

The point is to convince white people that the GOP isn't racist.

Among the white, suburban, moderate vote, the GOP has two main perceptions it has to fight: (1) it's been taken over by nutcases on social issues; and (2) it's a white boy's club. You've got voters who could be sold on the GOP's economic policies and who could trust it more on foreign policy and security, but they want some comfort that when they pull the Republican lever, they're not being racist. That's where the blacks at the convention come in, and it's where Keyes could come in. They don't make white moderates think the GOP is "good on black issues," but they do reassure white moderates that the GOP's policy differences from Jesse Jackson and the NAACP aren't motivated by racism.

A similar dynamic is probably afoot this year with respect to gays and lesbians. Sure, a lot of swing voters who are straight aren't in favor of marriage equality and might be a bit freaked out if a gay couple moved in next door, but they don't want to think of themselves as homophobes. Without some window dressing--and Mary Cheney's not enough--the GOP's decision to make marriage a signature issue this year threatens to drive away people who need to maintain a self-image of being enlightened and tolerant.

Note that I'm not saying anything about whether the GOP is or is not racist or homophobic. The question here is the perception of a key bloc of middle-of-the-road voters and how voting Republican makes them feel.

posted by Arnold P. California at 2:28 AM


Tuesday, August 03, 2004


Abu Ghraib Chief Alleges Cover-Up

In an interview with BBC Radio, the brigadier-general who had oversight of the notorious Abu Ghraib prison asserts that incidents of abuse were hidden from her and that this cover-up may stretch all the way to the Pentagon or White House. Reuters reports:
Speaking on the same day a U.S. soldier at the center of the prisoner abuse scandal is due to face a military court, Brigadier-General Janis Karpinski said she was deliberately kept in the dark about abuse and humiliation of Iraqi prisoners.

"A very reliable witness has made a statement indicating that, not only was I not included in any of the meetings discussing interrogation operations, but specific measures were taken to ensure I would not have access to those facilities, that information or any of the details of interrogation at Abu Ghraib or anywhere else," Karpinski told Britain's BBC radio.

Karpinski, responsible for the military police who ran prisons in Iraq when pictures were taken showing prisoners being abused, has been suspended from her post but not charged with any crime.

She said that those with "full knowledge" of what was going on in Abu Ghraib worked to keep her from discovering the truth. Asked if a cover-up meant involvement of the White House or Pentagon, she said: "I have not seen the statement but the indication is it may have."


posted by Frederick Maryland at 3:38 PM




How The World's Biggest Asshole Gerrymandered Texas

Texas Monthly offers up a preview of Lou Dubose and Jan Reid's new book "The Hammer: Tom DeLay: God, Money, and the Rise of the Republican Congress." Unfortunately, Texas Monthly only makes it available to subscribers, but I managed to track it down here.
In September 2001 DeLay founded a new organization, Texans for a Republican Majority (TRMPAC -- the acronym soon made its way into the local political lexicon as "Trim-pack"). DeLay positioned himself as chairman of the honorary board, appointed Ellis its director, and ordered him to make sure their plan was carried through. To get things rolling, ARMPAC gave the new baby its first $ 50,000. Everything was to be modeled on the way ARMPAC raised money and jammed it into congressional races that conservative Republicans could win. And TRMPAC's fundraisers went back to the same proven feed troughs. Forty-three percent of the contributions came from interests outside Texas that had no business pending with its state Legislature. Certain transactions just seemed bizarre. Why would the Mississippi Choctaws give $ 6,000 to TRMPAC? Because well-connected Washington lobbyist Jack Abramoff represented the tribe, and he took credit for convincing DeLay, a few years earlier, that their casino revenue should not be taxable. The largest contribution, $ 100,000, came from the Boston-based Alliance for Quality Nursing Home Care. Why on earth? Some claims were later made that a couple of Texas companies were part of the organization, but the middle-man of that transaction was one Haley Barbour, the drawling old party warhorse, who was then lobbying for the consortium of nursing home companies seeking to block Medicare cuts while mounting a campaign for governor of Mississippi that he later won -- lending more evidence that in American politics all ambitions and reputations are redeemable short of the grave. Barbour had been quite thick with DeLay and ARMPAC. In Kansas City, Westar Energy sent $ 25,000 to TRMPAC in hopes of achieving, as one executive put it, a "strong position at the table" at the House of Representatives in Washington, not the one in Austin.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 2:12 PM




The Newest DHS Alert

For some time, I have been telling friends that the intermittent security alerts by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) seem far more designed to do one or both of the following: 1) cover the administration's tracks in the event of a subsequent terrorist attack within the U.S.; and/or 2) create an environment of fear that has us all hunkering down, socially paralyzed and unable to even contemplate changing presidents.

Am I one cynical dude? Not really. I wasn't willing to buy into every one of the links that filmmaker Michael Moore imagined in "Fahrenheit 9/11." And I'm not, unlike many progressive bloggers, an avid reader of Chomsky.

But my suspicion that the timing and nature of DHS alerts may be driven partially by politics has been heightened after reading this front-page Washington Post story. Many Demagogue readers have already seen this, but for those who haven't:
Most of the al Qaeda surveillance of five financial institutions that led to a new terrorism alert Sunday was conducted before the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks .... More than half a dozen government officials interviewed yesterday, who declined to be identified because classified information is involved, said that most, if not all, of the information about the buildings seized by authorities in a raid in Pakistan last week was about three years old, and possibly older.

"There is nothing right now that we're hearing that is new," said one senior law enforcement official who was briefed on the alert. "Why did we go to this level? . . . I still don't know that."

... (Homeland Security Secretary Tom) Ridge and other officials stressed Sunday the urgency of acting on the newly obtained information, but yesterday a range of officials made clear how dated much of the intelligence was.

... "Most of the information is very dated but you clearly have targets with enough specificity, and that pushed it over the edge," the counterterrorism official said. "You've got the Republican convention coming up, the Olympics, the elections ..."
Yes, the elections. One wonders if Nov. 2 is influencing both the frequency and tone of these on-again, off-again DHS alerts.

Although the current alert by DHS is somewhat specific as to potential targets, it is -- according to The Post at least -- based largely on three-year-old intelligence. Most DHS alerts have essentially done nothing but inform Americans that someday, somewhere, something bad could happen to somebody. Some help.
"It's serious business," (President) Bush said. "I mean, we wouldn't be, you know, contacting authorities at the local level unless something was real."
Something is definitely real ..... real questionable.

I hope I'm wrong, but the demonstrated willingness of this administration to engage in deception and half-truths leaves me wondering what's driving these DHS alerts.

Am I rightly suspicious or just plain full of it?

posted by Frederick Maryland at 1:43 PM




Democrats Play Nice ... With Corporations

Rick Perlstein has another good article in the Village Voice - this one on the Democratic convention
This is the audience the convention planners seem to play to. They respond predictably to words like "safer" and "first responder" and "daughter"; a keyword search reveals the phrases showing up 30, eight, and 23 times. Not so much to words having to do with official government malfeasance—which is why, strangely, John Kerry's single greatest achievement as senator, forcing Congress to face up to the Reagan administration's crimes negotiating with Iranian hostage-takers and sending the proceeds to death squads in Central America, was not mentioned at all.

No, this convention was supposed to make us feel good, be relentlessly positive. The theme was unity: national unity, party unity.

Niceness is nice. It makes a body feel good about himself. But it's no strategy with which to win a presidential election.

[edit]

These days, talking about things like the growing gap between the rich and the rest of us is judged not very nice. Fixing it might require breaking some eggs. The pundits would call it "class warfare." So whenever a concession is demanded in the interests of unity, it will be demanded of the party's left wing, never of the corporate types.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 12:20 PM




Not So Fast, Mr. Prez

Last month, President Bush told an audience at the White House: "I was pleased to see that consumer confidence is at a two-year high. That's an indication that the economy is strong, and getting better." Not so fast.

The home page of the Wall Street Journal website today offers economic news that suggests that the American people are not filled with overwhelming confidence:
Consumer spending registered its biggest drop since September 2001 in June, falling 0.7% as spending on durable goods plummeted 5.9%. Personal income grew 0.2%.
In many respects, consumer spending is a better barometer of the level of public confidence than the more generic "confidence" indices that are released.

It's one thing to say you are confident; it's another to put your money where you mouth is. Unless Americans express their confidence by spending more, business inventories will grow and job growth will flatten out.

posted by Frederick Maryland at 12:13 PM




The Dems Compete for Cash

This Wall Street Journal article (registration req'd) has some interesting stats as it reveals why Democrats are having an easier time raising money than one might have thought they would:
Eric Greenberg, who made a fortune founding Internet companies during the technology boom, describes himself as a "centrist, moderate Republican." The 40-year-old San Francisco-area resident supported President Bush in 2000 and raised $100,000 for Republicans. Then, he says, the administration alienated him by restricting stem-cell research, a move he believes curtails medical science.

So when Greenberg let a Democratic senator, Nevada's Harry Reid, know that he was now willing to help beat Republicans, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee swung into action. Its chairman, Sen. Jon Corzine of New Jersey, quickly got in touch with Mr. Greenberg ...

So far, Mr. Greenberg has donated and raised about $400,000 for Democrats .... Mr. Corzine and others are finding far deeper resevoirs of Democratic money than they imagined.

The economic boom of the 1990s put enormous sums, very quickly, in the pockets of some younger economic players who turned out to be socially liberal. This new generation of wealth -- men and women who grew up with working moms, black classmates and gay friends, during the rise of environmentalism -- is defying the traditional notion that as people swim up the income scale, they tend to become more Republican.

Among a broader slice of upper-income Americans, the top fifth in income, Al Gore collected 44% of the vote in 2000. That beat Bill Clinton's mark of 41% in 1996 and far eclipsed the 28% of these better-off people's votes that Walter Mondale received in 1984.


posted by Frederick Maryland at 11:59 AM




Somebody Do Something - I'll Be Over Here

At the risk of opening myself to severe criticism by citing RNC oppo research regarding Kerry, I feel compelled to say that I don't think this is a particularly good move on Kerry's part
Sen. John F. Kerry urged President Bush on Monday to call a special session of Congress to implement the recommendations of the Sept. 11 commission, accusing Bush of foot-dragging and charging that the president's policies have encouraged the creation of more terrorists.

[edit]

Standing in front of a firetruck under a blazing sun, Kerry said: "If the president had a sense of urgency about this director of intelligence and about the needs to strengthen America, he would call the Congress back and get the job done now. . . . The time to act is now, not later."
Considering that Kerry has missed 145 out of 163 votes this year, maybe he shouldn't be accusing Bush of not taking the importance of Congress seriously.

Unless Kerry is pledging to cancel his campaigning in order to return to Congress to work on this, insisting that Bush call a special session that he does not plan on attending is pretty hypocritical.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:13 AM




Desperation

From the Chicago Sun-Times
Hoping to add real electricity to the U.S. Senate race, Illinois Republicans have been secretly talking to former GOP presidential candidate Alan Keyes about taking on Democratic nominee Barack Obama — a move that would pit two eloquent, nationally known African Americans against one another.
Actually, this is a move that will pit one "eloquent, nationally known African American" against a complete lunatic - so I highly recommend it.

I also found this justification quite interesting
[Keyes] said that he was open to the idea. And he felt that Obama didn't really represent the views of the people of Illinois.
This is especially amazing considering that...you know...Keyes lives in Maryland.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:25 AM




If You Haven't Seen It Before, It's New to You

Tom Ridge on Sunday, raising the terror alert for New York and DC
Now this afternoon, we do have new and unusually specific information about where al-Qaeda would like to attack.

[edit]

[I]n light of new intelligence information, we have made the decision to raise the threat level for this sector, in these communities, to bring protective resources to an even higher level.
And then from today's New York Times
Much of the information that led the authorities to raise the terror alert at several large financial institutions in the New York City and Washington areas was three or four years old, intelligence and law enforcement officials said on Monday. They reported that they had not yet found concrete evidence that a terrorist plot or preparatory surveillance operations were still under way.

[edit]

"You could say that the bulk of this information is old, but we know that Al Qaeda collects, collects, collects until they're comfortable,'' said one senior government official.


posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:36 AM




Daily Darfur

The Chicago Tribune reports
Thirty-five Evangelical Christian leaders have signed a letter urging President Bush to provide large-scale humanitarian aid and consider sending U.S. troops to stop what they called the "genocide" in the Darfur region of Sudan.
The UN's Francis Deng says
Contrary to official statements about improvement of the security situation and the voluntary return of the displaced, I found a situation of persistent insecurity and human rights violations as the paramount concern of the displaced.
The New York Times reports on the situation of the refugees forced from camps in anticipation of Kofi Annan's visit in early July.

Darfur in pictures - via CARE


For lack of adequate care, a small girl dies in the arms of her grandmother.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:04 AM


Monday, August 02, 2004


More for the "Have You No Decency?" File

First the Bush campaign required that people attending their pep rallies sign loyalty oaths.

And, now we hear that the Bushies want to know the race of a newspaper's photographer before the vice president agrees to a photo session. Luckily, the paper in question told Cheney to go f**k himself (though not in so many words).

posted by Noam Alaska at 4:35 PM




Apropos of Nothing

I'm looking for a new job. If anyone wants to bring me in for an interview, please see my resume and send me an e-mail.

PROFILE:
  • Working knowledge of the alphabet and whole numbers up to, and including, sixty-four
  • Able to identify the fruit in any given still-life painting containing fruit
  • Avid sleeper and television watcher
EDUCATION:
  • Graduate of the Arthur Miller Dance Studio
    Bachelor of Science - Norwegian Interpretive Dance
    Minor - Oral Pantomime
  • Graduate Study at the Typhoid Mary School of Culinary Arts
  • Doctorates in Quantum Mechanics, Home Shoe Repair, and Exploratory Surgery from Degrees-R-Us Mail Order University, Inc.
LEADERSHIP EXPERIENCE
  • Director of Marketing - Merchants and Retailers eXchange (MARX) - a business organization dedicated to exploiting the proletariat for fun and profit
  • Participated in the Million-Man March – inadvertently, I was on my way to the store
  • Assistant Minister and Armed Guard - People’s Temple
    Jonestown, French Guyana
    * Dismissed for spiking the punch
  • Founder of a local Neighborhood Watch Watch – You can't be too careful
  • President: No Quarter – a nonprofit political organization dedicated to protecting the 3rd Amendment rights of all Americans. Thanks to our vigilance, no soldier has been quartered in any house in times of peace without the consent of the owner since 1996
  • Editor-in-Chief of several socio-political magazines including: The Journal of Objective Media Studies and Liberals Are God-Hating Degenerates
  • Author of the best-selling self-help book "It’s Not You, It’s Me: I Don’t Like You"
AWARDS AND HONORS:
  • Male Model of the Year - Emaciated Gents Quarterly
  • Potential Grand Prize Winner - Publisher's Clearing House Sweepstakes
  • Coined the phrase "You Go Girl!"
  • Lauded for my performance as the title character in a local production of "Waiting for Godot"
References currently unavailable - all of my acquaintances have been advised by their attorneys not to comment upon our alleged relationship pending the outcome of various investigations into my role in the Case of the Slippery Salamander where I am a key witness against one Archibald "Bugs" Meany.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 4:09 PM




The Non-Insurance Issue

The presidential campaign will cover many issues, including health insurance coverage. But there's a related issue that is unlikely to make it into the dialogue: sick leave. In her Boston Globe column, Maggie Jackson writes:
... for as much as half the US workforce, or nearly 60 million workers, a day out sick is often a lost day's pay. And half to three-quarters of the lowest-paid workers, those who try to survive on roughly $20,000 or less, don't get any paid sick days, a situation that often leads to job loss, recent studies show.

Ruby Balbin, a single mother of two teenage boys from Revere, has two part-time jobs cleaning restaurants and offices but no paid sick time. If she's ill, she faces a tough choice: get paid or get healed. Mostly, she drags herself to work after one day at home, no matter how she feels. And if her sons are sick, she scrambles to find care for them. She needs every bit of the $350 she earns weekly before taxes.

... The issue is gaining attention, in part because more workers share Balbin's dilemma. The proportion of nonmanagerial and nonprofessional workers who get paid sick days slipped to 60 percent in 2002, from 67 percent in 1997, according to the Families and Work Institute, a New York-based nonprofit research group. That's both due to cutbacks in employer benefits, and the fact that recent job growth has come in the low-wage service sector, where benefits are lacking.

''We need people to work in these jobs, and they need to be able to take care of their families," says Vicky Lovell, study director at the in Washington, D.C., and author of a report on sick leave issued in June.

According to the [Institute for Women's Policy Research] analysis of government data on employer policies, only about 25 percent of those in the bottom quarter of wage earners get sick pay, compared with about 70 percent of workers in the top quarter of wage earners.



posted by Frederick Maryland at 12:48 PM




Because You Are Roundly Despised?

That is my guess as to why Zell Miller skipped the convention in Boston. But let's let him explain it himself
For 12 dark years the Republicans have dealt in cynicism and skepticism. They've mastered the art of division and diversion, and they have robbed us of our hope.

Too many mothers today cannot tell their children what my mother told me, (that) working hard and playing by the rules can make your dreams come true. For millions, the American dream has become what the poet called "a dream deferred."

And if you recall those words, he warned us that a dream deferred can explode. Robbed of hope, the voices of anger rise up, rise up from working Americans, who are tired of paying more in taxes and getting less in services, and George Bush doesn't get it?

Americans cannot understand why the rich can buy the best health care in the world, but all the rest of us get is rising costs and cuts in coverage, or no health insurance at all, and George Bush doesn't get it?

Americans cannot walk our streets in safety, because our "tough-on-crime" president has waged a phony war on drugs, posing for pictures while cutting police, prosecutors and prisons, and George Bush doesn't get it?

Americans have seen plants closed down, jobs shipped overseas and our hopes fade away as our economic position collapses right before our very eyes, and George Bush does not get it.
Oops, sorry. That was Miller's speech from the Democratic convention in 1992.

The way I see it, either the Democratic party has lost Miller because the entire party has abandoned the values he holds dear, or the Republicans have abandoned their cynicism, skepticism, division and diversion over the last decade and embraced his values.

Or maybe Miller is just a total whore with no values whatsoever, willing to say anything so long as it gets him a speaking slot at the convention.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 12:42 PM




Positive Signs in Ohio

So far, the few polls I've heard about (Gallup and Newsweek) show little or no "bounce" after the DNC and Kerry's acceptance speech. But, given the political polarization in America and the relatively small number of undecided voters, this isn't really surprising. Here's one indication that Kerry may be well positioned to win the crucial state of Ohio:
On MSNBC, pollster Frank Luntz convened 20 Ohio swing voters and found that the nominee's speech played well in the heartland. The first piece of good news for Kerry is that 14 of the 20 who say they are undecided in 2004 voted for George W. Bush in 2000. The better news is that 16 of the 20 said Kerry's performance exceeded their expectations and four former Bush supporters decided to support the Democrat after his address.

''Kerry's speech actually moved voters," Luntz [said]. Before the convention, the Bush voters who had slipped into the undecided category did so more because of ''disappointment with Bush" than any real affinity for Kerry, Luntz said. After the candidate's moment on the national stage, he said, the converts were now ''pro-Kerry" voters who decided, '' 'I get this guy. I understand him. He's better than I expected.' "



posted by Frederick Maryland at 12:33 PM




Bush: That's "How the Rich Is"

The president was in Canton, Ohio this weekend, renewing his assault on English grammar. His speech to voters in this swing state centered on taxes and the economy. As the Boston Globe reports, Bush took aim at John Kerry's plan to roll back tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans -- those earning $200,000 or more per year:
Bush said wealthy taxpayers would find loopholes in the new tax structure and leave the burden to the middle class. ''He said he's only going to raise the tax on the so-called rich," Bush said. ''But you know how the rich is. They've got accountants. That means you pay."
As my 6th grade English teacher told one of my classmates, "Nouns and verbs don't like to fight; make them agree."

Leaving the world of grammatical armageddon for a moment, there is something else in W.'s statement that stands out. If you sift through his remarks, what you're left with is this conclusion: when the rich get out of paying their fair share, it's the middle class that ultimately gets stuck with the bill. It must not have occurred to Bush that this axiom seems to apply also to tax cuts that disproportionately reward the richest Americans.

After all, someone has to pay the bills of running a government. When the rich get a hefty discount on their taxes -- as they have under four years of Bush's reign -- the middle class end up shouldering more of government's bills, directly or indirectly (e.g., college tuition hikes, user fees for parks, etc.).

By the way, if the rich are always able to use accountants to avoid paying taxes, then why do the rich complain about taxes so much? (Or, as our inspiring president might phrase it, "Why does the rich complain about taxes so many?")


posted by Frederick Maryland at 11:39 AM




I Hate Polls
13. Next, regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think John Kerry or George W. Bush would better handle each of the following issues: Terrorism

Kerry - 42%
Bush - 54%
Same - 2%
No opinion - 2%

20. How much confidence do you have in the Bush administration to protect U.S. citizens from future acts of terrorism -- a great deal, a moderate amount, not much, or none at all?

Great deal - 32%
Moderate amount - 32%
Not much - 22%
None at all - 14%

21. If he were elected president, how much confidence would you have in a John Kerry administration to protect U.S. citizens from future acts of terrorism -- a great deal, a moderate amount, not much, or none at all?

Great deal - 32%
Moderate amount - 36%
Not much - 18%
None at all - 13%
68% of people have confidence that a Kerry administration can protect them from a terrorist attack versus 64% for Bush - but Bush has a 12% lead over Kerry on who will better handle the issue of terrorism?

posted by Eugene Oregon at 11:04 AM




Other Africa News

Rwanda is creating an "independent commission charged with assembling the evidence of France's involvement in the genocide." The current Rwandan regime has, in the past, accused France of knowingly arming the Hutus and providing protections and an escape route after their defeat.

The Ugandan army claims to have killed more than 120 fighters of the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) in a surprise attack launched in southern Sudan. Uganda says "We are actually still trying to verify whether [LRA leader Joseph] Kony died, but if he survived he is grossly incapacitated." Sudan has vowed to capture or kill Kony by August 6th.

The situation in Darfur is diverting attention and aid away from places like Eritrea, where nearly two-thirds of the country's 2 million people need food aid this year.

Along with the refugee crisis it faces on its western border, Chad has a similar refugee crisis in the south, where 30,000 refugees from the Central African Republic are running out of food.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 10:09 AM




Daily Darfur

Sudan is calling the UN resolution a "declaration of war" and vows "to confront the enemies of the Sudan on land, sea and air." So I guess that those efforts to avoid antagonizing Sudan by dropping the threat of sanctions have really paid off.

Sudan also says it will not meet the 30-day deadline set out by the UN but insists that will still carry out the 90-day agreement it reached with Kofi Annan in early July.

U.S. ambassador to the United Nations John Danforth told the Security Council that between 240 and 440 people are dying in Darfur every day. If we split the difference, that is about 350 a day. Seeing as the UN just gave Sudan 30 days to comply with its demands, it is probably safe to assume that at least another 10,000 people will die while the UN waits.

Medecins Sans Frontieres is warning that thousands will die if the world does not double the amount of food sent to the region.

Passion of the Present reports
High level sources in Washington tell us that the US administration and congress have privately agreed that a military force is needed immediately to halt the genocide in Sudan. Key leaders have agreed to approve whatever is required to enable such a force. This commitment has been communicated to Kofi Annan. We believe that similar commitments have been made by other nations.

Military and logistical preparations have been made by the US, UK, France, Australia, and the Netherlands. The US and France have coordination teams on the ground in neighboring Sudan, and are now in position to provide technical assistance to the rescue mission.
France has reportedly sent 200 soldiers to the border of Chad and Sudan to help with humanitarian work and guard against the Janjaweed.

The Washington Post ran this op-ed over the weekend
Ibrahim told Refugees International about a week after the attack that among those captured during the assault were four of her brothers and six young children, including three of her cousins. As Ibrahim watched in horror, several of the attackers began grabbing the screaming children and throwing them one by one into a raging fire. One of the male villagers ran from his hiding place to plead for their lives. It was a fatal error. The raiders subdued the man and later beheaded him and dismembered his body. All six of the children were burned. Ibrahim's four brothers have not been heard from since.
You can get a list of organizations working in Darfur and Chad here.

posted by Eugene Oregon at 9:32 AM



Weblog Commenting by HaloScan.com